Troy at Western Kentucky - 2022 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Saturday, October 1st 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -5 (55.0)
Troy 34 - Western Kentucky: 27

 
Trojans (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (26 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WKU 2nd straight Home Game
TROY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ TROY -6.5)
Projected Score: TROY: 21 - WKU: 35 (56)
WKU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
TROY Travel: 359 miles
Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Troy at Ole Miss+21.556.5L 10 - 28UY
Sat 9/10 Troy vs Alabama A&M-37.552.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/17 Troy at App State+14.052.0L 28 - 32OY
Sat 9/24 Troy vs Marshall+3.051.5W 16 - 7UY
Sat 10/1 Troy at Western Kentucky+5.055.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 10/8 Troy vs Southern Miss-7.044.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 10/15 Troy vs Texas State-16.547.0W 17 - 14UN
Thu 10/20 Troy at South Alabama+3.047.0W 10 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Troy at Louisiana-3.542.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 11/12 Troy vs Army-8.545.5W 10 - 9UN
Sat 11/19 Troy vs UL Monroe-15.048.5W 34 - 16OY
Sat 11/26 Troy at Arkansas State-13.543.5W 48 - 19OY
Sat 12/3 Troy vs Coastal Carolina-7.049.0W 45 - 26OY
Fri 12/16 Troy vs UTSA-2.055.5W 18 - 12UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Western Kentucky vs Austin Peay-32.572.0W 38 - 27UN
Sat 9/3 Western Kentucky at Hawai'i-16.567.5W 49 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Western Kentucky at Indiana+7.061.0L 30 - 33OY
Sat 9/24 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-31.065.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 10/1 Western Kentucky vs Troy-5.055.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/8 Western Kentucky at UTSA+6.572.5L 28 - 31UY
Sat 10/15 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee-7.567.5W 35 - 17UY
Fri 10/21 Western Kentucky vs UAB-1.560.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 10/29 Western Kentucky vs North Texas-10.070.0L 13 - 40UN
Sat 11/5 Western Kentucky at Charlotte-14.572.5W 59 - 7UY
Sat 11/12 Western Kentucky vs Rice-13.561.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 11/19 Western Kentucky at Auburn+5.054.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/26 Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic-7.562.5W 32 - 31ON
Wed 12/21 Western Kentucky vs South Alabama+4.058.0W 44 - 23OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1540%25.640%2.9311641%2433.45.0840%17.142%38%3.0449.91.52.1
WKU.2844%36.443%3.1714546%3523.63.1141%23.444%40%4.0257.51.62.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1425.625.539.7%3.451.5203591162433.349%49%40%41%16%.15
WKU Defense1423.421.341.4%4.022.9 - - - - - 48%50%44%40%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1417.121.539.7%3.042.1 - - - - - 47%53%42%38%16%.08
WKU Offense1436.43644.5%3.631.6254971453524.937%62%43%46%17%.28

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1430:2519.532%67%5.449.91.52.15.62.9129.7
Western Kentucky1428:5724.642%40%6.257.51.62.94.92.3530
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1449%40%35.5116.13.321.072.9373%11%0.93
WKU Defense1448%44% - - - - .163.2779%10%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1447%42% - - - - .083.0972%10%0.89
WKU Offense1437%43%29.6145.14.915.183.1771%7%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1449%41%17.928.6242.68.513.52015.291.731%29%.25%1.9
WKU Defense1450%40% - - - - - - 19.121.433%25%.147%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1453%38% - - - - - - 13.11.432%26%.166%2.1
WKU Offense1462%46%28.744.4352.37.912.34312.391.731%37%.5210%2.4

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2022 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #44
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #108
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.2  #8

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Western Kentucky: 3.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 8.1   Western Kentucky: 1.7




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 3.35 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2022 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7  #65
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #52
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #84

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Troy Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.5

Troy's 2022 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 35
Troy 21

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 43
Troy 18

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 28
Troy 24

Total Points: 52
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 36.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Western Kentucky's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Troy27Western Kentucky24Troy -3.5Western Kentucky57.0Under
202210/01Western Kentucky27Troy34Western Kentucky -5Troy55.0Over
201310/26Western Kentucky26Troy32Western Kentucky -7.5Troy0
201210/11Troy26Western Kentucky31
201111/26Western Kentucky41Troy18
201011/27Troy28Western Kentucky14
200911/07Western Kentucky20Troy40
200811/08Troy17Western Kentucky7
200711/10Western Kentucky17Troy21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky211 Overs
Troy721 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 50 - 30 - 30 - 0
Road Teams5 - 43 - 00 - 03 - 0

(#) TROY at (#) WKU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYWKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #65
Perf GradeGrade #14 #59
OffenseOff #29 #49
DefenseDef #17 #83
Spec TeamsST #68 #43
TalentTal #91 #81
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffWKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #29 #83
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #108 #84
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #38 #83
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #108
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #11 #58
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #109 #74
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatWKU OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #49 #17
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #52 #8
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffTROY Def
Run GameRun #78 #39
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #112
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatWKU OffTROY Def
Pass GamePass #33 #18
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #10
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71°
Rematch from Week 5
Western Kentucky -5.0 (55.0)
Troy won at Western Kentucky this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Western Kentucky in 2023 (27-24)
Troy beat Western Kentucky in 2022 (34-27)

  
TROY's OC Joe Craddock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WKU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Tyson Summers (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD