SMU at Tulsa - 2022 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at Tulsa Golden Hurricane  Tulsa logo
Saturday, October 29th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
SMU -1 (63.5)
SMU 45 - Tulsa: 34  (American Athletic)

 
Mustangs (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ SMU -11)
Projected Score: SMU: 30 - TLSA: 23 (53)
SMU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
SMU Travel: 234 miles
Golden Hurricane (5 - 7) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Philip Montgomery (38 - 46)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 SMU at North Texas-9.567.5W 48 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 SMU vs Lamar-48.566.0W 45 - 16UN
Sat 9/17 SMU at Maryland+3.074.0L 27 - 34UN
Sat 9/24 SMU vs TCU+2.572.0L 34 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 SMU at UCF+3.065.0L 19 - 41UN
Fri 10/14 SMU vs Navy-12.559.0W 40 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 SMU vs Cincinnati+3.559.5L 27 - 29UY
Sat 10/29 SMU at Tulsa-1.063.5W 45 - 34OY
Sat 11/5 SMU vs Houston-3.566.0W 77 - 63OY
Sat 11/12 SMU at South Florida-17.572.5W 41 - 23UY
Thu 11/17 SMU at Tulane+3.565.0L 24 - 59ON
Sat 11/26 SMU vs Memphis-4.569.0W 34 - 31UN
Sat 12/17 SMU vs BYU-4.565.0L 23 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Tulsa's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Tulsa at Wyoming-6.547.0L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/10 Tulsa vs Northern Illinois-6.563.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/17 Tulsa vs Jacksonville State-12.064.0W 54 - 17OY
Sat 9/24 Tulsa at Ole Miss+21.066.5L 27 - 35UY
Sat 10/1 Tulsa vs Cincinnati+10.059.0L 21 - 31UY
Sat 10/8 Tulsa at Navy-4.545.5L 21 - 53ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21 Tulsa at Temple-13.553.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 10/29 Tulsa vs SMU+1.063.5L 34 - 45ON
Sat 11/5 Tulsa vs Tulane+6.556.0L 13 - 27UN
Thu 11/10 Tulsa at Memphis+7.062.0L 10 - 26UN
Fri 11/18 Tulsa vs South Florida-14.057.5W 48 - 42ON
Sat 11/26 Tulsa at Houston+13.066.5W 37 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.3548%32.248%3.116148%3054.41.2639%20.534%45%4.2152.31.51.3
TLSA.1443%23.242%2.9119244%2503.51.1741%28.944%39%3.7571.51.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1232.229.847.6%4.411.5254661613054.644%56%48%48%15%.35
TLSA Defense1328.927.241.2%3.751.4 - - - - - 52%48%44%39%20%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1220.522.239.3%4.211.3 - - - - - 48%51%34%45%16%.26
TLSA Offense1323.227.342.9%3.511.8234421922504.654%46%42%44%20%.14

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1229:1324.843%67%5.652.31.51.35.62.3232.2
Tulsa1330:5122.639%47%7.571.51.81.45.61.9227.7
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1244%48%35.2161.44.620.173.176%9%0.91
TLSA Defense1352%44% - - - - .142.8972%12%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1248%34% - - - - .062.7962%10%1.08
TLSA Offense1354%42%42.21924.620.082.9162%12%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1256%48%26.139304.57.811.73912.521.730%40%.675%2.2
TLSA Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 11.211.733%31%.377%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1251%45% - - - - - - 10.461.735%30%.46%2.2
TLSA Offense1346%44%18.731.5250.37.913.41816.221.529%32%.259%1.8

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2022 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #56
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.0  #10
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #116

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Tulsa: -0.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 4.7   Tulsa: -6.1




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -0.55 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2022 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1  #88
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #44
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #118

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 30
Tulsa 23

Projected Total Points: 53
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28SMU69Tulsa10SMU -20.5SMU55.0Over
202210/29Tulsa34SMU45SMU -1SMU63.5Over
202111/27SMU31Tulsa34SMU -6Tulsa63.0Over
202011/14Tulsa28SMU24SMU -2.0Tulsa64.0Under
201910/05SMU43Tulsa37SMU -12Tulsa63.5Over
201811/24Tulsa27SMU24SMU -2.5Tulsa52.5Under
201710/27SMU38Tulsa34SMU -11.5Tulsa76.5Under
201610/07Tulsa43SMU40Tulsa -11SMU68.0Over
201510/31SMU31Tulsa40Tulsa -1.5Tulsa75.5Under
201411/08Tulsa38SMU28Tulsa -9.5Tulsa0
201211/24SMU35Tulsa27
201110/29Tulsa38SMU7
201010/09SMU21Tulsa18
200910/31Tulsa13SMU27
200810/11SMU31Tulsa37
200710/27Tulsa29SMU23
200611/18SMU34Tulsa24
200510/22Tulsa20SMU13
200411/06SMU41Tulsa35
200310/25Tulsa35SMU16
200111/17Tulsa14SMU24
200011/10SMU24Tulsa20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa1175 Overs
SMU1134 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 64 - 62 - 42 - 2
Road Teams6 - 166 - 42 - 24 - 2

(#) SMU at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #88
Perf GradeGrade #67 #88
OffenseOff #28 #78
DefenseDef #126 #88
Spec TeamsST #51 #99
TalentTal #63 #84
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #28 #88
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRun #122 #90
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #121
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePass #22 #60
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #9 #123
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #78 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #116
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #77 #124
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #127
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #44 #100
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #105 #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
SMU 1.0 (63.5)
SMU won at Tulsa this year (45-34)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Tulsa in 2023 (69-10)

  
SMU's OC Casey Woods (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC Philip Montgomery (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Luke Olson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD