Troy at South Alabama - 2022 Matchup Preview

Thursday, October 20th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
South Alabama -3 (47.0)
Troy 10 - South Alabama: 6 (Sun Belt)

Trojans (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (26 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USA 2nd straight Home Game
TROY is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ USA -3)
Projected Score: TROY: 25 - USA: 27 (52)
USA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TROY Travel: 625 miles

Jaguars (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (33 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
USA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Troy at Ole Miss	+21.5	56.5	L 10 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Troy vs Alabama A&M	-37.5	52.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/17	Troy at App State	+14.0	52.0	L 28 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Troy vs Marshall	+3.0	51.5	W 16 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Troy at Western Kentucky	+5.0	55.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Troy vs Southern Miss	-7.0	44.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Troy vs Texas State	-16.5	47.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Thu 10/20	Troy at South Alabama	+3.0	47.0	W 10 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Troy at Louisiana	-3.5	42.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Troy vs Army	-8.5	45.5	W 10 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/19	Troy vs UL Monroe	-15.0	48.5	W 34 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Troy at Arkansas State	-13.5	43.5	W 48 - 19	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Troy vs Coastal Carolina	-7.0	49.0	W 45 - 26	O	Y
Fri 12/16	Troy vs UTSA	-2.0	55.5	W 18 - 12	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

South Alabama's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	South Alabama vs Nicholls	-13.5	53.0	W 48 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/10	South Alabama at Central Michigan	+6.0	57.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/17	South Alabama at UCLA	+15.5	59.5	L 31 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/24	South Alabama vs Louisiana Tech	-13.0	59.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	South Alabama at Louisiana	-8.5	47.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	South Alabama vs UL Monroe	-17.0	51.0	W 41 - 34	O	N
Thu 10/20	South Alabama vs Troy	-3.0	47.0	L 6 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/29	South Alabama at Arkansas State	-9.0	52.5	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/5	South Alabama at Georgia Southern	-3.5	60.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/12	South Alabama vs Texas State	-16.0	46.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/19	South Alabama at Southern Miss	-7.5	45.0	W 27 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/26	South Alabama vs Old Dominion	-16.5	47.0	W 27 - 20	U	N
Wed 12/21	South Alabama vs Western Kentucky	-4.0	58.0	L 23 - 44	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	.15	40%	25.6	40%	2.93	116	41%	243	3.45	.08	40%	17.1	42%	38%	3.04	49.9	1.5	2.1
USA	.22	42%	31.2	40%	3.06	155	45%	269	4.14	.11	38%	21.3	40%	37%	3.16	70.4	1.2	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	#50 (.22)	44% (49)		42% (94)	2.88 (95)	157	48% (15)	213	4.43 (22)	#77 (.18)	43% (87)		45% (87)	42% (76)	3.77 (65)	58.8	1.3	0.7
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	14	25.6	25.5	39.7%	3.45	1.5	20	359	116	243	3.3	49%	49%	40%	41%	16%	.15
USA Defense	13	21.3	17.7	37.7%	3.16	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	37%	17%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	14	17.1	21.5	39.7%	3.04	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	38%	16%	.08
USA Offense	13	31.2	33	42%	4.14	1.2	22	424	155	269	4	51%	48%	40%	45%	13%	.22

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	14	30:25	19.5	32%	67%	5.4	49.9	1.5	2.1	5.6	2.9	1	29.7
South Alabama	13	32:42	22.2	43%	59%	7.7	70.4	1.2	1.8	6.2	2.2	3	29.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	14	49%	40%	35.5	116.1	3.3	21	.07	2.93	73%	11%	0.93
USA Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.98	78%	11%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	14	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.09	72%	10%	0.89
USA Offense	13	51%	40%	38.8	155.3	4	19	.16	3.06	78%	7%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	14	49%	41%	17.9	28.6	242.6	8.5	13.5	20	15	.29	1.7	31%	29%	.2	5%	1.9
USA Defense	13	58%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.18	1.6	36%	22%	.14	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	14	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.4	32%	26%	.16	6%	2.1
USA Offense	13	48%	45%	22.4	34.4	268.9	7.8	12	28	12	.33	1.6	31%	30%	.3	5%	2

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2022 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #44
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #108
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.2 #8

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: South Alabama: 7.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 8.1 South Alabama: 10.8

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 7.9 NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Alabama's 2022 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #33
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #66
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #22

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Troy Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.5

Troy's 2022 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 27
Troy 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 28
Troy 26

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
South Alabama 26
Troy 23

Total Points: 49

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

South Alabama's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Troy	31	South Alabama	24	South Alabama -2.5	Troy	46.5	Over
2024	10/15	South Alabama	25	Troy	9	South Alabama -10	South Alabama	53.0	Under
2023	11/02	Troy	28	South Alabama	10	Troy -5.5	Troy	44.5	Under
2022	10/20	South Alabama	6	Troy	10	South Alabama -3	Troy	47.0	Under
2021	11/06	Troy	31	South Alabama	24	Troy -3.5	Troy	47.5	Over
2020	12/05	South Alabama	0	Troy	29	Troy -4.5	Troy	53.5	Under
2019	10/16	Troy	37	South Alabama	13	Troy -17.5	Troy	55.5	Under
2018	10/23	South Alabama	17	Troy	38	Troy -11	Troy	52.5	Over
2017	10/11	Troy	8	South Alabama	19	Troy -18	South Alabama	51.5	Under
2016	10/20	South Alabama	21	Troy	28	Troy -9	South Alabama	49.0	Push
2015	10/03	Troy	18	South Alabama	24	Troy -3	South Alabama	61.5	Under
2014	10/24	South Alabama	27	Troy	13	South Alabama -12	South Alabama	0
2013	10/05	Troy	34	South Alabama	33	Troy -2.5	South Alabama	0
2012	09/29	South Alabama	10	Troy	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	4	6	3 Overs
Troy	10	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	7 - 6	5 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 7	6 - 7	2 - 2	4 - 5

(#) TROY at (#) USA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TROY	USA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#33
Perf GradeGrade	#14	#51
OffenseOff	#29	#64
DefenseDef	#17	#49
Spec TeamsST	#68	#34
TalentTal	#91	#89
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Troy Injury Report

South Alabama Injury Report

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	USA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#29	#49
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#22
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	#38	#59
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#61	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#36

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	#11	#47
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#109	#27
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	TROY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#64	#17
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#66	#8
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	#62	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#112

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	#36	#18
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#85	#10
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 56°

Rematch from Week 8
South Alabama -3.0 (47.0)
Troy won at South Alabama this year (10-6)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Troy last year (25-9)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2023 (28-10)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2022 (10-6)

TROY's OC Joe Craddock (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USA's OC Major Applewhite (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD