Tarleton State at Army - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tarleton State logo Tarleton State Texans at Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Army -14.5 (47.5) (-600)  Open: -13.5 | 48.5
Tarleton State 30 - Army: 27

 
Texans (1 - 0) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (30 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -4   (SP+ ARMY -1)
ARMY Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
Black Knights (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (81 - 57)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (27 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
Tarleton State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Tarleton State at Army+14.547.5W 30 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tarleton State's Schedule
Army's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Army vs Tarleton State-14.547.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/6 Army at Kansas State+17.048.5W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Army vs North Texas+1.552.5
Thu 9/25 Army at East Carolina+10.5
Sat 10/4 Army at UAB-5
Sat 10/11 Army vs Charlotte-13
Sat 10/18 Army at Tulane+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Army at Air Force-3.5
Sat 11/8 Army vs Temple+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Army vs Tulsa-7
Fri 11/28 Army at UTSA+9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Army vs Navy+10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Army's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TAR0%300%000%000%270%0%0000
ARMY#92 (.13)40% (99)25.539% (102)2.54 (107)25942% (77)1133.73 (83)#93 (.18)36% (39)25.531% (17)40% (66)4.63 (111)22.51.50.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TAR Offense130300%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ARMY Defense225.53035.6%4.630.5 - - - - - 49%51%31%40%20%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TAR Defense127270%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ARMY Offense225.52739.9%3.731.5223722591133.884%16%39%42%12%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tarleton State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Army238:312242%78%3.522.51.50.54.51030.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TAR Offense10%0%000000%0%0
ARMY Defense249% (62)31% (17) - - - - .08 (78)2.53 (46)75% (80)11% (58)1.18 (109)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TAR Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ARMY Offense284% (1)39% (102)68258.53.85 (62).03 (102)2.54 (107)80% (36)10% (82)0.9 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TAR Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
ARMY Defense251% (78)40% (66) - - - - - - 1 (87).28 (92)1.5 (74)38% (16)28% (58).37 (93)10% (10)2.4 (117)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TAR Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ARMY Offense216% (136)42% (77)8141138.114.11 (123)2 (60).64 (11)2.5 (2)31% (73)31% (73).36 (61)3% (14)1.9 (79)

Tarleton State's Power Ratings
Tarleton State's Power Rating: #NR
Tarleton State's Offense Rating: #NR
Tarleton State's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Tarleton State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Tarleton State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Tarleton State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Tarleton State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Tarleton State:    Army: -4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tarleton State:    Army: 0.9




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -4 #113
Army's Offense Rating: 3.07 #114
Army's Defense Rating: 16.97 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 146.00 #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Army's 2025 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Army's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #68
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Tarleton State Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Tarleton State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tarleton State 29
Army 27

Total Points: 56

Army Scoring
Offense: 25.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Army's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/29Army27Tarleton State30Tarleton StateArmy -14.5Tarleton State47.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army001 Overs
Tarleton State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) Tarleton State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Tarleton State Highlights
Tarleton State is Undefeated vs Spread
Tarleton State in Undefeated


Tarleton State Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARMYTAR
OverallOver#78—
OffenseOff#64—
DefenseDef#85—
Special TeamsST#96—
PassingPass#86—
RushingRush#88—
Run BlockRBLK#48—
Pass BlockPBLK#53—
Route RunningWR Rt#36—
TacklingTkl#8—
Run DefenseR Def#90—
Pass Rush DefPRush#105—
Coverage DefCov#69—

Rematch from Week 1
Army -14.5 (47.5)
Tarleton State won at Army this year (30-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TAR | ARMY
Depth Chart: TAR | ARMY
Rosters: TAR | ARMY
(#113) Army Info
Power Rating: -4 #113
Offense Rating: 3.07 #114
Defense Rating: 16.97 #106
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Talent Rating: 146.00 #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4

Team Profile
Option Offense 84%, Pass: 16%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.63 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Record at home: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Army Notes
(8/30) Off decent, Def meh, mistakes in bad L vs Tar St
(8/24) QB1 D Coleman starter after E Washington inj
(5/19) QB Coleman, Hellums or Washington?
(5/17) Def returns a lot, but offense replacing most
(3/24) QB rebuild, Coleman some exp
(3/24) RB rebuild, Udoh gone (ASU). Have options
(3/24) WR rebuild, 3 career Rec. return.
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, depth some exp. Great LY
(3/24) Def was great LY, returns a lot. DL some size
(3/24) HC Monken incredible, 12 wins, AAC champs LY

Army Highlights
Army has a good run defense (#17)
Army Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#17)
Army Secondary is very good (#10)
Army commits very few Penalties (#1)

Army Deficiencies
Army run game is really bad (#102)
Army does not Sack the QB (#122)
Army gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#101)
Army has a bad red zone defense (#111)


  
Tarleton State's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Victor Gabalis609762%7761108.0
Daniel Greek1250%12106.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Deangelo Rosemond771010.117
Victor Gabalis103803.833
Daniel Greek52404.89
Tylan Hines (Tr)42005.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Peyton Kramer13209016.137
Trevon West8161120.147
Cody Jackson10149014.960
Dawson Hearne893511.626

View Tarleton State's Full Roster
Tarleton State's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Emmons80001
Devin Sterling70000
Brandon Tolvert72010
Avian Rice60010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Emmons80001
Devin Sterling70000
Brandon Tolvert72010
Avian Rice60010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Emmons80001
Devin Sterling70000
Brandon Tolvert72010

Army's OC Cody Worley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cale Hellums81553%45103.0
Dewayne Coleman71258%1290210.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cale Hellums4916133.316
Noah Short2110405.017
Dewayne Coleman2410014.226
Hayden Reed249814.137
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bradyn Anderson499124.852
Noah Short896012.027
Samari Howard31605.38
Brady Mott115015.015

View Army's Full Roster
Army's DC Nate Woody
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas231010
Casey Larkin140010
Collin Matteson131013
Kalib Fortner94110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalib Fortner94110
Eric Ford82101
Andon Thomas231010
Cole Searight20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Matteson131013
Jaydan Mayes40002
Jaxon Hammond20001