North Texas at Army - 2025 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo North Texas Mean Green at Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
North Texas -1.5 (52.5) (-118)  Open: -1.5
Blaik Field at Michie Stadium - West Point, NY  (American Athletic)

 
Mean Green (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 48 - 13 (33 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
ARMY coming off BYE
UNT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: North Texas -8.5   (SP+ UNT -0.5)

Projected Score: UNT: 32 - ARMY: 23 (55)
UNT Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
UNT Travel: 1389 miles, 1 hrs behind
Black Knights (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (81 - 57)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (27 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 5)
 
North Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 North Texas vs Lamar-27.563.5W 51 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 North Texas at Western Michigan-12.056.0W 33 - 30ON
Sat 9/13 North Texas vs Washington State-6.557.5W 59 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 North Texas at Army-1.552.5
Sat 9/27 North Texas vs South Alabama-13
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 North Texas vs South Florida-3.5
Sat 10/18 North Texas vs UTSA-7
Fri 10/24 North Texas at Charlotte-19
Sat 11/1 North Texas vs Navy-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Texas at UAB-16.5
Sat 11/22 North Texas at Rice-12.5
Sat 11/29 North Texas vs Temple-8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Army's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Army vs Tarleton State-14.547.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/6 Army at Kansas State+17.048.5W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Army vs North Texas+1.552.5
Thu 9/25 Army at East Carolina+10.5
Sat 10/4 Army at UAB-5
Sat 10/11 Army vs Charlotte-13
Sat 10/18 Army at Tulane+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Army at Air Force-3.5
Sat 11/8 Army vs Temple+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Army vs Tulsa-7
Fri 11/28 Army at UTSA+9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Army vs Navy+10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 6, Bad 1, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Army's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#18 (.4)46% (49)47.750% (40)3.45 (28)15945% (57)2675.7 (6)#14 (-.06)33% (26)13.335% (35)30% (19)2.25 (23)48.70.32.3
ARMY#92 (.13)40% (99)25.539% (102)2.54 (107)25942% (77)1133.73 (83)#93 (.18)36% (39)25.531% (17)40% (66)4.63 (111)22.51.50.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense347.73346.5%5.70.3244261592674.841%57%50%45%12%.4
ARMY Defense225.53035.6%4.630.5 - - - - - 49%51%31%40%20%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense313.33033.1%2.252.3 - - - - - 64%36%35%30%15%-.06
ARMY Offense225.52739.9%3.731.5223722591133.884%16%39%42%12%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas328:2724.350%67%5.348.70.32.36.32.3039.1
Army238:312242%78%3.522.51.50.54.51030.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense341% (121)50% (40)33.3159.34.89 (17).42 (9)3.45 (28)57% (114)8% (56)1.28 (20)
ARMY Defense249% (62)31% (17) - - - - .08 (78)2.53 (46)75% (80)11% (58)1.18 (109)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense364% (130)35% (35) - - - - -.01 (44)2.44 (38)73% (75)11% (48)1.01 (82)
ARMY Offense284% (1)39% (102)68258.53.85 (62).03 (102)2.54 (107)80% (36)10% (82)0.9 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense357% (20)45% (57)23.733.7266.77.911.39 (13)0 (1).42 (40)1.6 (61)24% (18)46% (12).8 (10)4% (45)1.9 (88)
ARMY Defense251% (78)40% (66) - - - - - - 1 (87).28 (92)1.5 (74)38% (16)28% (58).37 (93)10% (10)2.4 (117)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense336% (7)30% (19) - - - - - - 4 (12)-.13 (12)1.4 (34)37% (29)30% (77).19 (55)3% (118)1.7 (39)
ARMY Offense216% (136)42% (77)8141138.114.11 (123)2 (60).64 (11)2.5 (2)31% (73)31% (73).36 (61)3% (14)1.9 (79)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 8.28 #59
North Texas's Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
North Texas's Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: 8.28   Army: -4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: 1.2   Army: 0.9




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -4 #113
Army's Offense Rating: 3.07 #114
Army's Defense Rating: 16.97 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 146.00 #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Army's 2025 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Army's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #68
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 47.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 32
Army 23


Total Points: 55

Army Scoring
Offense: 25.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Army's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09North Texas3Army14ArmyArmy -6.5Army68.0Under
201711/18North Texas52Army49North TexasNorth Texas -1.5North Texas59.5Over
201610/22Army18North Texas35North TexasArmy -17.5North Texas48.0Over
201612/27North Texas31Army38ArmyArmy -9.5North Texas47.0Over
201009/18Army24North Texas0Army
200911/21North Texas13Army17Army
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army413 Overs
North Texas231 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 42 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams4 - 22 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#59) North Texas Info
Power Rating: 8.28 #59
Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.7 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

North Texas has won 3 straight
North Texas has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

North Texas Notes
(9/15) Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
(8/18) QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
(7/23) Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
(7/23) QB Poffenbarger big time @ FCS Albany '23-'24
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC

North Texas Highlights
North Texas in Undefeated

North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas offense is good on 3rd downs
North Texas has a really good defense (#26)
North Texas defense is really good in red zone (#23)
North Texas has a good pass defense (#19)
North Texas has a great TO Margin (#11)
North Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

North Texas Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARMYUNT
OverallOver#78#10
OffenseOff#64#27
DefenseDef#85#14
Special TeamsST#96#39
PassingPass#86#8
RushingRush#88#25
Run BlockRBLK#48#47
Pass BlockPBLK#53#45
Route RunningWR Rt#36#46
TacklingTkl#8#4
Run DefenseR Def#90#18
Pass Rush DefPRush#105#68
Coverage DefCov#69#14

Previous Matchups
Army beat North Texas last year (14-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNT | ARMY
Depth Chart: UNT | ARMY
Rosters: UNT | ARMY
(#113) Army Info
Power Rating: -4 #113
Offense Rating: 3.07 #114
Defense Rating: 16.97 #106
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Talent Rating: 146.00 #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4

Team Profile
Option Offense 84%, Pass: 16%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.63 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Army has won 1 straight
Army has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Army Notes
(8/30) Off decent, Def meh, mistakes in bad L vs Tar St
(8/24) QB1 D Coleman starter after E Washington inj
(5/19) QB Coleman, Hellums or Washington?
(5/17) Def returns a lot, but offense replacing most
(3/24) QB rebuild, Coleman some exp
(3/24) RB rebuild, Udoh gone (ASU). Have options
(3/24) WR rebuild, 3 career Rec. return.
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, depth some exp. Great LY
(3/24) Def was great LY, returns a lot. DL some size
(3/24) HC Monken incredible, 12 wins, AAC champs LY

Army Highlights
Army has a good run defense (#17)
Army Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#17)
Army Secondary is very good (#10)
Army commits very few Penalties (#1)

Army Deficiencies
Army run game is really bad (#102)
Army does not Sack the QB (#122)
Army gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#101)
Army has a bad red zone defense (#111)


  
North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker669470%764908.1
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)5771%36005.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makenzie McGill3117035.527
Jayden Becks (Tr)167824.916
Kiefer Sibley137625.830
Caleb Hawkins136815.216
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Young10160216.046
Cameron Dorner9121213.425
Miles Coleman1110809.824
Simeon Evans (Tr)790012.930

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Skyler Cassity
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Whitter251030
Trey Fields (Tr)192000
Ethan Wesloski164100
Ethan Day (Tr)122210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)43300
Ethan Day (Tr)122210
Zhaiylen Scott81120
Joshua Pierce (Tr)21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Hammonds101001
Bryan Allen Jr.40001
Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr)81001

Army's OC Cody Worley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cale Hellums81553%45103.0
Dewayne Coleman71258%1290210.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cale Hellums4916133.316
Noah Short2110405.017
Dewayne Coleman2410014.226
Hayden Reed249814.137
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bradyn Anderson499124.852
Noah Short896012.027
Samari Howard31605.38
Brady Mott115015.015

View Army's Full Roster
Army's DC Nate Woody
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas231010
Casey Larkin140010
Collin Matteson131013
Kalib Fortner94110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalib Fortner94110
Eric Ford82101
Andon Thomas231010
Cole Searight20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Matteson131013
Jaydan Mayes40002
Jaxon Hammond20001