Iowa State at Iowa - 2026 Matchup Preview
Iowa State logo Iowa State Cyclones at Iowa HawkeyesIowa logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kinnick Stadium - Iowa City, IA

 
Cyclones (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (22 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#53)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Iowa -12  (SP+ IOWA -10)
Projected Score: ISU: 17 - IOWA: 29 (45)
IOWA Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
ISU Travel: 110 miles
Hawkeyes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (213 - 128)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#49)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Iowa State vs Southeast Missouri State-28
Sat 9/12 Iowa State at Iowa+12
Sat 9/19 Iowa State vs Bowling Green-21
Sat 9/26 Iowa State vs Utah+10
Sat 10/3 Iowa State vs West Virginia-9
Sat 10/10 Iowa State at BYU+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Iowa State at Arizona+6.5
Sat 10/31 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State-15
Sat 11/7 Iowa State at Baylor+0.5
Sat 11/14 Iowa State vs Cincinnati-3
Sat 11/21 Iowa State at UCF-4
Sat 11/28 Iowa State vs Kansas State-0.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Iowa's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Iowa vs Iowa State-12

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#60 (.19)45% (43)27.446% (45)3 (59)17444% (43)2213.54 (85)#32 (.09)39% (43)20.240% (42)40% (53)3.06 (20)401.21.5
IOWA#73 (.17)44% (45)29.348% (16)3.29 (15)17739% (97)1434.44 (20)#26 (.08)39% (29)16.141% (54)37% (25)3.34 (38)30.211.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1227.422.244.7%3.541.2213961742214.454%45%46%44%15%.19
IOWA Defense1316.113.738.5%3.341.1 - - - - - 48%50%41%37%17%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1220.221.639.4%3.061.5 - - - - - 47%50%40%40%17%.09
IOWA Offense1329.328.344.5%4.441173201771434.660%38%48%39%11%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1231:3421.140%68%4.6401.21.551.1129.9
Iowa1331:2717.543%67%330.211.14.81.9533.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1254% (35)46% (45)39.8174.24.423 (30).15 (48)3 (59)69% (90)8% (36)0.93 (82)
IOWA Defense1348% (45)41% (54) - - - - .08 (53)2.92 (75)69% (50)10% (52)0.89 (33)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1247% (42)40% (42) - - - - .01 (17)2.79 (49)70% (56)10% (65)0.83 (11)
IOWA Offense1360% (12)48% (16)38.8176.94.628 (23).19 (34)3.29 (15)81% (10)8% (32)0.9 (98)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1245% (101)44% (43)17.528.8221.47.712.716 (86)9 (20).29 (52)1.6 (55)30% (48)31% (68).21 (100)6% (81)2.1 (42)
IOWA Defense1350% (91)37% (25) - - - - - - 11 (38).16 (30)1.4 (8)29% (105)24% (10).22 (41)7% (32)2 (52)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1250% (92)40% (53) - - - - - - 11 (38).24 (67)1.6 (74)33% (45)29% (62).23 (47)7% (28)1.7 (3)
IOWA Offense1338% (126)39% (97)13.822143.26.510.312 (128)8 (60).24 (71)1.5 (68)27% (15)26% (112).2 (110)3% (4)1.9 (92)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: -1.30  #64
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 8.25  #83
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 14.55  #51
2026 Talent Rating: 722.00  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Iowa State's 2026 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9  #33
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1  #63
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5  #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: -1.30   Iowa: 16.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 9.9   Iowa: 19.7




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 16.28  #35
Iowa's Offense Rating: 12.85  #55
Iowa's Defense Rating: 9.99  #26
2026 Talent Rating: 854.00  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
Iowa's 2026 Expected Record: 8.4 - 4.6
Iowa's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.7  #12
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #37
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Iowa State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 29
Iowa State 17

Projected Total Points: 45
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Iowa's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Iowa State16Iowa13Iowa State -3.0Push43.0Under
202409/07Iowa19Iowa State20Iowa -3Iowa State35.0Over
202309/09Iowa State13Iowa20Iowa -3.5Iowa35.5Under
202209/10Iowa7Iowa State10Iowa -3.5Iowa State39.0Under
202109/11Iowa State17Iowa27Iowa State -4Iowa45.0Under
201909/14Iowa State17Iowa18Iowa -1.5Iowa State42.5Under
201809/08Iowa13Iowa State3Iowa -3.5Iowa47.0Under
201709/09Iowa State41Iowa44Iowa -3.5Iowa State48.5Over
201609/10Iowa42Iowa State3Iowa -18Iowa49.0Under
201509/12Iowa State17Iowa31Iowa -4Iowa48.0Push
201409/13Iowa17Iowa State20Iowa -15.5Iowa State0
201309/14Iowa State21Iowa27Iowa -3Iowa0
201209/08Iowa6Iowa State9
201109/10Iowa State44Iowa41
201009/11Iowa35Iowa State7
200909/12Iowa State3Iowa35
200809/13Iowa17Iowa State5
200709/15Iowa State15Iowa13
200609/16Iowa27Iowa State17
200509/10Iowa State23Iowa3
200409/11Iowa17Iowa State10
200309/13Iowa State21Iowa40
200209/14Iowa31Iowa State36
200111/24Iowa State17Iowa14
200009/15Iowa14Iowa State24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa1462 Overs
Iowa State1157 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 144 - 72 - 42 - 3
Road Teams14 - 117 - 43 - 24 - 2

(#64) ISU at (#35) IOWA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatISUIOWA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #64 #35
SP+SP+ #33 #12
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #70 #34
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #33
Iowa State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffIOWA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #43 #29
ExplosiveExp #92 #8
PPAPPA #60 #26
PowerPwr #83 #26
SP+SP+ #63 #6
Pts POPPO #85 #38
HavocHav #54 #42
Iowa State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffIOWA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #45 #54
Run ExplRExp #82 #33
PPAExp #48 #53
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #59 #75
Stuff RateStuff #57 #71
TackleTak - NR
Iowa State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffIOWA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #43 #25
Pass ExplPExl #55 #8
PPAExp #52 #30
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #36 #52
DB HavocDB #81 #32
Iowa on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatIOWA OffISU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #45 #43
ExplosiveExp #132 #51
PPAPPA #73 #32
PowerPwr #55 #51
SP+SP+ #37 #25
Pts POPPO #20 #20
HavocHav #6 #46
Iowa Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
IOWA OffISU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #16 #42
Run ExplRExp #98 #11
PPAExp #34 #17
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #15 #49
Stuff RateStuff #15 #36
TackleTak - NR
Iowa Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatIOWA OffISU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #97 #53
Pass ExplPExl #68 #74
PPAExp #71 #67
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #32 #65
DB HavocDB #4 #28
Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Iowa last year (16-13)
Iowa State beat Iowa in 2024 (20-19)
Iowa beat Iowa State in 2023 (20-13)

  
ISU's OC Tyler Roehl (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)33250066%336419116.7
Zane Flores (Tr)15526259%1454375.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)15442872.842
Cameron Pettaway (Tr)7236505.134
Zane Flores (Tr)5211722.327
Salahadin Allah (Tr)197103.716
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cody Jackson (Tr)53799615.160
Omari Hayes (Tr)39515113.242
Tyler Fortenberry (Tr)3229429.228
Carter Pabst (Tr)9168118.743

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcolm Jones (Tr)515310
Sullivan Schlimgen (Tr)492010
Braden Awls (Tr)487104
Key'on Washington372103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Terrell (Tr)2812761
Malcolm Jones (Tr)515310
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)174332
Bryson Lamb (Tr)254232
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braden Awls (Tr)487104
Key'on Washington372103
Seth Johnson (Tr)70012

IOWA's OC Tim Lester (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Brown112152%107115.1
Jeremy Hecklinski22100%8004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
L.J. Phillips Jr. (Tr)2811860196.667
Kamari Moulton17087855.234
Xavier Williams4928535.843
Nathan Mcneil3716904.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan James (Tr)65796712.261
DJ Vonnahme29434315.051
Ayden Price20365218.363
Reece Vander Zee15219214.629

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Lutmer716107
Tyler Brown (Tr)715105
Jayden Montgomery441022
Deshaun Lee341006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lance Ingold (Tr)172220
Zach Lutmer716107
Tyler Brown (Tr)715105
Alex Mota10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Lutmer716107
Deshaun Lee341006
Tyler Brown (Tr)715105