Troy at App State - 2022 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at App State MountaineersApp State logo
Saturday, September 17th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -14 (52.0)
App State 32 - Troy: 28  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (26 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ TROY -6.5)
Projected Score: TROY: 24 - APP: 30 (54)
APP Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
TROY Travel: 391 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (6 - 6) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (40 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Troy at Ole Miss+21.556.5L 10 - 28UY
Sat 9/10 Troy vs Alabama A&M-37.552.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/17 Troy at App State+14.052.0L 28 - 32OY
Sat 9/24 Troy vs Marshall+3.051.5W 16 - 7UY
Sat 10/1 Troy at Western Kentucky+5.055.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 10/8 Troy vs Southern Miss-7.044.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 10/15 Troy vs Texas State-16.547.0W 17 - 14UN
Thu 10/20 Troy at South Alabama+3.047.0W 10 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Troy at Louisiana-3.542.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 11/12 Troy vs Army-8.545.5W 10 - 9UN
Sat 11/19 Troy vs UL Monroe-15.048.5W 34 - 16OY
Sat 11/26 Troy at Arkansas State-13.543.5W 48 - 19OY
Sat 12/3 Troy vs Coastal Carolina-7.049.0W 45 - 26OY
Fri 12/16 Troy vs UTSA-2.055.5W 18 - 12UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
App State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 App State vs North Carolina-3.056.0L 61 - 63ON
Sat 9/10 App State at Texas A&M+18.054.0W 17 - 14UY
Sat 9/17 App State vs Troy-14.052.0W 32 - 28ON
Sat 9/24 App State vs James Madison-6.057.0L 28 - 32ON
Sat 10/1 App State vs The Citadel-39.054.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 10/8 App State at Texas State-19.554.5L 24 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/19 App State vs Georgia State-9.560.5W 42 - 17UY
Sat 10/29 App State vs Robert Morris-50.059.5W 42 - 3UN
Thu 11/3 App State at Coastal Carolina-3.065.5L 28 - 35UN
Sat 11/12 App State at Marshall-2.047.5L 21 - 28ON
Sat 11/19 App State vs Old Dominion-16.550.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 11/26 App State at Georgia Southern-6.566.0L 48 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1540%25.640%2.9311641%2433.45.0840%17.142%38%3.0449.91.52.1
APP.2545%34.948%3.3720542%2504.17.2241%26.840%43%4.150.30.92.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1425.625.539.7%3.451.5203591162433.349%49%40%41%16%.15
APP Defense1226.822.441.4%4.12.1 - - - - - 48%52%40%43%17%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1417.121.539.7%3.042.1 - - - - - 47%53%42%38%16%.08
APP Offense1234.940.145.2%4.170.9234552052505.254%46%48%42%11%.25

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1430:2519.532%67%5.449.91.52.15.62.9129.7
App State1230:352339%49%5.550.30.92.15.72.4132.1
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1449%40%35.5116.13.321.072.9373%11%0.93
APP Defense1248%40% - - - - .132.9571%11%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1447%42% - - - - .083.0972%10%0.89
APP Offense1254%48%39.5204.95.227.243.3769%7%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1449%41%17.928.6242.68.513.52015.291.731%29%.25%1.9
APP Defense1252%43% - - - - - - 7.331.633%31%.436%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1453%38% - - - - - - 13.11.432%26%.166%2.1
APP Offense1246%42%18.829.8250.48.413.3286.311.729%30%.344%2.2

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2022 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #44
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #108
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.2  #8

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    App State: 3.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 8.1   App State: 1.7




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 3.35 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2022 Expected Record: -
App State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7  #65
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #42
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #83

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Troy Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.5

Troy's 2022 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
App State 30
Troy 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 33
Troy 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
App State 28
Troy 25

Total Points: 53
App State Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.1
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.4

App State's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/02Troy49App State23Troy -6.5Troy51.5Over
202209/17App State32Troy28Appalachian State -14Troy52.0Over
202111/20Troy7App State45Appalachian State -10App State51.0Over
202011/28App State47Troy10Appalachian State -14App State50.5Over
201911/29Troy13App State48Appalachian State -11App State64.0Under
201811/24App State21Troy10Appalachian State -12Troy45.0Under
201611/12Troy28App State24Troy -1.5Troy49.0Over
201510/31App State44Troy41Appalachian State -24Troy55.0Over
201410/18Troy14App State53Troy -6App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State746 Overs
Troy252 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 33 - 63 - 40 - 2
Road Teams3 - 66 - 32 - 04 - 3

(#) TROY at (#) APP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYAPP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #65
Perf GradeGrade #14 #26
OffenseOff #29 #15
DefenseDef #17 #64
Spec TeamsST #68 #68
TalentTal #91 #94
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffAPP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #29 #64
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #108 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #38 #42
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #49
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #11 #109
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #109 #42
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCatAPP OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #15 #17
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #42 #8
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffTROY Def
Run GameRun #45 #39
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #7 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #112
App State Pass Game
CategoryCatAPP OffTROY Def
Pass GamePass #41 #18
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #48 #10
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 71°
Rematch from Week 3
App State -14.0 (52.0)
App State won vs Troy this year (32-28)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat App State in 2023 (49-23)
App State beat Troy in 2022 (32-28)

  
TROY's OC Joe Craddock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

APP's OC Kevin Barbay (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Dale Jones (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD