Tarleton State at Army - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tarleton State logo Tarleton State Texans at Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Army -14.5 (47.5) (-600)  Open: -13.5 | 48.5
Tarleton State 30 - Army: 27

 
Texans (1 - 0) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (30 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -0  (SP+ ARMY -2)
ARMY Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
Black Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (81 - 57)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (26 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
Tarleton State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Tarleton State at Army+14.547.5W 30 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tarleton State's Schedule
Army's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Army vs Tarleton State-14.547.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/6 Army at Kansas State+17.048.5W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Army vs North Texas+2.550.5L 38 - 45ON
Thu 9/25 Army at East Carolina+3.552.5L 6 - 28UN
Sat 10/4 Army at UAB-6.555.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 10/11 Army vs Charlotte-17.545.5W 24 - 7UN
Sat 10/18 Army at Tulane+10.044.5L 17 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Army at Air Force-1.548.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/8 Army vs Temple-7.545.5W 14 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Army vs Tulsa-10.043.5L 25 - 26ON
Sat 11/29 Army at UTSA+8.550.5W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Army vs Navy+6.038.0L 16 - 17UY
Sat 12/27 Army vs UConn-5.541.5W 41 - 16OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TAR0%300%000%000%270%0%0000
ARMY#56 (.19)42% (70)23.843% (79)3.06 (46)22738% (106)733.7 (68)#75 (.18)44% (106)21.645% (98)45% (113)3.76 (74)21.90.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TAR Offense130300%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ARMY Defense1321.624.244.4%3.761.2 - - - - - 54%45%45%45%13%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TAR Defense127270%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ARMY Offense1323.825.642.2%3.70.817299227734.384%15%43%38%8%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tarleton State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Army1331:481739%70%2.621.90.81.23.21130.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TAR Offense10%0%000000%0%0
ARMY Defense1354% (110)45% (98) - - - - .1 (68)3.13 (107)75% (96)8% (123)0.87 (21)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TAR Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ARMY Offense1384% (1)43% (79)53.2226.74.326 (23).15 (51)3.06 (46)78% (27)7% (13)0.96 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TAR Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
ARMY Defense1345% (24)45% (113) - - - - - - 8 (75).29 (90)1.5 (38)29% (109)30% (73).24 (53)5% (98)1.9 (35)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TAR Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ARMY Offense1315% (136)38% (106)4.7972.58.115.55 (134)5 (20).47 (10)2.4 (1)27% (16)29% (81).25 (92)1% (1)1.7 (133)

Tarleton State's Power Ratings
Tarleton State's Power Rating: NR
Tarleton State's Offense Rating: NR
Tarleton State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tarleton State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Tarleton State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Tarleton State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Tarleton State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tarleton State:    Army: -0.155

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tarleton State:    Army: -1.9




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -0.155  #84
Army's Offense Rating: 8.60  #69
Army's Defense Rating: 12.01  #94
2025 Talent Rating: 146.00  #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Army's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 6.7
Army's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9  #80
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #100
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #55

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tarleton State Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Tarleton State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Army 32
Tarleton State 21

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Army 38
Tarleton State 16

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Tarleton State 27
Army 26

Total Points: 53
Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Army's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/29Army27Tarleton State30Army -14.5Tarleton State47.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army001 Overs
Tarleton State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) TAR at (#84) ARMY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTARARMY
Power RatePwrNR #84
SP+SP+NR #80
Perf GradeGradeNR #73
OffenseOffNR #32
DefenseDefNR #117
Spec TeamsSTNR #75
TalentTalNR #135
Blue ChipsBC%NR #101
Army Notes
(11/29) Great win at UTSA to get bowl eligible. Navy game left
(8/30) Off decent, Def meh, mistakes in bad L vs Tar St
(8/24) QB1 D Coleman starter after E Washington inj
(5/19) QB Coleman, Hellums or Washington?
(5/17) Def returns a lot, but offense replacing most
(3/24) QB rebuild, Coleman some exp
(3/24) RB rebuild, Udoh gone (ASU). Have options
(3/24) WR rebuild, 3 career Rec. return.
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, depth some exp. Great LY
(3/24) Def was great LY, returns a lot. DL some size
(3/24) HC Monken incredible, 12 wins, AAC champs LY
Army Injury Report
Tarleton State on Offense
CategoryCat
TAR OffARMY Def
Perf GradePerfNR #117
SuccessSucNR #106
ExplosiveExpNR #11
PPAPPANR #75
PowerPwrNR #94
SP+SP+NR #55
Pts POPPONR #74
HavocHavNR #121
Tarleton State Run Game
CategoryCat
TAR OffARMY Def
Run GameRunNR #124
Run SuccessRSucNR #98
Run ExplRExpNR #21
PPAExpNR #68
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #107
Stuff RateStuffNR #112
TackleTak -  #73
Tarleton State Pass Game
CategoryCat
TAR OffARMY Def
Pass GamePassNR #92
Pass SuccessPSucNR #113
Pass ExplPExlNR #38
PPAExpNR #90
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #132
F7 HavocF7NR #123
DB HavocDBNR #98
Army on Offense
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCatARMY OffTAR Def
Perf GradePerf #32NR
SuccessSuc #70NR
ExplosiveExp #122NR
PPAPPA #56NR
PowerPwr #69NR
SP+SP+ #100NR
Pts POPPO #68NR
HavocHav #1NR
Army Run Game
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffTAR Def
Run GameRun #112NR
Run SuccessRSuc #79NR
Run ExplRExp #70NR
PPAExp #51NR
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLY #46NR
Stuff RateStuff #5NR
TackleTak - NR
Army Pass Game
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCatARMY OffTAR Def
Pass GamePass #53NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #106NR
Pass ExplPExl #1NR
PPAExp #10NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #102NR
F7 HavocF7 #13NR
DB HavocDB #1NR
Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

TAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 76° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Army -14.5 (47.5)
Tarleton State won at Army this year (30-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TAR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Victor Gabalis18731659%28973069.2
Daniel Greek497169%7918111.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tylan Hines (Tr)8251036.240
Deangelo Rosemond19198010.465
Braelon Bridges1911816.236
Daniel Greek428051.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Peyton Kramer541024819.080
Cody Jackson53799615.160
Trevon West44749517.047
Dawson Hearne10101610.126

View Tarleton State's Full Roster

TAR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Sterling121001
Omar Emmons111002
Brandon Tolvert112010
Blake Smith91000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pius Njenge (Tr)11100
Josh Griffis52100
Devin Sterling121001
Omar Emmons111002
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Emmons111002
Devin Sterling121001
Brandon Tolvert112010

ARMY's OC Cody Worley (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cale Hellums478754%694438.0
Dewayne Coleman193653%273227.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cale Hellums3051215184.050
Noah Short9857115.881
Hayden Reed7433534.537
Dewayne Coleman8529733.526
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Short32438213.744
Bradyn Anderson14381227.268
Samari Howard11133112.141
Parker Poloskey454113.526

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas1124135
Kalib Fortner838280
Collin Matteson792027
Casey Larkin693013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Ford528572
Jack Bousum287451
Cole Searight234201
Kalib Fortner838280
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Matteson792027
Andon Thomas1124135
Casey Larkin693013