Iowa State at UCF - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Bright House Networks Stadium - Orlando, FL

Cyclones (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (22 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#53)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UCF 2nd straight Home Game
UCF is playing their 5th straight game
ISU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -4 (SP+ ISU -11)
Projected Score: ISU: 26 - UCF: 22 (48)
ISU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ISU Travel: 1159 miles, 1 hrs behind

Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (24 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
UCF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Iowa State vs Southeast Missouri State	-28
Sat 9/12	Iowa State at Iowa	+12
Sat 9/19	Iowa State vs Bowling Green	-21
Sat 9/26	Iowa State vs Utah	+10
Sat 10/3	Iowa State vs West Virginia	-9
Sat 10/10	Iowa State at BYU	+13.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Iowa State at Arizona	+6.5
Sat 10/31	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-15
Sat 11/7	Iowa State at Baylor	+0.5
Sat 11/14	Iowa State vs Cincinnati	-3
Sat 11/21	Iowa State at UCF	-4
Sat 11/28	Iowa State vs Kansas State	-0.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

UCF's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	UCF vs Bethune-Cookman	-21
Sat 9/12	UCF at Pittsburgh	+13
Sat 9/19	UCF vs Georgia State	-22
Sat 9/26	UCF vs TCU	+8
Sat 10/3	UCF at Houston	+11.5
Sat 10/10	UCF at Oklahoma State	-3.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	UCF vs BYU	+15
Sat 10/31	UCF vs Baylor	+2
Sat 11/7	UCF at Kansas	+6
Sat 11/14	UCF vs Arizona State	+3.5
Sat 11/21	UCF vs Iowa State	+4
Sat 11/28	UCF at Colorado	-3

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#60 (.19)	45% (43)	27.4	46% (45)	3 (59)	174	44% (43)	221	3.54 (85)	#32 (.09)	39% (43)	20.2	40% (42)	40% (53)	3.06 (20)	40	1.2	1.5
UCF	#88 (.14)	39% (107)	24.3	39% (111)	2.61 (126)	158	40% (93)	221	3.49 (94)	#51 (.12)	44% (95)	23.6	47% (116)	40% (54)	3.52 (55)	57.2	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UCF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	12	27.4	22.2	44.7%	3.54	1.2	21	396	174	221	4.4	54%	45%	46%	44%	15%	.19
UCF Defense	12	23.6	15.7	43.7%	3.52	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	40%	16%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	12	20.2	21.6	39.4%	3.06	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	50%	40%	40%	17%	.09
UCF Offense	12	24.3	32.6	39.1%	3.49	1.5	18	379	158	221	4.9	45%	53%	39%	40%	17%	.14

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	12	31:34	21.1	40%	68%	4.6	40	1.2	1.5	5	1.1	1	29.9
UCF	12	29:55	18.2	34%	56%	7.6	57.2	1.5	1.2	5.6	2.1	2	28.4

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	12	54% (35)	46% (45)	39.8	174.2	4.4	23 (30)	.15 (48)	3 (59)	69% (90)	8% (36)	0.93 (82)
UCF Defense	12	54% (110)	47% (116)	-	-	-	-	.12 (84)	3.06 (101)	85% (132)	10% (46)	0.88 (28)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	12	47% (42)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.01 (17)	2.79 (49)	70% (56)	10% (65)	0.83 (11)
UCF Offense	12	45% (106)	39% (111)	32.3	158.2	4.9	19 (26)	.11 (68)	2.61 (126)	62% (123)	11% (107)	1.25 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	12	45% (101)	44% (43)	17.5	28.8	221.4	7.7	12.7	16 (86)	9 (20)	.29 (52)	1.6 (55)	30% (48)	31% (68)	.21 (100)	6% (81)	2.1 (42)
UCF Defense	12	45% (28)	40% (54)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (55)	.16 (28)	1.4 (19)	31% (81)	25% (16)	.11 (7)	6% (62)	1.7 (5)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	12	50% (92)	40% (53)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (38)	.24 (67)	1.6 (74)	33% (45)	29% (62)	.23 (47)	7% (28)	1.7 (3)
UCF Offense	12	53% (30)	40% (93)	20.8	33.6	220.8	6.6	10.6	12 (114)	12 (34)	.18 (104)	1.5 (102)	33% (105)	24% (126)	.19 (116)	7% (92)	2.3 (9)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: -1.30 #64
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 8.25 #83
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 14.55 #51
2026 Talent Rating: 722.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Iowa State's 2026 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #33
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #63
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: -1.30 UCF: 0.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 9.9 UCF: -1.2

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 0.24 #71
UCF's Offense Rating: 6.98 #88
UCF's Defense Rating: 15.30 #56
2026 Talent Rating: 616.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #32
UCF's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UCF's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #76
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Iowa State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 26
UCF 22

Projected Total Points: 48

UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Iowa State	38	UCF	35	Iowa State -13	UCF	49.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCF	0	1	1 Overs
Iowa State	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#64) ISU at (#71) UCF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ISU	UCF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#64	#71
SP+SP+	#33	#76
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#70	#84
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#32

Iowa State Injury Report

UCF Injury Report

Iowa State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	UCF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#43	#95
ExplosiveExp	#92	#5
PPAPPA	#60	#51
PowerPwr	#83	#56
SP+SP+	#63	#51
Pts POPPO	#85	#55
HavocHav	#54	#54

Iowa State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	UCF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#45	#116
Run ExplRExp	#82	#28
PPAExp	#48	#84
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#59	#101
Stuff RateStuff	#57	#112
TackleTak	-	NR

Iowa State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	UCF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#43	#54
Pass ExplPExl	#55	#19
PPAExp	#52	#28
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#36	#46
DB HavocDB	#81	#62

UCF on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UCF Off	ISU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#107	#43
ExplosiveExp	#11	#51
PPAPPA	#88	#32
PowerPwr	#88	#51
SP+SP+	#98	#25
Pts POPPO	#94	#20
HavocHav	#106	#46

UCF Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UCF Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#111	#42
Run ExplRExp	#1	#11
PPAExp	#68	#17
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#126	#49
Stuff RateStuff	#128	#36
TackleTak	-	NR

UCF Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UCF Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#93	#53
Pass ExplPExl	#102	#74
PPAExp	#104	#67
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#107	#65
DB HavocDB	#92	#28

Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat UCF in 2024 (38-35)

ISU's OC Tyler Roehl (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)	332	500	66%	3364	19	11	6.7
Zane Flores (Tr)	155	262	59%	1454	3	7	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)	154	428	7	2.8	42
Cameron Pettaway (Tr)	72	365	0	5.1	34
Zane Flores (Tr)	52	117	2	2.3	27
Salahadin Allah (Tr)	19	71	0	3.7	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cody Jackson (Tr)	53	799	6	15.1	60
Omari Hayes (Tr)	39	515	1	13.2	42
Tyler Fortenberry (Tr)	32	294	2	9.2	28
Carter Pabst (Tr)	9	168	1	18.7	43

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malcolm Jones (Tr)	51	5	3	1	0
Sullivan Schlimgen (Tr)	49	2	0	1	0
Braden Awls (Tr)	48	7	1	0	4
Key'on Washington	37	2	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Terrell (Tr)	28	12	7	6	1
Malcolm Jones (Tr)	51	5	3	1	0
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)	17	4	3	3	2
Bryson Lamb (Tr)	25	4	2	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Braden Awls (Tr)	48	7	1	0	4
Key'on Washington	37	2	1	0	3
Seth Johnson (Tr)	7	0	0	1	2

UCF's OC Steve Cooper (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alonza Barnett	216	370	58%	2806	23	8	7.6
Keyone Jenkins (Tr)	164	263	62%	1742	9	6	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Landen Chambers (Tr)	242	1273	10	5.3	53
Alonza Barnett	127	589	15	4.6	58
Duke Watson (Tr)	49	158	1	3.2	15
Keyone Jenkins (Tr)	52	114	5	2.2	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua Derry	73	1101	13	15.1	75
Duane Thomas Jr.	53	528	0	10.0	41
Dylan Wade	43	523	5	12.2	83
Jonathan Bibbs (Tr)	26	383	3	14.7	68

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Alex Grinch (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lewis Carter	95	4	2	1	1
Jahleel Culbreath (Tr)	71	10	3	3	0
Demari Henderson	61	3	1	0	1
Rashad Henry (Tr)	51	3	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bruno Dall (Tr)	44	8	4	6	6
Jahleel Culbreath (Tr)	71	10	3	3	0
Lewis Carter	95	4	2	1	1
R.J. Jackson	24	3	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Bellamy	27	0	0	0	8
Bruno Dall (Tr)	44	8	4	6	6
Antoine Jackson	39	1	0	0	4