Western Kentucky at Charlotte - 2022 Matchup Preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Charlotte 49ers

Saturday, November 5th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -14.5 (72.5)
Western Kentucky 59 - Charlotte: 7 (Conference USA)

Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (25 - 28 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CHAR is playing their 4th straight game
WKU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ WKU -18)
Projected Score: WKU: 32 - CHAR: 21 (53)
WKU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
WKU Travel: 339 miles, 1 hrs behind

49ers (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Will Healy (14 - 17)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WKU Players
CHAR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Western Kentucky vs Austin Peay	-32.5	72.0	W 38 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/3	Western Kentucky at Hawai'i	-16.5	67.5	W 49 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Western Kentucky at Indiana	+7.0	61.0	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Western Kentucky vs Florida International	-31.0	65.0	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Western Kentucky vs Troy	-5.0	55.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/8	Western Kentucky at UTSA	+6.5	72.5	L 28 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee	-7.5	67.5	W 35 - 17	U	Y
Fri 10/21	Western Kentucky vs UAB	-1.5	60.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Western Kentucky vs North Texas	-10.0	70.0	L 13 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/5	Western Kentucky at Charlotte	-14.5	72.5	W 59 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Western Kentucky vs Rice	-13.5	61.0	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Western Kentucky at Auburn	+5.0	54.0	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/26	Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic	-7.5	62.5	W 32 - 31	O	N
Wed 12/21	Western Kentucky vs South Alabama	+4.0	58.0	W 44 - 23	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Charlotte's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Charlotte at Florida Atlantic	+7.0	60.0	L 13 - 43	U	N
Fri 9/2	Charlotte vs William & Mary	-4.5	52.0	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/10	Charlotte vs Maryland	+28.0	65.0	L 21 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/17	Charlotte at Georgia State	+19.5	64.0	W 42 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Charlotte at South Carolina	+23.5	66.5	L 20 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/1	Charlotte vs UTEP	+3.5	56.0	L 35 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Charlotte at UAB	+21.5	65.0	L 20 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Charlotte vs Florida International	-14.0	63.5	L 15 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/29	Charlotte at Rice	+15.0	61.0	W 56 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Charlotte vs Western Kentucky	+14.5	72.5	L 7 - 59	U	N
Sat 11/12	Charlotte at Middle Tennessee	+10.0	67.0	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Charlotte vs Louisiana Tech	+2.0	66.5	W 26 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	.39	52%	29.5	50%	3.22	103	53%	434	4.73	.23	45%	22.8	46%	44%	4.05	54.1	1.4	2.4
CHAR	.25	45%	14.3	44%	3.13	150	46%	254	3.92	.38	48%	36.3	47%	49%	4.38	53	1.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	14	29.5	24.5	52.2%	4.73	1.4	28	536	103	434	4.1	28%	72%	50%	53%	15%	.39
CHAR Defense	12	36.3	35.7	47.8%	4.38	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	47%	49%	14%	.38

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	14	22.8	28	45.4%	4.05	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	46%	44%	18%	.23
CHAR Offense	12	14.3	17.2	45.1%	3.92	1.7	22	404	150	254	4.2	49%	51%	44%	46%	18%	.25

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	14	27:40	27.5	47%	50%	6.8	54.1	1.4	2.4	5.9	2.6	4	31.3
Charlotte	12	32:13	22.1	40%	63%	6.4	53	1.7	1.2	4.3	1.3	2	27.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	14	28%	50%	24.9	102.5	4.1	13	.14	3.22	68%	7%	0.8
CHAR Defense	12	56%	47%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.31	80%	9%	1.19

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	14	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.21	75%	10%	0.92
CHAR Offense	12	49%	44%	35.8	150.4	4.2	13	.17	3.13	69%	11%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	14	72%	53%	34.3	49.8	433.7	8.7	12.7	63	12	.49	1.5	27%	44%	.7	9%	2.2
CHAR Defense	12	44%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.7	30%	39%	.6	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	14	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	21	.3	1.6	28%	30%	.26	8%	2.1
CHAR Offense	12	51%	46%	20.6	32.8	253.7	7.7	12.3	27	10	.35	1.5	32%	32%	.32	7%	2

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2022 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #65
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #52
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #84

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: Charlotte: -5.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 1.7 Charlotte: -16.4

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -5.7 NR
Charlotte's Offense Rating: NR
Charlotte's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Charlotte's 2022 Expected Record: -
Charlotte's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #119
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #85
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.2 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Western Kentucky's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 32
Charlotte 21

Projected Total Points: 53

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/05	Charlotte	7	Western Kentucky	59	Western Kentucky -14.5	Western Kentucky	72.5	Under
2021	10/30	Western Kentucky	45	Charlotte	13	Western Kentucky -19.5	Western Kentucky	71.5	Under
2020	12/06	Charlotte	19	Western Kentucky	37	Charlotte -3	Western Kentucky	47.0	Over
2019	10/19	Western Kentucky	30	Charlotte	14	Western Kentucky -9.5	Western Kentucky	48.0	Under
2018	10/13	Charlotte	40	Western Kentucky	14	Western Kentucky -9.5	Charlotte	44.0	Over
2017	10/14	Western Kentucky	45	Charlotte	14	Western Kentucky -17.5	Western Kentucky	47.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Charlotte	1	1	3 Overs
Western Kentucky	5	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 2	4 - 2	3 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 4	2 - 4	1 - 1	1 - 3

(#) WKU at (#) CHAR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WKU	CHAR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#119
Perf GradeGrade	#59	#107
OffenseOff	#49	#56
DefenseDef	#83	#132
Spec TeamsST	#43	#48
TalentTal	#81	#83
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Charlotte Injury Report

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	CHAR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#49	#132
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#123
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#78	#123
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#125

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#135
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#8	#63
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Charlotte on Offense


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	WKU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#56	#83
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#84
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Charlotte Run Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	#115	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#108

Charlotte Pass Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	#61	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#108	#74
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Western Kentucky 14.5 (72.5)
Western Kentucky won at Charlotte this year (59-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WKU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Tyson Summers (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CHAR's OC Mark Carney (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Greg Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD