Tennessee at Arkansas - 2026 Matchup Preview

Tennessee Volunteers at Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday, October 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field - Fayetteville, AR

Volunteers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#53)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARK is playing their 6th straight game
TENN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -9.5 (SP+ TENN -10)
Projected Score: TENN: 38 - ARK: 29 (67)
TENN Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TENN Travel: 573 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Razorbacks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#124)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TENN Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tennessee's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Tennessee vs Furman	-39.5
Sat 9/12	Tennessee at Georgia Tech	-6.5
Sat 9/19	Tennessee vs Kennesaw State	-29
Sat 9/26	Tennessee vs Texas	+3
Sat 10/3	Tennessee vs Auburn	-5.5
Sat 10/10	Tennessee at Arkansas	-9.5
Sat 10/17	Tennessee vs Alabama	-0.5
Sat 10/24	Tennessee at South Carolina	-4
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Tennessee vs Kentucky	-15.5
Sat 11/14	Tennessee at Texas A&M	+10
Sat 11/21	Tennessee vs LSU	-1
Sat 11/28	Tennessee at Vanderbilt	+3

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Arkansas's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arkansas vs North Alabama	-27.5
Sat 9/12	Arkansas at Utah	+15.5
Sat 9/19	Arkansas vs Georgia	+20
Sat 9/26	Arkansas vs Tulsa	-13.5
Sat 10/3	Arkansas at Texas A&M	+22
Sat 10/10	Arkansas vs Tennessee	+9.5
Sat 10/17	Arkansas at Vanderbilt	+15
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Arkansas vs Missouri	+11
Sat 11/7	Arkansas at Auburn	+11.5
Sat 11/14	Arkansas vs South Carolina	+3
Sat 11/21	Arkansas at Texas	+20
Sat 11/28	Arkansas vs LSU	+11

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TENN	#5 (.33)	51% (5)	39.8	52% (3)	3.1 (40)	176	50% (9)	293	4.69 (9)	#69 (.16)	44% (107)	28.8	48% (123)	41% (67)	4.09 (109)	54.8	1.2	1.5
ARK	#11 (.31)	49% (12)	32.9	54% (1)	3.43 (6)	192	45% (38)	263	4.2 (31)	#127 (.27)	47% (127)	33.8	50% (132)	46% (117)	4.21 (119)	67	1.7	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TENN Offense	13	39.8	37	50.6%	4.69	1.2	25	469	176	293	4.7	50%	48%	52%	50%	12%	.33
ARK Defense	12	33.8	35	47.3%	4.21	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	50%	46%	15%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TENN Defense	13	28.8	29	44.5%	4.09	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	48%	41%	18%	.16
ARK Offense	12	32.9	30.5	48.7%	4.2	1.7	23	455	192	263	5.7	48%	51%	54%	45%	17%	.31

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tennessee	13	27:22	25.2	50%	76%	6.2	54.8	1.2	1.5	6.6	2.7	4	28.2
Arkansas	12	29:01	23.3	47%	53%	7.8	67	1.7	0.8	5.4	1.8	2	27.4

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TENN Offense	13	50% (65)	52% (3)	37.8	176.2	4.7	35 (16)	.26 (9)	3.1 (40)	85% (2)	8% (23)	0.96 (72)
ARK Defense	12	54% (118)	50% (132)	-	-	-	-	.21 (125)	3.05 (100)	71% (68)	9% (89)	0.95 (61)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TENN Defense	13	50% (72)	48% (123)	-	-	-	-	.12 (79)	2.89 (73)	82% (126)	12% (16)	0.85 (15)
ARK Offense	12	48% (78)	54% (1)	33.6	192.2	5.7	25 (30)	.3 (4)	3.43 (6)	65% (106)	10% (79)	1.08 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TENN Offense	13	48% (74)	50% (9)	22.5	33.6	292.8	8.7	13	26 (14)	10 (88)	.41 (19)	1.6 (57)	26% (10)	34% (24)	.47 (16)	5% (28)	2.2 (10)
ARK Defense	12	44% (15)	46% (117)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.44 (132)	1.7 (122)	31% (84)	36% (132)	.44 (129)	6% (52)	2.1 (107)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TENN Defense	13	49% (78)	41% (67)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (75)	.22 (58)	1.5 (54)	31% (78)	28% (45)	.26 (58)	7% (32)	2.1 (105)
ARK Offense	12	51% (55)	45% (38)	19.3	31.8	262.9	8.3	13.7	22 (8)	11 (60)	.37 (31)	1.7 (22)	31% (59)	40% (4)	.58 (5)	7% (114)	2.3 (3)

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 16.72 #18
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 22.10 #11
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 10.38 #28
2026 Talent Rating: 980.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Tennessee's 2026 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Tennessee's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #63

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 16.72 Arkansas: 6.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 15.0 Arkansas: 5.1

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 6.385 #54
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 15.03 #34
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 17.36 #71
2026 Talent Rating: 922.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Arkansas's 2026 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Arkansas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #16
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #99

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Tennessee's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 38
Arkansas 29

Projected Total Points: 67

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Tennessee	34	Arkansas	31	Tennessee -10	Arkansas	68.5	Under
2024	10/05	Arkansas	19	Tennessee	14	Tennessee -14	Arkansas	57.5	Under
2020	11/07	Arkansas	24	Tennessee	13	Tennessee -2.5	Arkansas	54.0	Under
2015	10/03	Tennessee	20	Arkansas	24	Tennessee -7.5	Arkansas	53.5	Under
2011	11/12	Arkansas	49	Tennessee	7
2007	11/10	Tennessee	34	Arkansas	13
2006	11/11	Arkansas	31	Tennessee	14
2002	10/05	Tennessee	41	Arkansas	38
2001	09/08	Arkansas	3	Tennessee	13
2000	11/10	Tennessee	63	Arkansas	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	5	4	0 Overs
Tennessee	5	0	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 2	2 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 8	2 - 2	0 - 2	2 - 0

(#18) TENN at (#54) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TENN	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#18	#54
SP+SP+	#19	#53
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#15	#25
Blue ChipsBC%	#10	#33

Tennessee Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

Tennessee on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#5	#127
ExplosiveExp	#51	#76
PPAPPA	#5	#127
PowerPwr	#11	#71
SP+SP+	#7	#99
Pts POPPO	#9	#119
HavocHav	#18	#74

Tennessee Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#3	#132
Run ExplRExp	#72	#61
PPAExp	#9	#125
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#40	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#12	#63
TackleTak	-	NR

Tennessee Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#9	#117
Pass ExplPExl	#57	#122
PPAExp	#19	#132
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#23	#89
DB HavocDB	#28	#52

Arkansas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TENN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#12	#107
ExplosiveExp	#17	#13
PPAPPA	#11	#69
PowerPwr	#34	#28
SP+SP+	#16	#63
Pts POPPO	#31	#109
HavocHav	#102	#19

Arkansas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#1	#123
Run ExplRExp	#25	#15
PPAExp	#4	#79
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#6	#73
Stuff RateStuff	#93	#47
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#38	#67
Pass ExplPExl	#22	#54
PPAExp	#31	#58
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#79	#16
DB HavocDB	#114	#32

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Arkansas last year (34-31)
Arkansas beat Tennessee in 2024 (19-14)

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ryan Staub (Tr)	30	55	55%	426	3	4	7.7
George MacIntyre	7	9	78%	69	0	0	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DeSean Bishop	182	1076	16	5.9	50
Javin Gordon (Tr)	128	516	5	4.0	25
Daune Morris	35	133	1	3.8	19
Justin Baker	14	43	0	3.1	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braylon Staley	68	837	6	12.3	73
Mike Matthews	53	813	4	15.3	62
Ethan Davis	21	257	2	12.2	40
DeSean Bishop	15	135	0	9.0	23

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Amare Campbell (Tr)	103	10	3	4	1
Edwin Spillman	81	4	3	3	2
Jeremiah Telander	80	6	1	2	0
Edrees Farooq	76	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Norman (Tr)	27	8	6	2	0
Amare Campbell (Tr)	103	10	3	4	1
Daevin Hobbs	30	4	3	2	2
Edwin Spillman	81	4	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Ty Redmond	43	1	11
DJ Burks (Tr)	73	2	5
TJ Metcalf (Tr)	58	3	4

ARK's OC Tim Cramsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
KJ Jackson	33	54	61%	441	3	0	8.2
AJ Hill (Tr)	19	32	59%	223	1	1	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sutton Smith (Tr)	102	669	7	6.6	84
Braylen Russell	55	286	5	5.2	23
Jasper Parker (Tr)	25	93	2	3.7	11
KJ Jackson	11	52	2	4.7	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donovan Faupel (Tr)	61	661	7	10.8	55
Jamari Hawkins (Tr)	38	623	2	16.4	57
Chris Marshall (Tr)	30	574	2	19.1	46
Rohan Jones	19	519	4	27.3	62

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khmori House (Tr)	73	3	1	6	1
Caleb Wooden	59	3	0	1	3
Christian Harrison (Tr)	55	3	0	0	7
Miguel Mitchell	52	1	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.	43	16	8	6	0
Steven Soles Jr. (Tr)	11	5	4	3	2
Ben Bogle (Tr)	37	5	3	1	0
Bradley Shaw	50	5	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jaheim Johnson	38	1	0	9
Christian Harrison (Tr)	55	3	0	7
Carter Stoutmire (Tr)	33	0	1	5