Colorado at Minnesota - 2022 Matchup Preview

Colorado Buffaloes at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Saturday, September 17th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -28 (47.5)
Minnesota 49 - Colorado: 7

Buffaloes (1 - 11) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Karl Dorrell (8 - 10)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

COLO 2nd straight Road Game
MINN 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -20.5 (SP+ MINN -36)
Projected Score: COLO: 18 - MINN: 30 (48)
MINN Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
COLO Travel: 702 miles, 1 hrs behind

Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (35 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Colorado vs TCU	+13.5	59.0	L 13 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/10	Colorado at Air Force	+17.5	50.0	L 10 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/17	Colorado at Minnesota	+28.0	47.5	L 7 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/24	Colorado vs UCLA	+22.0	57.0	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/1	Colorado at Arizona	+17.5	57.5	L 20 - 43	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Colorado vs California	+15.0	49.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Colorado at Oregon State	+23.0	47.5	L 9 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/29	Colorado vs Arizona State	+13.0	49.0	L 34 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Colorado vs Oregon	+31.0	62.5	L 10 - 49	U	N
Fri 11/11	Colorado at USC	+34.0	66.0	L 17 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/19	Colorado at Washington	+30.5	61.5	L 7 - 54	U	N
Sat 11/26	Colorado vs Utah	+30.0	52.0	L 21 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Minnesota's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Minnesota vs New Mexico State	-36.0	52.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Minnesota vs Western Illinois	-41.0	56.5	W 62 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Minnesota vs Colorado	-28.0	47.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Minnesota at Michigan State	-3.0	50.0	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Minnesota vs Purdue	-9.0	53.0	L 10 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Minnesota at Illinois	-4.5	40.0	L 14 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/22	Minnesota at Penn State	+5.5	43.0	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/29	Minnesota vs Rutgers	-14.0	40.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Minnesota at Nebraska	-14.5	44.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/12	Minnesota vs Northwestern	-17.0	40.5	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Minnesota vs Iowa	-2.0	31.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/26	Minnesota at Wisconsin	+3.0	37.0	W 23 - 16	O	Y
Thu 12/29	Minnesota vs Syracuse	-10.5	45.0	W 28 - 20	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	.09	36%	20.9	42%	2.76	126	28%	131	3.82	.26	45%	30.5	49%	42%	3.74	56.4	0.6	1.3
MINN	.18	42%	23	43%	3.13	198	41%	162	3.73	.1	37%	22.9	38%	37%	3.75	45.3	1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	12	20.9	16.8	36.1%	3.82	0.6	14	257	126	131	3.5	57%	43%	42%	28%	20%	.09
MINN Defense	13	22.9	13	37.4%	3.75	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	37%	17%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	12	30.5	35.4	45.1%	3.74	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	49%	42%	14%	.26
MINN Offense	13	23	30.1	42%	3.73	1	20	360	198	162	4.3	68%	32%	43%	41%	14%	.18

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	12	27:11	14.4	32%	33%	6.3	56.4	0.6	1.3	5	1.1	3	28.2
Minnesota	13	35:26	19.9	44%	60%	4.5	45.3	1	1.4	4.5	1.9	0	32

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	12	57%	42%	36.5	126.2	3.5	12	.07	2.76	76%	13%	0.86
MINN Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.78	74%	10%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	12	49%	49%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.26	79%	9%	1.02
MINN Offense	13	68%	43%	46.3	198.1	4.3	27	.12	3.13	81%	9%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	12	43%	28%	12.8	22.4	131.3	5.9	10.2	10	3	.12	1.7	35%	21%	.18	7%	2.2
MINN Defense	13	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.15	1.4	35%	21%	.12	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	12	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.31	1.6	33%	37%	.53	5%	2
MINN Offense	13	32%	41%	11.7	19.7	162	8.2	13.9	12	9	.31	1.8	29%	30%	.34	5%	2

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado's 2022 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.4 #125
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #85
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #131

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: Minnesota: 10.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -20.4 Minnesota: 16.0

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 10.5 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2022 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #16
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #90
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 30
Colorado 18

Projected Total Points: 48

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/17	Minnesota	49	Colorado	7	Minnesota -28	Minnesota	47.5	Over
2021	09/18	Colorado	0	Minnesota	30	Colorado -2.5	Minnesota	49.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	2	2	1 Overs
Colorado	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) COLO at (#) MINN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	COLO	MINN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#125	#16
Perf GradeGrade	#136	#4
OffenseOff	#127	#2
DefenseDef	#136	#28
Spec TeamsST	#76	#37
TalentTal	#61	#50
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Colorado Injury Report

Minnesota Injury Report

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	MINN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#28
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#107	#43
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#9

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#8
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#60	#125
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	COLO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#2	#136
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#131
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#22	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#1	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#136

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#13	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#43	#135
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Minnesota -28.0 (47.5)
Minnesota won vs Colorado this year (49-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

COLO's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Chris Wilson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MINN's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD