Navy at SMU - 2022 Matchup Preview
Navy logo   Navy Midshipmen at SMU Mustangs  SMU logo
Friday, October 14th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
SMU -12.5 (59.0)
SMU 40 - Navy: 34  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (104 - 74)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NAVY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ SMU -12)
Projected Score: NAVY: 24 - SMU: 31 (55)
SMU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
NAVY Travel: 1208 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Navy vs Delaware-13.048.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/10 Navy vs Memphis+4.547.5L 13 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Navy at East Carolina+16.548.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/1 Navy at Air Force+14.038.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 10/8 Navy vs Tulsa+4.545.5W 53 - 21OY
Fri 10/14 Navy at SMU+12.559.0L 34 - 40OY
Sat 10/22 Navy vs Houston+3.051.0L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/29 Navy vs Temple-14.541.5W 27 - 20ON
Sat 11/5 Navy at Cincinnati+18.543.5L 10 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 Navy vs Notre Dame+17.040.5L 32 - 35OY
Sat 11/19 Navy at UCF+14.553.0W 17 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/10 Navy vs Army-2.532.0L 17 - 20ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
SMU's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 SMU at North Texas-9.567.5W 48 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 SMU vs Lamar-48.566.0W 45 - 16UN
Sat 9/17 SMU at Maryland+3.074.0L 27 - 34UN
Sat 9/24 SMU vs TCU+2.572.0L 34 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 SMU at UCF+3.065.0L 19 - 41UN
Fri 10/14 SMU vs Navy-12.559.0W 40 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 SMU vs Cincinnati+3.559.5L 27 - 29UY
Sat 10/29 SMU at Tulsa-1.063.5W 45 - 34OY
Sat 11/5 SMU vs Houston-3.566.0W 77 - 63OY
Sat 11/12 SMU at South Florida-17.572.5W 41 - 23UY
Thu 11/17 SMU at Tulane+3.565.0L 24 - 59ON
Sat 11/26 SMU vs Memphis-4.569.0W 34 - 31UN
Sat 12/17 SMU vs BYU-4.565.0L 23 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.1237%31.538%2.8922627%573.87.2142%2541%44%3.8735.20.71.3
SMU.3548%32.248%3.116148%3054.41.2639%20.534%45%4.2152.31.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1231.525.836.6%3.870.717283226573.984%15%38%27%14%.12
SMU Defense1220.519.239.3%4.211.3 - - - - - 48%51%34%45%16%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense122530.242.4%3.871.3 - - - - - 54%46%41%44%16%.21
SMU Offense1232.23647.6%4.411.5254661613054.644%56%48%48%15%.35

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1234:4716.737%69%4.435.20.71.35.11.3230.5
SMU1229:1324.843%67%5.652.31.51.35.62.3232.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1284%38%58.12263.919.152.8978%13%1.11
SMU Defense1248%34% - - - - .062.7962%10%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1254%41% - - - - .132.6871%11%1.07
SMU Offense1244%48%35.2161.44.620.173.176%9%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1215%27%48.156.8714.263-.031.830%23%.131%1.9
SMU Defense1251%45% - - - - - - 10.461.735%30%.46%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1246%44% - - - - - - 7.321.632%34%.445%2
SMU Offense1256%48%26.139304.57.811.73912.521.730%40%.675%2.2

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #233
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2022 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #94
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2  #106
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #47

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    SMU: 4.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -7.2   SMU: 4.7




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 4.85 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2022 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #56
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.0  #10
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #116

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 31
Navy 24

Projected Total Points: 55
SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25SMU59Navy14SMU -20SMU46.0Over
202210/14SMU40Navy34SMU -12.5Navy59.0Over
202110/09Navy24SMU31SMU -13.5Navy57.0Under
202010/31SMU51Navy37SMU -14.0Push0
201911/23Navy35SMU28Navy -3.5Navy68.5Under
201809/22SMU31Navy30Navy -6.5SMU57.5Over
201711/11Navy43SMU40Navy -1.5Navy66.0Over
201611/26SMU31Navy75Navy -8Navy65.5Over
201511/14Navy55SMU14Navy -20Navy59.5Over
201111/12SMU17Navy24
201010/16Navy28SMU21
200910/17SMU35Navy38
200810/25Navy34SMU7
200208/31SMU7Navy38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU526 Overs
Navy962 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 56 - 24 - 12 - 1
Road Teams5 - 92 - 61 - 21 - 4

(#) NAVY at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #94 #56
Perf GradeGrade #109 #67
OffenseOff #87 #28
DefenseDef #121 #126
Spec TeamsST #30 #51
TalentTal #233 #63
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #87 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #106 #116
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #128 #124
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #127
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #112 #100
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #136 #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #28 #121
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffNAVY Def
Run GameRun #122 #74
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePass #22 #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #9 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
SMU -12.5 (59.0)
SMU won vs Navy this year (40-34)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Navy in 2023 (59-14)

  
NAVY's OC Vacant (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Brian Newberry (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC Casey Woods (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD