Liberty at Georgia Southern - 2019 Matchup Preview

Liberty Flames vs Georgia Southern Eagles

Saturday, December 21st 2019 (2:30 PM EST)
Georgia Southern -5.0 (59.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Liberty 23 - Georgia Southern: 16 (FBC MORTGAGE CURE BOWL)

Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1 (SP+ LIB -2)
Projected Score: LIB: 28 - GASO: 29 (57)
GASO Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
LIB Travel: 283 miles

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 32 (36 - 33 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
LIB Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2019 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Liberty vs Syracuse	+19.5L0–24	69.0	L0–24	U	N
Sat 9/7	Liberty at Louisiana	+14.0L14–35	65.5	L14–35	U	N
Sat 9/14	Liberty vs Buffalo	+6.0W35–17	55.0	W35–17	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Liberty vs Hampton	-25.5W62–27	58.0	W62–27	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Liberty vs New Mexico	-7.5W17–10	72.0	W17–10	U	N
Sat 10/5	Liberty at New Mexico State	-4.5W20–13	62.5	W20–13	U	Y
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/19	Liberty vs Maine	-22	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/26	Liberty at Rutgers	-7.5L34–44	44.0	L34–44	O	N
Sat 11/2	Liberty at Massachusetts	-23.5W63–21	72.0	W63–21	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Liberty at BYU	+17.0L24–31	61.0	L24–31	U	Y
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/23	Liberty at Virginia	+16.5L27–55	58.0	L27–55	O	N
Sat 11/30	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-14.5W49–28	68.0	W49–28	O	Y
Sat 12/21	Liberty vs Georgia Southern	+5.0W23–16	59.0	W23–16	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2019 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia Southern at LSU	+27.0L3–55	51.0	L3–55	O	N
Sat 9/7	Georgia Southern vs Maine	-8.5W26–18	46.5	W26–18	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia Southern at Minnesota	+17.0L32–35	45.0	L32–35	O	Y
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/28	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana	+3.0L24–37	56.0	L24–37	O	N
Thu 10/3	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	-10.0W20–17	45.0	W20–17	U	N
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/19	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-7.0W30–27	43.0	W30–27	O	N
Sat 10/26	Georgia Southern vs New Mexico State	-13.5W41–7	53.5	W41–7	U	Y
Thu 10/31	Georgia Southern at App State	+15.0W24–21	44.5	W24–21	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Georgia Southern at Troy	-2.5L28–49	57.0	L28–49	O	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-6.5W51–29	57.5	W51–29	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Georgia Southern at Arkansas State	+1.0L33–38	52.5	L33–38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	-6.5W38–10	56.0	W38–10	U	Y
Sat 12/21	Georgia Southern vs Liberty	-5.0L16–23	59.0	L16–23	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	.15	42%	25.6	43%	2.79	162	41%	262	4.18	.21	47%	26.5	51%	41%	4	38.2	2	1.8
GASO	.2	43%	27.9	44%	3.11	266	33%	79	3.79	.16	46%	32.3	45%	45%	3.61	40.8	0.4	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GASO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	12	25.6	19.7	42.3%	4.18	2	23	423	162	262	4	49%	51%	43%	41%	16%	.15
GASO Defense	13	32.3	33	45.8%	3.61	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	45%	45%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	12	26.5	25.7	46.7%	4	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	51%	41%	15%	.21
GASO Offense	13	27.9	36.2	43.2%	3.79	0.4	16	345	266	79	5.4	80%	18%	44%	33%	11%	.2

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	12	29:30	23.1	42%	60%	4.3	38.2	2	1.8	5.1	2.2	2	29.6
Georgia Southern	13	29:40	16.4	40%	55%	4.3	40.8	0.4	2.1	4.9	2.1	3	33.3

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	12	49%	43%	40.7	161.9	4	30	.08	2.79	76%	8%	0.91
GASO Defense	13	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.8	69%	10%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	12	49%	51%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.27	65%	9%	1
GASO Offense	13	80%	44%	49.4	266.3	5.4	35	.18	3.11	71%	10%	1.15

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	12	51%	41%	20.4	37.3	261.5	7	12.8	21	18	.23	1.7	31%	35%	.36	8%	2
GASO Defense	13	47%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.24	1.4	30%	30%	.27	7%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	12	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.21	1.6	31%	33%	.26	6%	1.8
GASO Offense	13	18%	33%	5.4	9	79	8.8	14.7	10	0	.32	2.2	29%	32%	.35	1%	2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2019 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #74
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #62
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: Georgia Southern: -2.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -2.6 Georgia Southern: -4.5

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -2.25 NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia Southern's 2019 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #86
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #101
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #61

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 29
Liberty 28

Projected Total Points: 57

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Georgia Southern's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	12/21	Georgia Southern	16	Liberty	23	Georgia Southern -5.0	Liberty	59.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	0	0	0 Overs
Liberty	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

Liberty Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2019	Cure Bowl	Liberty vs Georgia Southern	+5.0	59.0	W 23 - 16

Georgia Southern Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2019	Cure Bowl	Georgia Southern vs Liberty	-5.0	59.0	L 16 - 23
2018	Camellia Bowl	Georgia Southern vs Eastern Michigan	-3.0	45.5	W 23 - 21
2015	Godaddy Bowl	Georgia Southern vs Bowling Green	+7.5		W 58 - 27

(#) LIB at (#) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LIB	GASO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#74	#86
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#134	#90
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Liberty Injury Report

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Liberty on Offense


CategoryCat	LIB Off	GASO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#61
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Liberty Run Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Liberty Pass Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	LIB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#86
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Orlando City Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 76° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Georgia Southern -5.0 (59.0)
Liberty won at Georgia Southern this year (23-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

LIB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GASO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD