Tulsa at Arkansas - 2026 Matchup Preview

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field - Fayetteville, AR

Golden Hurricane (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#53)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

ARK 2nd straight Home Game
ARK is playing their 4th straight game
TLSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Arkansas -11 (SP+ ARK -15)
Projected Score: TLSA: 24 - ARK: 35 (59)
ARK Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
TLSA Travel: 99 miles

Razorbacks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#83)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
TLSA Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulsa's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Tulsa vs Oklahoma State	-1.5
Sat 9/12	Tulsa at Sam Houston	-16
Sat 9/19	Tulsa vs East Texas A&M	-19.5
Sat 9/26	Tulsa at Arkansas	+11
Thu 10/1	Tulsa vs North Texas	+6
Sat 10/10	Tulsa at Navy	+6.5
Sat 10/17	Tulsa at Rice	-7.5
Fri 10/23	Tulsa vs Army	-1
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Tulsa at Tulane	+8
Sat 11/14	Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic	-7
Sat 11/21	Tulsa vs Charlotte	-19
Sat 11/28	Tulsa at UTSA	+6.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Arkansas's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arkansas vs North Alabama	-28.5
Sat 9/12	Arkansas at Utah	+15.5
Sat 9/19	Arkansas vs Georgia	+19
Sat 9/26	Arkansas vs Tulsa	-11
Sat 10/3	Arkansas at Texas A&M	+21.5
Sat 10/10	Arkansas vs Tennessee	+11
Sat 10/17	Arkansas at Vanderbilt	+13.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Arkansas vs Missouri	+11
Sat 11/7	Arkansas at Auburn	+12.5
Sat 11/14	Arkansas vs South Carolina	+1.5
Sat 11/21	Arkansas at Texas	+20
Sat 11/28	Arkansas vs LSU	+11.5

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	#105 (.11)	40% (97)	23.2	42% (88)	2.87 (79)	176	38% (105)	223	3.34 (106)	#60 (.15)	43% (81)	28.9	42% (65)	44% (100)	3.78 (77)	38.2	1.6	0.9
ARK	#11 (.31)	49% (12)	32.9	54% (1)	3.43 (6)	192	45% (38)	263	4.2 (31)	#127 (.27)	47% (127)	33.8	50% (132)	46% (117)	4.21 (119)	67	1.7	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Offense	12	23.2	19	40.4%	3.34	1.6	22	399	176	223	4.4	51%	47%	42%	38%	17%	.11
ARK Defense	12	33.8	35	47.3%	4.21	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	50%	46%	15%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Defense	12	28.9	30.7	42.5%	3.78	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	42%	44%	13%	.15
ARK Offense	12	32.9	30.5	48.7%	4.2	1.7	23	455	192	263	5.7	48%	51%	54%	45%	17%	.31

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulsa	12	28:33	22.2	38%	57%	5.1	38.2	1.6	0.9	5.3	1.9	0	27.4
Arkansas	12	29:01	23.3	47%	53%	7.8	67	1.7	0.8	5.4	1.8	2	27.4

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense	12	51% (56)	42% (88)	40.4	176	4.4	18 (107)	.05 (101)	2.87 (79)	60% (127)	11% (111)	1.03 (47)
ARK Defense	12	54% (118)	50% (132)	-	-	-	-	.21 (125)	3.05 (100)	71% (68)	9% (89)	0.95 (61)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense	12	56% (127)	42% (65)	-	-	-	-	.06 (47)	2.92 (76)	67% (36)	9% (99)	0.94 (58)
ARK Offense	12	48% (78)	54% (1)	33.6	192.2	5.7	25 (30)	.3 (4)	3.43 (6)	65% (106)	10% (79)	1.08 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense	12	47% (82)	38% (105)	20.1	34.1	222.5	6.5	11.1	15 (86)	10 (108)	.15 (114)	1.5 (104)	32% (80)	28% (89)	.26 (87)	6% (78)	1.9 (106)
ARK Defense	12	44% (15)	46% (117)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.44 (132)	1.7 (122)	31% (84)	36% (132)	.44 (129)	6% (52)	2.1 (107)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense	12	43% (14)	44% (100)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (55)	.28 (84)	1.5 (52)	29% (115)	31% (92)	.28 (65)	4% (131)	1.8 (15)
ARK Offense	12	51% (55)	45% (38)	19.3	31.8	262.9	8.3	13.7	22 (8)	11 (60)	.37 (31)	1.7 (22)	31% (59)	40% (4)	.58 (5)	7% (114)	2.3 (3)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: 2.43 #68
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 12.62 #72
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 15.19 #65
2026 Talent Rating: 646.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #103
Tulsa's 2026 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Tulsa's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #104
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 572.14
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: 2.43 Arkansas: 7.44

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -10.0 Arkansas: 5.1

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 7.44 #57
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 17.15 #34
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 17.37 #80
2026 Talent Rating: 856.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #36
Arkansas's 2026 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Arkansas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #16
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #99

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 996.13
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas 35
Tulsa 24

