Minnesota at Nebraska - 2022 Matchup Preview

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Saturday, November 5th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota -14.5 (44.5)
Minnesota 20 - Nebraska: 13 (Big Ten)

Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (35 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEB 2nd straight Home Game
MINN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6 (SP+ MINN -17)
Projected Score: MINN: 19 - NEB: 32 (51)
MINN Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
MINN Travel: 337 miles

Cornhuskers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (15 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MINN Players
NEB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Minnesota's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Minnesota vs New Mexico State	-36.0	52.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Minnesota vs Western Illinois	-41.0	56.5	W 62 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Minnesota vs Colorado	-28.0	47.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Minnesota at Michigan State	-3.0	50.0	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Minnesota vs Purdue	-9.0	53.0	L 10 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Minnesota at Illinois	-4.5	40.0	L 14 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/22	Minnesota at Penn State	+5.5	43.0	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/29	Minnesota vs Rutgers	-14.0	40.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Minnesota at Nebraska	-14.5	44.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/12	Minnesota vs Northwestern	-17.0	40.5	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Minnesota vs Iowa	-2.0	31.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/26	Minnesota at Wisconsin	+3.0	37.0	W 23 - 16	O	Y
Thu 12/29	Minnesota vs Syracuse	-10.5	45.0	W 28 - 20	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Nebraska's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-12.0	52.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/3	Nebraska vs North Dakota	-28.5	62.5	W 38 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/10	Nebraska vs Georgia Southern	-23.5	64.0	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Nebraska vs Oklahoma	+10.5	65.5	L 14 - 49	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Nebraska vs Indiana	-6.5	62.0	W 35 - 21	U	Y
Fri 10/7	Nebraska at Rutgers	-3.0	50.5	W 14 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/15	Nebraska at Purdue	+14.0	56.0	L 37 - 43	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Nebraska vs Illinois	+7.5	50.5	L 9 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/5	Nebraska vs Minnesota	+14.5	44.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Nebraska at Michigan	+30.5	49.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/19	Nebraska vs Wisconsin	+10.0	40.5	L 14 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Nebraska at Iowa	+10.5	38.0	W 24 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	.18	42%	23	43%	3.13	198	41%	162	3.73	.1	37%	22.9	38%	37%	3.75	45.3	1	1.4
NEB	.27	45%	28.7	43%	3.05	181	47%	266	3.97	.19	44%	24.6	45%	44%	2.97	45	1.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Offense	13	23	8.3	42%	3.73	1	20	360	198	162	4.3	68%	32%	43%	41%	14%	.18
NEB Defense	12	24.6	20.9	44.2%	2.97	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	44%	16%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Defense	13	22.9	38	37.4%	3.75	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	37%	17%	.1
NEB Offense	12	28.7	36.1	44.5%	3.97	1.5	22	448	181	266	4.4	54%	46%	43%	47%	15%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Minnesota	13	35:26	19.9	44%	60%	4.5	45.3	1	1.4	4.5	1.9	0	32
Nebraska	12	28:53	21.6	41%	58%	5.3	45	1.5	1.1	5.6	1.7	0	28

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Offense	13	68%	43%	46.3	198.1	4.3	27	.12	3.13	81%	9%	0.91
NEB Defense	12	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.96	71%	9%	0.82

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.78	74%	10%	0.94
NEB Offense	12	54%	43%	40.8	181.2	4.4	31	.2	3.05	63%	10%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Offense	13	32%	41%	11.7	19.7	162	8.2	13.9	12	9	.31	1.8	29%	30%	.34	5%	2
NEB Defense	12	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.3	1.5	29%	31%	.35	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Defense	13	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.15	1.4	35%	21%	.12	7%	2
NEB Offense	12	46%	47%	17.9	28.5	266.4	9.4	14.9	14	11	.37	1.6	28%	30%	.26	5%	2

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Minnesota's 2022 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #16
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #90
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: Nebraska: 1.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 16.0 Nebraska: -1.2

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 1.9 NR
Nebraska's Offense Rating: NR
Nebraska's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nebraska's 2022 Expected Record: -
Nebraska's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #71
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #74
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #59

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Nebraska 32
Minnesota 19

Projected Total Points: 51

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/17	Minnesota	24	Nebraska	6	Nebraska -7	Minnesota	47.5	Under
2023	08/31	Minnesota	13	Nebraska	10	Minnesota -7.5	Nebraska	43.0	Under
2022	11/05	Nebraska	13	Minnesota	20	Minnesota -14.5	Nebraska	44.5	Under
2021	10/16	Minnesota	30	Nebraska	23	Nebraska -4.5	Minnesota	48.5	Over
2020	12/12	Nebraska	17	Minnesota	24	Nebraska -8.5	Minnesota	61.5	Under
2019	10/12	Minnesota	34	Nebraska	7	Minnesota -7	Minnesota	47.0	Under
2018	10/20	Nebraska	53	Minnesota	28	Nebraska -4.5	Nebraska	54.5	Over
2017	11/11	Minnesota	54	Nebraska	21	Minnesota -1.5	Minnesota	47.5	Over
2016	11/12	Nebraska	24	Minnesota	17	Nebraska -8	Minnesota	48.5	Under
2015	10/17	Minnesota	25	Nebraska	48	Nebraska -1.5	Nebraska	47.0	Over
2014	11/22	Nebraska	24	Minnesota	28	Nebraska -10	Minnesota	0
2013	10/26	Minnesota	34	Nebraska	23	Nebraska -8.5	Minnesota	0
2012	11/17	Nebraska	38	Minnesota	14
2011	10/22	Minnesota	14	Nebraska	41

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nebraska	5	4	4 Overs
Minnesota	9	8	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	7 - 5	3 - 4	4 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 9	5 - 7	1 - 4	4 - 3

(#) MINN at (#) NEB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MINN	NEB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#71
Perf GradeGrade	#4	#112
OffenseOff	#2	#102
DefenseDef	#28	#107
Spec TeamsST	#37	#88
TalentTal	#50	#24
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Minnesota Injury Report

Nebraska Injury Report

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	NEB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#2	#107
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#59
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#22	#125
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#1	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#52

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#13	#96
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#43	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nebraska on Offense


CategoryCat	NEB Off	MINN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#102	#28
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#74	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nebraska Run Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#82	#43
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#9

Nebraska Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#71	#8
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#134	#125
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

MINN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Minnesota 14.5 (44.5)
Minnesota won at Nebraska this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Nebraska last year (24-6)
Minnesota beat Nebraska in 2023 (13-10)

MINN's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEB's OC Mark Whipple (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Erik Chinander (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD