Arkansas at Texas A&M - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas A&M Aggies

Texas A&M logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kyle Field - College Station, TX  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#83)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
TA&M is playing their 5th straight game
ARK is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -21.5  (SP+ TA&M -16)
Projected Score: ARK: 19 - TA&M: 40 (59)
TA&M Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
ARK Travel: 397 miles
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#11)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
Arkansas's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arkansas vs North Alabama-28.5
Sat 9/12 Arkansas at Utah+15.5
Sat 9/19 Arkansas vs Georgia+19
Sat 9/26 Arkansas vs Tulsa-11
Sat 10/3 Arkansas at Texas A&M+21.5
Sat 10/10 Arkansas vs Tennessee+11
Sat 10/17 Arkansas at Vanderbilt+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Arkansas vs Missouri+11
Sat 11/7 Arkansas at Auburn+12.5
Sat 11/14 Arkansas vs South Carolina+1.5
Sat 11/21 Arkansas at Texas+20
Sat 11/28 Arkansas vs LSU+11.5

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Texas A&M vs Missouri State-35.5
Sat 9/12 Texas A&M vs Arizona State-20
Sat 9/19 Texas A&M vs Kentucky-22.5
Sat 9/26 Texas A&M at LSU-2.5
Sat 10/3 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-21.5
Sat 10/10 Texas A&M at Missouri-2.5
Sat 10/17 Texas A&M vs The Citadel-47.5
Sat 10/24 Texas A&M at Alabama-2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Texas A&M at South Carolina-12.5
Sat 11/14 Texas A&M vs Tennessee-8
Sat 11/21 Texas A&M at Oklahoma+1
Fri 11/27 Texas A&M vs Texas-4

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#11 (.31)49% (12)32.954% (1)3.43 (6)19245% (38)2634.2 (31)#127 (.27)47% (127)33.850% (132)46% (117)4.21 (119)671.70.8
TA&M#29 (.24)46% (28)33.847% (35)3.16 (30)18546% (27)2604.14 (33)#55 (.13)34% (5)2136% (9)33% (5)3.91 (95)60.71.50.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1232.931.248.7%4.21.7234551922635.748%51%54%45%17%.31
TA&M Defense132115.334.1%3.910.8 - - - - - 46%52%36%33%21%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense1233.836.447.3%4.210.8 - - - - - 54%44%50%46%15%.27
TA&M Offense1333.831.146.1%4.141.5234451852604.952%47%47%46%11%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1229:0123.347%53%7.8671.70.85.41.8227.4
Texas A&M1332:3022.541%71%7.260.71.50.88.53.3232.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1248% (78)54% (1)33.6192.25.725 (30).3 (4)3.43 (6)65% (106)10% (79)1.08 (25)
TA&M Defense1346% (25)36% (9) - - - - .15 (96)2.67 (26)75% (97)16% (3)1.29 (136)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1254% (118)50% (132) - - - - .21 (125)3.05 (100)71% (68)9% (89)0.95 (61)
TA&M Offense1352% (49)47% (35)38.11854.928 (36).16 (47)3.16 (30)75% (47)6% (1)0.93 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1251% (55)45% (38)19.331.8262.98.313.722 (8)11 (60).37 (31)1.7 (22)31% (59)40% (4).58 (5)7% (114)2.3 (3)
TA&M Defense1352% (118)33% (5) - - - - - - 3 (123).1 (13)1.6 (91)39% (2)23% (4).22 (34)6% (75)2.3 (132)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1244% (15)46% (117) - - - - - - 6 (75).44 (132)1.7 (122)31% (84)36% (132).44 (129)6% (52)2.1 (107)
TA&M Offense1347% (84)46% (27)19.131.4259.88.313.626 (22)14 (60).38 (26)1.5 (66)29% (30)29% (82).28 (75)5% (39)2 (67)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 4.78  #57
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 17.15  #34
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 17.37  #80
2026 Talent Rating: 856.00  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 11%  #36
Arkansas's 2026 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Arkansas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #16
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #99

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 996.13
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 4.78   Texas A&M: 26.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 5.1   Texas A&M: 20.7




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 26.355  #10
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 23.64  #13
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 1.28  #8
2026 Talent Rating: 1128.00  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 64  #5
Texas A&M's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
Texas A&M's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7  #9
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #11
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4  #14

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 996.13
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.4

Arkansas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 40
Arkansas 19

Projected Total Points: 59
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Arkansas42Texas A&M45Texas A&M -7.5Arkansas57.5Over
202409/28Texas A&M21Arkansas17Texas A&M -6.5Arkansas50.5Under
202309/30Arkansas22Texas A&M34Texas A&M -6.5Texas A&M53.5Over
202209/24Texas A&M23Arkansas21Texas A&M -1.5Texas A&M51.0Under
202109/25Arkansas20Texas A&M10Texas A&M -4.5Arkansas47.0Under
202010/31Texas A&M42Arkansas31Texas A&M -10.5Texas A&M0
201909/28Arkansas27Texas A&M31Texas A&M -23Arkansas59.5Under
201809/29Texas A&M24Arkansas17Texas A&M -20Arkansas56.5Under
201709/23Arkansas43Texas A&M50Arkansas -2.5Texas A&M58.5Over
201609/24Texas A&M45Arkansas24Texas A&M -3Texas A&M52.0Over
201509/26Arkansas21Texas A&M28Texas A&M -3.5Texas A&M61.5Under
201409/27Texas A&M35Arkansas28Texas A&M -12.5Arkansas0
201309/28Arkansas33Texas A&M45Texas A&M -3Texas A&M0
201209/29Texas A&M58Arkansas10
201110/01Arkansas42Texas A&M38
201010/09Texas A&M17Arkansas24
200910/03Arkansas47Texas A&M19
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M1374 Overs
Arkansas466 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 76 - 73 - 43 - 3
Road Teams7 - 107 - 63 - 34 - 3

(#57) ARK at (#10) TA&M
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARKTA&M
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #57 #10
SP+SP+ #53 #9
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #47 #4
Blue ChipsBC% #36 #5
Arkansas Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Skeptical, seem uneasy of Silverfield hire
(2/10) QB1 AJ Hill (Memphis, big croot) or KJ Jackson.
(2/2) New staff & new roster, 40 portals in/42 out
(2/2) RB Smith (Mem) decent but small. Some depth
(2/2) WR has 4 exp'd options. Should be good unit
(2/2) OL looks good. 5 proven starters (3 are portals)
(2/2) DL is very light on exp. 5 portals must hit
(2/2) LBs a lot of avg portals but have good exp
(2/2) DBs took 11 portals. Should patch OK unit here
Arkansas Injury Report
Texas A&M Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Unclear, battered Aggie syndrome is real
(2/12) Had 13 players make the NFL combine from ‘25
(1/28) Elko had to restaff losing OC, replaced DC
(1/28) QB Reed back after big jump LY, can he rise again?
(1/28) RB Owens back, faded LY. Depth inexp'd/talented
(1/28) WR great w Craver & B-Roman, Horton huge add
(1/28) OL rebuild (1 back) 4 big portal adds. Still a ?
(1/28) DL rebuild w 5 portal adds. Good looking unit
(1/28) LB rebuild w 2 portals. Depth inexp but talented
(1/28) DBs return 3/4, must find CB depth/rotation
Texas A&M Injury Report
Arkansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffTA&M Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #12 #5
ExplosiveExp #17 #135
PPAPPA #11 #55
PowerPwr #34 #8
SP+SP+ #16 #14
Pts POPPO #31 #95
HavocHav #102 #4
Arkansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffTA&M Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #1 #9
Run ExplRExp #25 #136
PPAExp #4 #96
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #6 #26
Stuff RateStuff #93 #39
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #38 #5
Pass ExplPExl #22 #91
PPAExp #31 #13
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #79 #3
DB HavocDB #114 #75
Texas A&M on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatTA&M OffARK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #28 #127
ExplosiveExp #81 #76
PPAPPA #29 #127
PowerPwr #13 #80
SP+SP+ #11 #99
Pts POPPO #33 #119
HavocHav #5 #74
Texas A&M Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
TA&M OffARK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #35 #132
Run ExplRExp #83 #61
PPAExp #47 #125
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #30 #100
Stuff RateStuff #28 #63
TackleTak - NR
Texas A&M Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatTA&M OffARK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #27 #117
Pass ExplPExl #66 #122
PPAExp #26 #132
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #1 #89
DB HavocDB #39 #52
Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Arkansas last year (45-42)
Texas A&M beat Arkansas in 2024 (21-17)
Texas A&M beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-22)

  
ARK's OC Tim Cramsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Jackson335461%441308.2
AJ Hill (Tr)193259%223117.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sutton Smith (Tr)10266976.684
Braylen Russell5528655.223
Jasper Parker (Tr)259323.711
KJ Jackson115224.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donovan Faupel (Tr)61661710.855
Jamari Hawkins (Tr)38623216.457
Chris Marshall (Tr)30574219.146
CJ Brown28319311.426

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khmori House (Tr)733161
Christian Harrison (Tr)553007
Miguel Mitchell521101
Bradley Shaw505211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.4316860
Steven Soles Jr. (Tr)115432
Ben Bogle (Tr)375310
Bradley Shaw505211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson381009
Christian Harrison (Tr)553007
Carter Stoutmire (Tr)330015

TA&M's OC Holmon Wiggins (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed23437762%316925128.4
Brady Hart51050%62006.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rueben Owens11963955.457
Marcel Reed10449364.746
Jamarion Morrow4318214.223
Mario Craver118117.428
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Craver58911415.786
Isaiah Horton (Tr)42511812.237
Ashton Bethel-Roman24503521.076
Houston Thomas (Tr)34347210.232

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Lyle Hemphill (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ray Coney (Tr)1287242
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)788114
Marcus Ratcliffe663023
Dalton Brooks616331
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Henderson (Tr)219741
Daymion Sanford5710432
Anto Saka (Tr)134320
Dalton Brooks616331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dezz Ricks261005
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)788114
Marcus Ratcliffe663023