Projected Total Points: 59

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	10/20	Arkansas	23	Tulsa	0	Arkansas -7.5	Arkansas	52.0	Under
2012	11/03	Arkansas	19	Tulsa	15
2008	11/01	Arkansas	30	Tulsa	23
2003	09/06	Arkansas	45	Tulsa	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	4	1	0 Overs
Tulsa	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#68) TLSA at (#57) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TLSA	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#68	#57
SP+SP+	#104	#53
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#86	#47
Blue ChipsBC%	#103	#36

Tulsa Notes(2/27) Vibes: Should be sky high. Could challenge AAC?
(2/28) QB Hayes played OK as Fr, gunslinger & can move
(2/28) CB Elijah Green is a 6'4 star, AA & great retain
(2/28) Easiest SOS in AAC, but OOC vs Ok St & Ark
(2/27) Year 2 of Tre Lamb, I'm a believer, big year
(2/27) RB 4 adds, really good, Jones (ODU) a weapon
(2/27) WR 2 productive portals and LY depth back. Good
(2/27) OL 6 have starting exp, could really improve TY
(2/27) DL meh, 5 have good exp. Prod was below avg
(2/27) Def back 7 looks really good. Solid secondary
Tulsa Injury Report

Arkansas Notes(2/17) Vibes: Skeptical, seem uneasy of Silverfield hire
(2/10) QB1 AJ Hill (Memphis, big croot) or KJ Jackson.
(2/2) New staff & new roster, 40 portals in/42 out
(2/2) RB Smith (Mem) decent but small. Some depth
(2/2) WR has 4 exp'd options. Should be good unit
(2/2) OL looks good. 5 proven starters (3 are portals)
(2/2) DL is very light on exp. 5 portals must hit
(2/2) LBs a lot of avg portals but have good exp
(2/2) DBs took 11 portals. Should patch OK unit here
Arkansas Injury Report

Tulsa on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#97	#127
ExplosiveExp	#59	#76
PPAPPA	#105	#127
PowerPwr	#72	#80
SP+SP+	#105	#99
Pts POPPO	#106	#119
HavocHav	#104	#74

Tulsa Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#88	#132
Run ExplRExp	#47	#61
PPAExp	#101	#125
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#79	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#125	#63
TackleTak	-	NR

Tulsa Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#105	#117
Pass ExplPExl	#104	#122
PPAExp	#114	#132
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#111	#89
DB HavocDB	#78	#52

Arkansas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TLSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#12	#81
ExplosiveExp	#17	#44
PPAPPA	#11	#60
PowerPwr	#34	#65
SP+SP+	#16	#107
Pts POPPO	#31	#77
HavocHav	#102	#121

Arkansas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#1	#65
Run ExplRExp	#25	#58
PPAExp	#4	#47
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#6	#76
Stuff RateStuff	#93	#76
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#38	#100
Pass ExplPExl	#22	#52
PPAExp	#31	#84
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#79	#99
DB HavocDB	#114	#131

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TLSA's OC Ty Darlington (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Baylor Hayes	186	316	59%	2159	12	6	6.8
Dexter Williams II (Tr)	67	125	54%	787	6	3	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trequan Jones (Tr)	105	792	6	7.5	93
DJ McKinney (Tr)	111	464	7	4.2	54
Baylor Hayes	95	188	3	2.0	24
Dexter Williams II (Tr)	41	153	3	3.7	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Javon Ross (Tr)	50	603	3	12.1	79
David Wells Jr. (Tr)	44	466	4	10.6	56
Grayson Tempest	22	272	1	12.4	51
Josh Smith	9	201	1	22.3	43

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Mike Gray (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devin Hightower (Tr)	81	3	1	2	0
Zach Williams	73	1	0	0	7
William Alexander	66	1	0	1	0
Elijah Green	59	2	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Thomas Davis (Tr)	25	6	3	2
Dax Collins	10	1	1	0
Devin Hightower (Tr)	81	3	1	2
Tai Newhouse	39	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Elijah Green	59	2	7
Zach Williams	73	1	7
Caldra Williford (Tr)	16	1	4

ARK's OC Tim Cramsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
KJ Jackson	33	54	61%	441	3	0	8.2
AJ Hill (Tr)	19	32	59%	223	1	1	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sutton Smith (Tr)	102	669	7	6.6	84
Braylen Russell	55	286	5	5.2	23
Jasper Parker (Tr)	25	93	2	3.7	11
KJ Jackson	11	52	2	4.7	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donovan Faupel (Tr)	61	661	7	10.8	55
Jamari Hawkins (Tr)	38	623	2	16.4	57
Chris Marshall (Tr)	30	574	2	19.1	46
CJ Brown	28	319	3	11.4	26

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khmori House (Tr)	73	3	1	6	1
Christian Harrison (Tr)	55	3	0	0	7
Miguel Mitchell	52	1	1	0	1
Bradley Shaw	50	5	2	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.	43	16	8	6	0
Steven Soles Jr. (Tr)	11	5	4	3	2
Ben Bogle (Tr)	37	5	3	1	0
Bradley Shaw	50	5	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jaheim Johnson	38	1	0	9
Christian Harrison (Tr)	55	3	0	7
Carter Stoutmire (Tr)	33	0	1	5