Arkansas at Vanderbilt - 2026 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt logo
Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Vanderbilt Stadium - Nashville, TN

 
Razorbacks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#124)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VAN 2nd straight Home Game
VAN is playing their 7th straight game
ARK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Vanderbilt -15  (SP+ VAN -15)
Projected Score: ARK: 25 - VAN: 40 (65)
VAN Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
ARK Travel: 411 miles
Commodores (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (26 - 36)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 2.4 (#14)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arkansas vs North Alabama-27.5
Sat 9/12 Arkansas at Utah+15.5
Sat 9/19 Arkansas vs Georgia+20
Sat 9/26 Arkansas vs Tulsa-13.5
Sat 10/3 Arkansas at Texas A&M+22
Sat 10/10 Arkansas vs Tennessee+9.5
Sat 10/17 Arkansas at Vanderbilt+15
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Arkansas vs Missouri+11
Sat 11/7 Arkansas at Auburn+11.5
Sat 11/14 Arkansas vs South Carolina+3
Sat 11/21 Arkansas at Texas+20
Sat 11/28 Arkansas vs LSU+11

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Vanderbilt vs Austin Peay-40
Sat 9/12 Vanderbilt vs Delaware-33
Sat 9/19 Vanderbilt vs NC State-12
Sat 9/26 Vanderbilt at Auburn-1.5
Sat 10/3 Vanderbilt at Georgia+12.5
Sat 10/10 Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss+1.5
Sat 10/17 Vanderbilt vs Arkansas-15
Sat 10/24 Vanderbilt at Kentucky-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Vanderbilt at Mississippi State-7.5
Sat 11/14 Vanderbilt vs Alabama-1.5
Sat 11/21 Vanderbilt at Florida-4.5
Sat 11/28 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee-3

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#11 (.31)49% (12)32.954% (1)3.43 (6)19245% (38)2634.2 (31)#127 (.27)47% (127)33.850% (132)46% (117)4.21 (119)671.70.8
VAN#1 (.44)52% (1)38.550% (8)3.37 (9)17654% (3)2875 (3)#99 (.2)42% (68)22.840% (46)43% (91)3.9 (90)59.70.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1232.931.248.7%4.21.7234551922635.748%51%54%45%17%.31
VAN Defense1322.821.141.7%3.91.2 - - - - - 44%54%40%43%17%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense1233.836.447.3%4.210.8 - - - - - 54%44%50%46%15%.27
VAN Offense1338.54451.9%50.9244631762875.747%52%50%54%13%.44

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1229:0123.347%53%7.8671.70.85.41.8227.4
Vanderbilt1331:1824.151%56%6.859.70.91.26.22.4129.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1248% (78)54% (1)33.6192.25.725 (30).3 (4)3.43 (6)65% (106)10% (79)1.08 (25)
VAN Defense1344% (11)40% (46) - - - - .04 (31)2.66 (24)72% (75)11% (20)0.93 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1254% (118)50% (132) - - - - .21 (125)3.05 (100)71% (68)9% (89)0.95 (61)
VAN Offense1347% (92)50% (8)30.9175.95.735 (4).35 (1)3.37 (9)76% (38)8% (30)1.21 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1251% (55)45% (38)19.331.8262.98.313.722 (8)11 (60).37 (31)1.7 (22)31% (59)40% (4).58 (5)7% (114)2.3 (3)
VAN Defense1354% (124)43% (91) - - - - - - 8 (75).35 (115)1.6 (76)34% (25)30% (78).38 (109)6% (69)2 (78)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1244% (15)46% (117) - - - - - - 6 (75).44 (132)1.7 (122)31% (84)36% (132).44 (129)6% (52)2.1 (107)
VAN Offense1352% (44)54% (3)21.530.8287.39.313.430 (22)8 (34).55 (1)1.5 (74)26% (13)49% (1).78 (1)5% (28)2 (78)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 2.67  #54
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 15.03  #34
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 17.36  #71
2026 Talent Rating: 922.00  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 14%  #33
Arkansas's 2026 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Arkansas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #16
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #99

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 2.67   Vanderbilt: 19.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 5.1   Vanderbilt: 20.3




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 19.09  #22
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 22.11  #10
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 14.23  #45
2026 Talent Rating: 818.00  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #49
Vanderbilt's 2026 Expected Record: 10.6 - 2.4
Vanderbilt's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.3  #11
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9  #5
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #39

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.4

Arkansas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 40
Arkansas 25

Projected Total Points: 65
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

Vanderbilt's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201810/27Arkansas31Vanderbilt45Vanderbilt -1Vanderbilt51.5Over
201110/29Vanderbilt28Arkansas31
201010/30Arkansas49Vanderbilt14
200609/16Vanderbilt19Arkansas21
200509/10Arkansas24Vanderbilt28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt211 Overs
Arkansas300 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 40 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams4 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#54) ARK at (#22) VAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARKVAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #54 #22
SP+SP+ #53 #11
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #25 #49
Blue ChipsBC% #33 #49
Arkansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffVAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #12 #68
ExplosiveExp #17 #103
PPAPPA #11 #99
PowerPwr #34 #45
SP+SP+ #16 #39
Pts POPPO #31 #90
HavocHav #102 #39
Arkansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffVAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #1 #46
Run ExplRExp #25 #54
PPAExp #4 #31
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #6 #24
Stuff RateStuff #93 #31
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffVAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #38 #91
Pass ExplPExl #22 #76
PPAExp #31 #115
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #79 #20
DB HavocDB #114 #69
Vanderbilt on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatVAN OffARK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #1 #127
ExplosiveExp #9 #76
PPAPPA #1 #127
PowerPwr #10 #71
SP+SP+ #5 #99
Pts POPPO #3 #119
HavocHav #25 #74
Vanderbilt Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffARK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #8 #132
Run ExplRExp #2 #61
PPAExp #1 #125
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #9 #100
Stuff RateStuff #25 #63
TackleTak - NR
Vanderbilt Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatVAN OffARK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #3 #117
Pass ExplPExl #74 #122
PPAExp #1 #132
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #30 #89
DB HavocDB #28 #52
Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'26 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARK's OC Tim Cramsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Jackson335461%441308.2
AJ Hill (Tr)193259%223117.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sutton Smith (Tr)10266976.684
Braylen Russell5528655.223
Jasper Parker (Tr)259323.711
KJ Jackson115224.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donovan Faupel (Tr)61661710.855
Jamari Hawkins (Tr)38623216.457
Chris Marshall (Tr)30574219.146
Rohan Jones19519427.362

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khmori House (Tr)733161
Caleb Wooden593013
Christian Harrison (Tr)553007
Miguel Mitchell521101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.4316860
Steven Soles Jr. (Tr)115432
Ben Bogle (Tr)375310
Bradley Shaw505211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson381009
Christian Harrison (Tr)553007
Carter Stoutmire (Tr)330015

VAN's OC Tim Beck (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blaze Berlowitz91753%131107.7
Whit Muschamp2367%400013.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sedrick Alexander106570115.465
Makhilyn Young4541169.180
Jamezell Lassiter9143215.948
Blaze Berlowitz118117.443
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Sherrill54784714.546
Ja'Cory Thomas (Tr)41714517.455
Jayvontay Conner (Tr)23333314.579
Cole Spence15233215.533

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Steve Gregory (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard714253
Bryan Longwell709142
Talan Carter (Tr)557232
Nicholas Rinaldi477491
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi477491
Bryce Cowan324351
C.J. Heard714253
Talan Carter (Tr)557232
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard714253
Ricardo Jones (Tr)391003
Jordan Matthews191003