Troy at Ole Miss - 2022 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at Ole Miss Rebels(#6)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, September 3rd 2022 (4:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -21.5 (56.5)
Ole Miss 28 - Troy: 10

 
Trojans (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (26 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ MISS -8)
Projected Score: TROY: 20 - MISS: 29 (49)
MISS Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
TROY Travel: 273 miles
Rebels (8 - 5) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (15 - 8)
Avg Score : 34 - 26 (34 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Troy at Ole Miss+21.556.5L 10 - 28UY
Sat 9/10 Troy vs Alabama A&M-37.552.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/17 Troy at App State+14.052.0L 28 - 32OY
Sat 9/24 Troy vs Marshall+3.051.5W 16 - 7UY
Sat 10/1 Troy at Western Kentucky+5.055.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 10/8 Troy vs Southern Miss-7.044.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 10/15 Troy vs Texas State-16.547.0W 17 - 14UN
Thu 10/20 Troy at South Alabama+3.047.0W 10 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Troy at Louisiana-3.542.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 11/12 Troy vs Army-8.545.5W 10 - 9UN
Sat 11/19 Troy vs UL Monroe-15.048.5W 34 - 16OY
Sat 11/26 Troy at Arkansas State-13.543.5W 48 - 19OY
Sat 12/3 Troy vs Coastal Carolina-7.049.0W 45 - 26OY
Fri 12/16 Troy vs UTSA-2.055.5W 18 - 12UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ole Miss vs Troy-21.556.5W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/10 Ole Miss vs Central Arkansas-36.561.0W 59 - 3OY
Sat 9/17 Ole Miss at Georgia Tech-17.063.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 9/24 Ole Miss vs Tulsa-21.066.5W 35 - 27UN
Sat 10/1 Ole Miss vs Kentucky-6.555.0W 22 - 19UN
Sat 10/8 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt-17.059.5W 52 - 28OY
Sat 10/15 Ole Miss vs Auburn-15.555.5W 48 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 Ole Miss at LSU+0.064.0L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/29 Ole Miss at Texas A&M-3.055.5W 31 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 Ole Miss vs Alabama+11.065.5L 24 - 30UY
Sat 11/19 Ole Miss at Arkansas+0.067.5L 27 - 42ON
Thu 11/24 Ole Miss vs Mississippi State-2.563.0L 22 - 24UN
Wed 12/28 Ole Miss vs Texas Tech-4.573.0L 25 - 42UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1540%25.640%2.9311641%2433.45.0840%17.142%38%3.0449.91.52.1
MISS.2748%33.549%3.1125745%2404.04.1644%25.544%44%3.7263.21.52.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1425.625.539.7%3.451.5203591162433.349%49%40%41%16%.15
MISS Defense1325.52143.9%3.722.3 - - - - - 51%49%44%44%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1417.121.539.7%3.042.1 - - - - - 47%53%42%38%16%.08
MISS Offense1333.53447.5%4.041.5254962572405.460%40%49%45%16%.27

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1430:2519.532%67%5.449.91.52.15.62.9129.7
Ole Miss1326:2325.247%49%6.863.21.52.35.72.5027.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1449%40%35.5116.13.321.072.9373%11%0.93
MISS Defense1351%44% - - - - .13.2274%10%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1447%42% - - - - .083.0972%10%0.89
MISS Offense1360%49%47.2256.55.433.273.1174%10%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1449%41%17.928.6242.68.513.52015.291.731%29%.25%1.9
MISS Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 8.241.529%30%.226%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1453%38% - - - - - - 13.11.432%26%.166%2.1
MISS Offense1340%45%18.429.7239.88.113.12211.31.629%36%.335%1.9

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2022 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #44
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #108
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.2  #8

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Ole Miss: 10.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 8.1   Ole Miss: 16.2




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 10.6 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2  #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.8  #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #45

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Troy Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.5

Troy's 2022 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 29
Troy 20

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 33
Troy 15

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 26
Troy 25

Total Points: 51
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Ole Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/03Ole Miss28Troy10Ole Miss -21.5Troy56.5Under
201311/16Ole Miss51Troy21Ole Miss -28Ole Miss0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss210 Overs
Troy011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) TROY at (#) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #14
Perf GradeGrade #14 #48
OffenseOff #29 #56
DefenseDef #17 #45
Spec TeamsST #68 #39
TalentTal #91 #23
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #29 #45
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #108 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffMISS Def
Run GameRun #38 #69
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #40
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffMISS Def
Pass GamePass #11 #34
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #109 #32
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCatMISS OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #56 #17
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #8
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffTROY Def
Run GameRun #27 #39
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #92 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #112
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatMISS OffTROY Def
Pass GamePass #50 #18
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #71 #10
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 88° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Ole Miss -21.5 (56.5)
Ole Miss won vs Troy this year (28-10)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Troy in 2022 (28-10)

  
TROY's OC Joe Craddock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD