Missouri at Arkansas - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 31st 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field - Fayetteville, AR

Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (46 - 29)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (18 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#53)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MIZ coming off BYE
ARK coming off BYE
Our Line: Missouri -11 (SP+ MIZ -9.5)
Projected Score: MIZ: 33 - ARK: 22 (54)
MIZ Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
MIZ Travel: 222 miles

Razorbacks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#124)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIZ Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Missouri vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-41
Sat 9/12	Missouri at Kansas	-13.5
Sat 9/19	Missouri vs Troy	-28
Sat 9/26	Missouri at Mississippi State	-8.5
Sat 10/3	Missouri vs Florida	-10.5
Sat 10/10	Missouri vs Texas A&M	+3.5
Sat 10/17	Missouri at Ole Miss	+6
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Missouri at Arkansas	-11
Sat 11/7	Missouri vs Texas	+1.5
Sat 11/14	Missouri at Georgia	+12
Sat 11/21	Missouri vs Kentucky	-17
Sat 11/28	Missouri vs Oklahoma	+0.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Arkansas's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arkansas vs North Alabama	-27.5
Sat 9/12	Arkansas at Utah	+15.5
Sat 9/19	Arkansas vs Georgia	+20
Sat 9/26	Arkansas vs Tulsa	-13.5
Sat 10/3	Arkansas at Texas A&M	+22
Sat 10/10	Arkansas vs Tennessee	+9.5
Sat 10/17	Arkansas at Vanderbilt	+15
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Arkansas vs Missouri	+11
Sat 11/7	Arkansas at Auburn	+11.5
Sat 11/14	Arkansas vs South Carolina	+3
Sat 11/21	Arkansas at Texas	+20
Sat 11/28	Arkansas vs LSU	+11

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	#50 (.2)	45% (42)	30.2	48% (21)	3.12 (37)	228	42% (64)	188	3.85 (56)	#11 (.04)	35% (7)	18.9	36% (8)	35% (12)	3.36 (40)	51.2	1.3	0.9
ARK	#11 (.31)	49% (12)	32.9	54% (1)	3.43 (6)	192	45% (38)	263	4.2 (31)	#127 (.27)	47% (127)	33.8	50% (132)	46% (117)	4.21 (119)	67	1.7	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	13	30.2	17.5	44.8%	3.85	1.3	23	417	228	188	5.3	55%	43%	48%	42%	13%	.2
ARK Defense	12	33.8	35	47.3%	4.21	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	50%	46%	15%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	13	18.9	17	34.6%	3.36	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	36%	35%	20%	.04
ARK Offense	12	32.9	30.5	48.7%	4.2	1.7	23	455	192	263	5.7	48%	51%	54%	45%	17%	.31

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	13	31:51	23.1	45%	59%	5.5	51.2	1.3	0.9	6.9	2.8	4	28.1
Arkansas	12	29:01	23.3	47%	53%	7.8	67	1.7	0.8	5.4	1.8	2	27.4

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	13	55% (31)	48% (21)	42.8	228.5	5.3	31 (4)	.23 (15)	3.12 (37)	89% (1)	9% (47)	1.08 (26)
ARK Defense	12	54% (118)	50% (132)	-	-	-	-	.21 (125)	3.05 (100)	71% (68)	9% (89)	0.95 (61)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	13	47% (41)	36% (8)	-	-	-	-	.01 (20)	2.64 (23)	69% (50)	12% (10)	0.95 (66)
ARK Offense	12	48% (78)	54% (1)	33.6	192.2	5.7	25 (30)	.3 (4)	3.43 (6)	65% (106)	10% (79)	1.08 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	13	43% (108)	42% (64)	17.6	27.8	188.4	6.8	10.7	15 (50)	11 (108)	.18 (108)	1.4 (115)	29% (35)	31% (61)	.28 (77)	4% (15)	2.1 (29)
ARK Defense	12	44% (15)	46% (117)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.44 (132)	1.7 (122)	31% (84)	36% (132)	.44 (129)	6% (52)	2.1 (107)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	13	51% (98)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (75)	.1 (14)	1.6 (82)	35% (20)	28% (35)	.27 (60)	7% (14)	2.1 (82)
ARK Offense	12	51% (55)	45% (38)	19.3	31.8	262.9	8.3	13.7	22 (8)	11 (60)	.37 (31)	1.7 (22)	31% (59)	40% (4)	.58 (5)	7% (114)	2.3 (3)

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 20.22 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 17.84 #23
Missouri's Defense Rating: 2.62 #9
2026 Talent Rating: 896.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 32% #21
Missouri's 2026 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Missouri's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #21
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #47
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 20.22 Arkansas: 6.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 14.4 Arkansas: 5.1

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 6.385 #54
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 15.03 #34
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 17.36 #71
2026 Talent Rating: 922.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Arkansas's 2026 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Arkansas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #16
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #99

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Missouri's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 33
Arkansas 22

Projected Total Points: 54

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Arkansas	17	Missouri	31	Missouri -4.5	Missouri	54.5	Under
2024	11/30	Missouri	28	Arkansas	21	Missouri -3.5	Missouri	51.5	Under
2023	11/24	Arkansas	14	Missouri	48	Missouri -9.5	Missouri	53.5	Over
2022	11/25	Missouri	29	Arkansas	27	Arkansas -3.0	Missouri	55.5	Over
2021	11/26	Arkansas	34	Missouri	17	Arkansas -14.5	Arkansas	63.0	Under
2020	12/05	Missouri	50	Arkansas	48	Missouri -2	Push	55.5	Over
2019	11/29	Arkansas	14	Missouri	24	Missouri -15	Arkansas	53.0	Under
2018	11/23	Missouri	38	Arkansas	0	Missouri -24	Missouri	59.0	Under
2017	11/24	Arkansas	45	Missouri	48	Missouri -9.5	Arkansas	68.5	Over
2016	11/25	Missouri	28	Arkansas	24	Arkansas -7.5	Missouri	72.0	Under
2015	11/27	Arkansas	28	Missouri	3	Arkansas -14	Arkansas	44.0	Under
2014	11/28	Missouri	21	Arkansas	14	Arkansas -1.5	Missouri	0
2007	01/01	Arkansas	7	Missouri	38
2003	12/31	Arkansas	27	Missouri	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	3	4	4 Overs
Missouri	11	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	9 - 2	4 - 0	5 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 9	2 - 9	2 - 5	0 - 4

(#14) MIZ at (#54) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIZ	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#14	#54
SP+SP+	#21	#53
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#27	#25
Blue ChipsBC%	#21	#33

Missouri Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

Missouri on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#42	#127
ExplosiveExp	#86	#76
PPAPPA	#50	#127
PowerPwr	#23	#71
SP+SP+	#47	#99
Pts POPPO	#56	#119
HavocHav	#23	#74

Missouri Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#21	#132
Run ExplRExp	#26	#61
PPAExp	#15	#125
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#37	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#63
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#64	#117
Pass ExplPExl	#115	#122
PPAExp	#108	#132
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#47	#89
DB HavocDB	#15	#52

Arkansas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	MIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#12	#7
ExplosiveExp	#17	#73
PPAPPA	#11	#11
PowerPwr	#34	#9
SP+SP+	#16	#10
Pts POPPO	#31	#40
HavocHav	#102	#8

Arkansas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#1	#8
Run ExplRExp	#25	#66
PPAExp	#4	#20
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#6	#23
Stuff RateStuff	#93	#37
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#38	#12
Pass ExplPExl	#22	#82
PPAExp	#31	#14
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#79	#10
DB HavocDB	#114	#14

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Arkansas last year (31-17)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2024 (28-21)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2023 (48-14)

MIZ's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Matt Zollers	47	88	53%	503	4	2	5.7
Austin Simmons (Tr)	45	75	60%	744	4	5	9.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmad Hardy	256	1649	16	6.4	72
Jamal Roberts	124	753	6	6.1	63
Austin Simmons (Tr)	22	71	1	3.2	14
Sam Horn	1	6	0	6.0	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cayden Lee (Tr)	44	635	3	14.4	62
Caleb Goodie (Tr)	29	484	2	16.7	82
Donovan Olugbode	30	401	2	13.4	34
Brett Norfleet	31	254	5	8.2	27

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josiah Trotter	84	13	2	7	1
Robert Woodyard Jr. (Tr)	67	7	2	5	1
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	0	7
Santana Banner	59	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darris Smith	15	6	5	11	2
Robert Woodyard Jr. (Tr)	67	7	2	5	1
Josiah Trotter	84	13	2	7	1
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	0	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	7
Chris Graves	33	1	0	4
Santana Banner	59	1	0	3

ARK's OC Tim Cramsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
KJ Jackson	33	54	61%	441	3	0	8.2
AJ Hill (Tr)	19	32	59%	223	1	1	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sutton Smith (Tr)	102	669	7	6.6	84
Braylen Russell	55	286	5	5.2	23
Jasper Parker (Tr)	25	93	2	3.7	11
KJ Jackson	11	52	2	4.7	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donovan Faupel (Tr)	61	661	7	10.8	55
Jamari Hawkins (Tr)	38	623	2	16.4	57
Chris Marshall (Tr)	30	574	2	19.1	46
Rohan Jones	19	519	4	27.3	62

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khmori House (Tr)	73	3	1	6	1
Caleb Wooden	59	3	0	1	3
Christian Harrison (Tr)	55	3	0	0	7
Miguel Mitchell	52	1	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.	43	16	8	6	0
Steven Soles Jr. (Tr)	11	5	4	3	2
Ben Bogle (Tr)	37	5	3	1	0
Bradley Shaw	50	5	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jaheim Johnson	38	1	0	9
Christian Harrison (Tr)	55	3	0	7
Carter Stoutmire (Tr)	33	0	1	5