Iowa State at Arizona - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ

Cyclones (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (22 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#53)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ISU coming off BYE
ARIZ coming off BYE
Our Line: Arizona -6.5 (SP+ ARIZ -2)
Projected Score: ISU: 21 - ARIZ: 27 (48)
ARIZ Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ISU Travel: 1166 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#29)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
ARIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Iowa State vs Southeast Missouri State	-28
Sat 9/12	Iowa State at Iowa	+12
Sat 9/19	Iowa State vs Bowling Green	-21
Sat 9/26	Iowa State vs Utah	+10
Sat 10/3	Iowa State vs West Virginia	-9
Sat 10/10	Iowa State at BYU	+13.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Iowa State at Arizona	+6.5
Sat 10/31	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-15
Sat 11/7	Iowa State at Baylor	+0.5
Sat 11/14	Iowa State vs Cincinnati	-3
Sat 11/21	Iowa State at UCF	-4
Sat 11/28	Iowa State vs Kansas State	-0.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Arizona's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-32
Sat 9/12	Arizona at BYU	+9.5
Sat 9/19	Arizona vs Northern Illinois	-28
Sat 9/26	Arizona at Washington State	-6.5
Sat 10/3	Arizona vs Cincinnati	-7.5
Sat 10/10	Arizona at West Virginia	-8
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Arizona vs Iowa State	-6.5
Sat 10/31	Arizona at Texas Tech	+21
Sat 11/7	Arizona vs TCU	-2.5
Sat 11/14	Arizona vs Utah	+6
Sat 11/21	Arizona at Kansas State	+0.5
Sat 11/28	Arizona vs Arizona State	-7

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#60 (.19)	45% (43)	27.4	46% (45)	3 (59)	174	44% (43)	221	3.54 (85)	#32 (.09)	39% (43)	20.2	40% (42)	40% (53)	3.06 (20)	40	1.2	1.5
ARIZ	#58 (.19)	43% (63)	31.5	42% (87)	3.1 (41)	153	43% (52)	255	3.61 (79)	#37 (.1)	39% (33)	19.3	45% (97)	34% (10)	3.38 (44)	52.2	1	2.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	12	27.4	22.2	44.7%	3.54	1.2	21	396	174	221	4.4	54%	45%	46%	44%	15%	.19
ARIZ Defense	13	19.3	15.6	39%	3.38	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	45%	34%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	12	20.2	21.6	39.4%	3.06	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	50%	40%	40%	17%	.09
ARIZ Offense	13	31.5	34.9	42.6%	3.61	1	22	408	153	255	4.3	46%	54%	42%	43%	15%	.19

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	12	31:34	21.1	40%	68%	4.6	40	1.2	1.5	5	1.1	1	29.9
Arizona	13	30:57	22.3	41%	63%	5.6	52.2	1	2.4	6.2	1.6	2	33.7

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	12	54% (35)	46% (45)	39.8	174.2	4.4	23 (30)	.15 (48)	3 (59)	69% (90)	8% (36)	0.93 (82)
ARIZ Defense	13	51% (85)	45% (97)	-	-	-	-	.11 (73)	2.85 (60)	72% (79)	11% (34)	0.9 (35)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	12	47% (42)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.01 (17)	2.79 (49)	70% (56)	10% (65)	0.83 (11)
ARIZ Offense	13	46% (101)	42% (87)	35.4	152.7	4.3	20 (88)	.14 (53)	3.1 (41)	74% (54)	9% (53)	1.04 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	12	45% (101)	44% (43)	17.5	28.8	221.4	7.7	12.7	16 (86)	9 (20)	.29 (52)	1.6 (55)	30% (48)	31% (68)	.21 (100)	6% (81)	2.1 (42)
ARIZ Defense	13	46% (35)	34% (10)	-	-	-	-	-	-	22 (12)	.17 (35)	1.6 (101)	32% (52)	26% (21)	.22 (39)	9% (2)	2.1 (109)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	12	50% (92)	40% (53)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (38)	.24 (67)	1.6 (74)	33% (45)	29% (62)	.23 (47)	7% (28)	1.7 (3)
ARIZ Offense	13	54% (28)	43% (52)	21.6	34.4	255.2	7.4	11.8	29 (14)	8 (88)	.24 (73)	1.5 (93)	32% (70)	31% (59)	.38 (40)	6% (63)	2.1 (51)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: -1.30 #64
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 8.25 #83
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 14.55 #51
2026 Talent Rating: 722.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Iowa State's 2026 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #33
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #63
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: -1.30 Arizona: 10.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 9.9 Arizona: 12.0

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.885 #43
Arizona's Offense Rating: 14.59 #40
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.82 #54
2026 Talent Rating: 778.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Arizona's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Arizona's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0 #28
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Iowa State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 27
Iowa State 21

Projected Total Points: 48

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Iowa State	39	Arizona	14	Iowa State -4	Iowa State	48.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona	0	0	1 Overs
Iowa State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#64) ISU at (#43) ARIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ISU	ARIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#64	#43
SP+SP+	#33	#28
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#70	#61
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#65

Iowa State Injury Report

Arizona Injury Report

Iowa State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	ARIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#43	#33
ExplosiveExp	#92	#41
PPAPPA	#60	#37
PowerPwr	#83	#54
SP+SP+	#63	#25
Pts POPPO	#85	#44
HavocHav	#54	#5

Iowa State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#45	#97
Run ExplRExp	#82	#35
PPAExp	#48	#73
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#59	#60
Stuff RateStuff	#57	#81
TackleTak	-	NR

Iowa State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#43	#10
Pass ExplPExl	#55	#101
PPAExp	#52	#35
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#36	#34
DB HavocDB	#81	#2

Arizona on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	ISU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#63	#43
ExplosiveExp	#44	#51
PPAPPA	#58	#32
PowerPwr	#40	#51
SP+SP+	#29	#25
Pts POPPO	#79	#20
HavocHav	#57	#46

Arizona Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#87	#42
Run ExplRExp	#43	#11
PPAExp	#53	#17
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#49
Stuff RateStuff	#71	#36
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#52	#53
Pass ExplPExl	#93	#74
PPAExp	#73	#67
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#53	#65
DB HavocDB	#63	#28

Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Arizona last year (39-14)

ISU's OC Tyler Roehl (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)	332	500	66%	3364	19	11	6.7
Zane Flores (Tr)	155	262	59%	1454	3	7	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)	154	428	7	2.8	42
Cameron Pettaway (Tr)	72	365	0	5.1	34
Zane Flores (Tr)	52	117	2	2.3	27
Salahadin Allah (Tr)	19	71	0	3.7	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cody Jackson (Tr)	53	799	6	15.1	60
Omari Hayes (Tr)	39	515	1	13.2	42
Tyler Fortenberry (Tr)	32	294	2	9.2	28
Carter Pabst (Tr)	9	168	1	18.7	43

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malcolm Jones (Tr)	51	5	3	1	0
Sullivan Schlimgen (Tr)	49	2	0	1	0
Braden Awls (Tr)	48	7	1	0	4
Key'on Washington	37	2	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Terrell (Tr)	28	12	7	6	1
Malcolm Jones (Tr)	51	5	3	1	0
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)	17	4	3	3	2
Bryson Lamb (Tr)	25	4	2	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Braden Awls (Tr)	48	7	1	0	4
Key'on Washington	37	2	1	0	3
Seth Johnson (Tr)	7	0	0	1	2

ARIZ's OC Seth Doege (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	275	429	64%	3228	29	6	7.5
Mason Bray	1	2	50%	22	0	0	11.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antwan Roberts (Tr)	90	512	4	5.7	54
Kedrick Reescano	84	396	9	4.7	50
Quincy Craig	65	364	2	5.6	54
Noah Fifita	115	222	3	1.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Spivey	23	381	7	16.6	70
Chris Hunter	27	372	2	13.8	35
Gio Richardson	21	299	2	14.2	60
Rodney Gallagher	28	243	0	8.7	26

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Danny Gonzales (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taye Brown	93	9	2	3	1
Lee Molette III (Tr)	65	3	0	0	3
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)	58	7	3	1	4
Chase Kennedy	42	8	4	7	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chase Kennedy	42	8	4	7	0
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)	58	7	3	1	4
Taye Brown	93	9	2	3	1
Jay'Vion Cole	23	3	1	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyrese Boss (Tr)	36	0	0	0	5
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)	58	7	3	1	4
Jay'Vion Cole	23	3	1	0	4