Western Kentucky at UTSA - 2022 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo   Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at UTSA Roadrunners  UTSA logo
Saturday, October 8th 2022 (6:00 PM EDT)
UT San Antonio -6.5 (72.5)
UTSA 31 - Western Kentucky: 28  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (25 - 28 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UTSA is playing their 6th straight game
WKU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ UTSA -6)
Projected Score: WKU: 27 - UTSA: 33 (60)
UTSA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
WKU Travel: 868 miles
Roadrunners (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (19 - 7)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Western Kentucky vs Austin Peay-32.572.0W 38 - 27UN
Sat 9/3 Western Kentucky at Hawai'i-16.567.5W 49 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Western Kentucky at Indiana+7.061.0L 30 - 33OY
Sat 9/24 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-31.065.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 10/1 Western Kentucky vs Troy-5.055.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/8 Western Kentucky at UTSA+6.572.5L 28 - 31UY
Sat 10/15 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee-7.567.5W 35 - 17UY
Fri 10/21 Western Kentucky vs UAB-1.560.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 10/29 Western Kentucky vs North Texas-10.070.0L 13 - 40UN
Sat 11/5 Western Kentucky at Charlotte-14.572.5W 59 - 7UY
Sat 11/12 Western Kentucky vs Rice-13.561.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 11/19 Western Kentucky at Auburn+5.054.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/26 Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic-7.562.5W 32 - 31ON
Wed 12/21 Western Kentucky vs South Alabama+4.058.0W 44 - 23OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
UTSA's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UTSA vs Houston+3.561.5L 35 - 37OY
Sat 9/10 UTSA at Army-2.054.0W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/17 UTSA at Texas+13.057.5L 20 - 41ON
Sat 9/24 UTSA vs Texas Southern-42.065.5W 52 - 24ON
Fri 9/30 UTSA at Middle Tennessee-4.564.0W 45 - 30OY
Sat 10/8 UTSA vs Western Kentucky-6.572.5W 31 - 28UN
Fri 10/14 UTSA at Florida International-33.064.0W 30 - 10UN
Sat 10/22 UTSA vs North Texas-10.073.0W 31 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 UTSA at UAB-2.553.5W 44 - 38OY
Sat 11/12 UTSA vs Louisiana Tech-17.068.5W 51 - 7UY
Sat 11/19 UTSA at Rice-14.056.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 11/26 UTSA vs UTEP-16.556.5W 34 - 31ON
Fri 12/2 UTSA vs North Texas-8.570.0W 48 - 27OY
Fri 12/16 UTSA vs Troy+2.055.5L 12 - 18UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.3952%29.550%3.2210353%4344.73.2345%22.846%44%4.0554.11.42.4
UTSA.2745%35.543%3.2118448%2564.37.2143%28.842%44%3.950.90.92.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1429.524.552.2%4.731.4285361034344.128%72%50%53%15%.39
UTSA Defense1428.825.542.8%3.92.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%44%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1422.82845.4%4.052.4 - - - - - 52%47%46%44%18%.23
UTSA Offense1435.545.845.3%4.370.9234391842564.653%47%43%48%14%.27

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1427:4027.547%50%6.854.11.42.45.92.6431.3
UTSA1429:3422.943%57%5.150.90.92.26.32.4430.5
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1428%50%24.9102.54.113.143.2268%7%0.8
UTSA Defense1448%42% - - - - .13.0469%12%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1452%46% - - - - .183.2175%10%0.92
UTSA Offense1453%43%39.7183.54.626.173.2166%9%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1472%53%34.349.8433.78.712.76312.491.527%44%.79%2.2
UTSA Defense1451%44% - - - - - - 12.351.733%31%.346%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1447%44% - - - - - - 21.31.628%30%.268%2.1
UTSA Offense1447%48%20.631.9255.5812.4316.41.627%35%.44%2

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2022 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7  #65
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #52
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #84

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    UTSA: 6.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 1.7   UTSA: 7.2




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 6.1 NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UTSA's 2022 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2  #48
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #16
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Western Kentucky's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 33
Western Kentucky 27

Projected Total Points: 60
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/08UTSA31Western Kentucky28UT San Antonio -6.5Western Kentucky72.5Under
202112/03UTSA49Western Kentucky41Western Kentucky -3UTSA74.5Over
202110/09Western Kentucky46UTSA52Western Kentucky -3.5UTSA71.0Over
201411/22Western Kentucky45UTSA7Western Kentucky -6Western Kentucky0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA322 Overs
Western Kentucky121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 21 - 21 - 0
Road Teams1 - 32 - 20 - 12 - 1

(#) WKU at (#) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUUTSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #48
Perf GradeGrade #59 #32
OffenseOff #49 #46
DefenseDef #83 #39
Spec TeamsST #43 #111
TalentTal #81 #76
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffUTSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #49 #39
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #52 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffUTSA Def
Run GameRun #78 #20
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #122
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePass #33 #68
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #8 #43
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCatUTSA OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #46 #83
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #84
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #35 #83
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #108
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCatUTSA OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #16 #58
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #97 #74
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
UTSA -6.5 (72.5)
UTSA won vs Western Kentucky this year (31-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WKU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Tyson Summers (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UTSA's OC Will Stein (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD