SMU at North Texas - 2022 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at North Texas Mean Green  North Texas logo
Saturday, September 3rd 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
SMU -9.5 (67.5)
SMU 48 - North Texas: 10

 
Mustangs (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ SMU -6)
Projected Score: SMU: 27 - UNT: 34 (61)
SMU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
SMU Travel: 33 miles
Mean Green (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Seth Littrell (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 SMU at North Texas-9.567.5W 48 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 SMU vs Lamar-48.566.0W 45 - 16UN
Sat 9/17 SMU at Maryland+3.074.0L 27 - 34UN
Sat 9/24 SMU vs TCU+2.572.0L 34 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 SMU at UCF+3.065.0L 19 - 41UN
Fri 10/14 SMU vs Navy-12.559.0W 40 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 SMU vs Cincinnati+3.559.5L 27 - 29UY
Sat 10/29 SMU at Tulsa-1.063.5W 45 - 34OY
Sat 11/5 SMU vs Houston-3.566.0W 77 - 63OY
Sat 11/12 SMU at South Florida-17.572.5W 41 - 23UY
Thu 11/17 SMU at Tulane+3.565.0L 24 - 59ON
Sat 11/26 SMU vs Memphis-4.569.0W 34 - 31UN
Sat 12/17 SMU vs BYU-4.565.0L 23 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
North Texas's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 North Texas at UTEP-1.552.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 9/3 North Texas vs SMU+9.567.5L 10 - 48UN
Sat 9/10 North Texas vs Texas Southern-38.564.5W 59 - 27ON
Sat 9/17 North Texas at UNLV+2.562.5L 27 - 58ON
Sat 9/24 North Texas at Memphis+13.068.5L 34 - 44OY
Sat 10/1 North Texas vs Florida Atlantic+3.067.5W 45 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 North Texas vs Louisiana Tech-6.568.0W 47 - 27OY
Sat 10/22 North Texas at UTSA+10.073.0L 27 - 31UY
Sat 10/29 North Texas at Western Kentucky+10.070.0W 40 - 13UY
Sat 11/5 North Texas vs Florida International-21.063.5W 52 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 North Texas at UAB+6.558.0L 21 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/26 North Texas vs Rice-14.557.0W 21 - 17UN
Fri 12/2 North Texas at UTSA+8.570.0L 27 - 48ON
Sat 12/17 North Texas vs Boise State+12.063.0L 32 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.3548%32.248%3.116148%3054.41.2639%20.534%45%4.2152.31.51.3
UNT.1740%45.144%3.3123436%1973.23.1638%26.538%39%3.4868.41.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1232.229.847.6%4.411.5254661613054.644%56%48%48%15%.35
UNT Defense1326.52238.3%3.481.8 - - - - - 50%50%38%39%19%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1220.522.239.3%4.211.3 - - - - - 48%51%34%45%16%.26
UNT Offense1345.145.740.4%3.231.5234312341974.859%40%44%36%14%.17

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1229:1324.843%67%5.652.31.51.35.62.3232.2
North Texas1329:512341%41%7.268.41.51.86.82.9028.7
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1244%48%35.2161.44.620.173.176%9%0.91
UNT Defense1350%38% - - - - .042.8462%14%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1248%34% - - - - .062.7962%10%1.08
UNT Offense1359%44%49.2234.14.832.223.3182%8%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1256%48%26.139304.57.811.73912.521.730%40%.675%2.2
UNT Defense1350%39% - - - - - - 6.331.934%31%.415%2.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1251%45% - - - - - - 10.461.735%30%.46%2.2
UNT Offense1340%36%15.730.3197.16.512.61214.161.632%29%.285%2

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2022 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #56
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.0  #10
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #116

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    North Texas: 1.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 4.7   North Texas: -1.5




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 1.75 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2022 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5  #73
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #52
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #99

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 34
SMU 27

Projected Total Points: 61
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

North Texas's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/10SMU45North Texas21SMU -21.5SMU67.5Under
202209/03North Texas10SMU48SMU -9.5SMU67.5Under
202109/11SMU35North Texas12SMU -22.5SMU75.5Under
202009/19North Texas35SMU65SMU -15SMU71.5Over
201909/07SMU49North Texas27SMU -3.5SMU72.5Over
201809/01North Texas46SMU23North Texas -3.5North Texas70.5Under
201709/09SMU54North Texas32SMU -13SMU64.5Over
201609/03North Texas21SMU34SMU -12SMU68.0Under
201509/12SMU31North Texas13SMU -6SMU60.0Under
201409/06North Texas43SMU6North Texas -4North Texas0
200709/08SMU45North Texas31
200609/09North Texas24SMU6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas323 Overs
SMU986 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 37 - 37 - 00 - 3
Road Teams3 - 93 - 73 - 00 - 7

(#) SMU at (#) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #73
Perf GradeGrade #67 #38
OffenseOff #28 #38
DefenseDef #126 #48
Spec TeamsST #51 #96
TalentTal #63 #78
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #28 #48
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUNT Def
Run GameRun #122 #28
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #73
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUNT Def
Pass GamePass #22 #59
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #9 #64
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Texas on Offense
CategoryCatUNT OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #52 #116
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #49 #124
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #127
North Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatUNT OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #70 #100
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #50 #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
SMU 9.5 (67.5)
SMU won at North Texas this year (48-10)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat North Texas in 2023 (45-21)

  
SMU's OC Casey Woods (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNT's OC Mike Bloesch (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Phil Bennett (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD