Oklahoma State at Iowa State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State CyclonesIowa State logo
Saturday, October 31st 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Jack Trice Stadium - Ames, IA

 
Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (10 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#131)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OKST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -15  (SP+ ISU -25)

Projected Score: OKST: 17 - ISU: 32 (49)
ISU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
OKST Travel: 446 miles
Cyclones (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (32 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#53)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oklahoma State at Tulsa+3.5
Sat 9/12 Oklahoma State vs Oregon+31.5
Sat 9/19 Oklahoma State vs Murray State-15.5
Sat 9/26 Oklahoma State at West Virginia+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Oklahoma State vs UCF+3.5
Sat 10/17 Oklahoma State at Houston+17.5
Sat 10/24 Oklahoma State vs Colorado-2
Sat 10/31 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+15
Sat 11/7 Oklahoma State at Kansas State+17
Sat 11/14 Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech+32.5
Sat 11/21 Oklahoma State at Arizona State+14.5
Sat 11/28 Oklahoma State vs Kansas+7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Iowa State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Iowa State vs Southeast Missouri State-28
Sat 9/12 Iowa State at Iowa+12
Sat 9/19 Iowa State vs Bowling Green-21
Sat 9/26 Iowa State vs Utah+10
Sat 10/3 Iowa State vs West Virginia-9
Sat 10/10 Iowa State at BYU+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Iowa State at Arizona+6.5
Sat 10/31 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State-15
Sat 11/7 Iowa State at Baylor+0.5
Sat 11/14 Iowa State vs Cincinnati-3
Sat 11/21 Iowa State at UCF-4
Sat 11/28 Iowa State vs Kansas State-0.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#133 (.01)35% (129)14.236% (128)2.59 (127)11835% (126)1742.96 (125)#130 (.28)45% (109)33.343% (76)48% (130)4 (100)47.31.41.1
ISU#60 (.19)45% (43)27.446% (45)3 (59)17444% (43)2213.54 (85)#32 (.09)39% (43)20.240% (42)40% (53)3.06 (20)401.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1214.210.235.4%2.961.4162931181743.547%52%36%35%19%.01
ISU Defense1220.218.839.4%3.061.5 - - - - - 47%50%40%40%17%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1233.341.444.8%41.1 - - - - - 52%46%43%48%15%.28
ISU Offense1227.432.344.7%3.541.2213961742214.454%45%46%44%15%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1228:5215.635%40%5.347.31.41.15.61.8125.8
Iowa State1231:3421.140%68%4.6401.21.551.1129.9
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1247% (94)36% (128)33.6118.43.510 (107)-.04 (134)2.59 (127)69% (87)11% (116)0.89 (100)
ISU Defense1247% (42)40% (42) - - - - .01 (17)2.79 (49)70% (56)10% (65)0.83 (11)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1252% (102)43% (76) - - - - .16 (99)2.98 (86)67% (39)10% (46)1.07 (118)
ISU Offense1254% (35)46% (45)39.8174.24.423 (30).15 (48)3 (59)69% (90)8% (36)0.93 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1252% (43)35% (126)17.530.4174.15.7107 (128)10 (60).07 (128)1.4 (126)36% (133)23% (131).15 (122)8% (121)2 (80)
ISU Defense1250% (92)40% (53) - - - - - - 11 (38).24 (67)1.6 (74)33% (45)29% (62).23 (47)7% (28)1.7 (3)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1246% (40)48% (130) - - - - - - 6 (100).44 (133)1.7 (112)30% (103)31% (89).37 (106)5% (118)2 (56)
ISU Offense1245% (101)44% (43)17.528.8221.47.712.716 (86)9 (20).29 (52)1.6 (55)30% (48)31% (68).21 (100)6% (81)2.1 (42)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -1.35  #65
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 12.19  #60
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 18.54  #75
2026 Talent Rating: 806.00  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Oklahoma State's 2026 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Oklahoma State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1  #121
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2  #131
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #100

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -1.35   Iowa State: 6.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -15.1   Iowa State: 9.9




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 6.8  #64
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 8.25  #83
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 14.55  #51
2026 Talent Rating: 722.00  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Iowa State's 2026 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9  #33
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1  #63
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5  #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.2
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.4

Oklahoma State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 32
Oklahoma State 17


Projected Total Points: 49
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Iowa State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Oklahoma State13Iowa State20Iowa State -13.5Oklahoma State47.5Under
202309/23Iowa State34Oklahoma State27Iowa State -3.5Iowa State36.0Over
202211/12Oklahoma State20Iowa State14Iowa State -2.5Oklahoma State47.5Under
202110/23Iowa State24Oklahoma State21Iowa State -7.5Oklahoma State47.0Under
202010/24Oklahoma State24Iowa State21Oklahoma State -3.0Push54.0Under
201910/26Iowa State27Oklahoma State34Iowa State -11.5Oklahoma State64.5Under
201810/06Oklahoma State42Iowa State48Oklahoma State -10Iowa State55.0Over
201711/11Iowa State42Oklahoma State49Oklahoma State -7.5Iowa State61.0Over
201610/08Oklahoma State38Iowa State31Oklahoma State -16.5Iowa State68.5Over
201511/14Iowa State31Oklahoma State35Oklahoma State -13.5Iowa State56.5Over
201410/04Oklahoma State37Iowa State20Oklahoma State -17Push0
201310/26Iowa State27Oklahoma State58Oklahoma State -14Oklahoma State0
201210/20Oklahoma State31Iowa State10
201111/18Iowa State37Oklahoma State31
200911/07Iowa State8Oklahoma State34
200811/01Oklahoma State59Iowa State17
200510/22Iowa State37Oklahoma State10
200410/02Oklahoma State36Iowa State7
200110/20Iowa State28Oklahoma State14
200010/13Oklahoma State26Iowa State33
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State855 Overs
Oklahoma State1255 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 85 - 51 - 44 - 1
Road Teams8 - 125 - 51 - 44 - 1

(#65) OKST at (#64) ISU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKSTISU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #65 #64
SP+SP+ #121 #33
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #54 #70
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #65
Oklahoma State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffISU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #129 #43
ExplosiveExp #116 #51
PPAPPA #133 #32
PowerPwr #60 #51
SP+SP+ #131 #25
Pts POPPO #125 #20
HavocHav #125 #46
Oklahoma State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffISU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #128 #42
Run ExplRExp #100 #11
PPAExp #134 #17
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #127 #49
Stuff RateStuff #89 #36
TackleTak - NR
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffISU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #126 #53
Pass ExplPExl #126 #74
PPAExp #128 #67
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #116 #65
DB HavocDB #121 #28
Iowa State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatISU OffOKST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #43 #109
ExplosiveExp #92 #124
PPAPPA #60 #130
PowerPwr #83 #75
SP+SP+ #63 #100
Pts POPPO #85 #100
HavocHav #54 #86
Iowa State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffOKST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #45 #76
Run ExplRExp #82 #118
PPAExp #48 #99
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #59 #86
Stuff RateStuff #57 #46
TackleTak - NR
Iowa State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatISU OffOKST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #43 #130
Pass ExplPExl #55 #112
PPAExp #52 #133
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #36 #46
DB HavocDB #81 #118
Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Oklahoma State last year (20-13)
Iowa State beat Oklahoma State in 2023 (34-27)

  
OKST's OC Sean Brophy (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)31946569%43693499.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)6311057%595325.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Hawkins (Tr)2311424256.251
Chris Barnes (Tr)13143011.078
Ayo Adeyi (Tr)2412005.024
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)578951.631
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Young (Tr)7012641018.184
Miles Coleman (Tr)47550211.759
Chris Barnes (Tr)39547314.070
Israel Polk (Tr)33525815.975

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Wesloski (Tr)1139260
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)843011
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)545123
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)3110510
Malik Charles283310
Billy Walton III (Tr)62200
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)545123
Maurion Horn (Tr)40003
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212

ISU's OC Tyler Roehl (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)33250066%336419116.7
Zane Flores (Tr)15526259%1454375.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)15442872.842
Cameron Pettaway (Tr)7236505.134
Zane Flores (Tr)5211722.327
Salahadin Allah (Tr)197103.716
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cody Jackson (Tr)53799615.160
Omari Hayes (Tr)39515113.242
Tyler Fortenberry (Tr)3229429.228
Carter Pabst (Tr)9168118.743

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcolm Jones (Tr)515310
Sullivan Schlimgen (Tr)492010
Braden Awls (Tr)487104
Key'on Washington372103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Terrell (Tr)2812761
Malcolm Jones (Tr)515310
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)174332
Bryson Lamb (Tr)254232
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braden Awls (Tr)487104
Key'on Washington372103
Seth Johnson (Tr)70012