Colorado at Oregon State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Colorado Buffaloes at Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (8:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -23 (47.5)
Oregon State 42 - Colorado: 9 (Pac-12)

Buffaloes (1 - 11) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Karl Dorrell (8 - 10)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORST 2nd straight Home Game
ORST is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -20 (SP+ ORST -35)
Projected Score: COLO: 23 - ORST: 26 (49)
ORST Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
COLO Travel: 971 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Beavers (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (16 - 28)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Colorado vs TCU	+13.5	59.0	L 13 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/10	Colorado at Air Force	+17.5	50.0	L 10 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/17	Colorado at Minnesota	+28.0	47.5	L 7 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/24	Colorado vs UCLA	+22.0	57.0	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/1	Colorado at Arizona	+17.5	57.5	L 20 - 43	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Colorado vs California	+15.0	49.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Colorado at Oregon State	+23.0	47.5	L 9 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/29	Colorado vs Arizona State	+13.0	49.0	L 34 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Colorado vs Oregon	+31.0	62.5	L 10 - 49	U	N
Fri 11/11	Colorado at USC	+34.0	66.0	L 17 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/19	Colorado at Washington	+30.5	61.5	L 7 - 54	U	N
Sat 11/26	Colorado vs Utah	+30.0	52.0	L 21 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Oregon State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Oregon State vs Boise State	-2.0	55.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Oregon State at Fresno State	+1.0	59.0	W 35 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Oregon State vs Montana State	-16.5	56.5	W 68 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Oregon State vs USC	+5.5	70.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Oregon State at Utah	+10.5	54.0	L 16 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/8	Oregon State at Stanford	-4.5	53.0	W 28 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/15	Oregon State vs Washington State	-3.0	51.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Oregon State vs Colorado	-23.0	47.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4	Oregon State at Washington	+4.5	53.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Oregon State vs California	-11.5	47.0	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Oregon State at Arizona State	-7.5	53.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Oregon State vs Oregon	-1.0	57.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 12/17	Oregon State vs Florida	-7.5	52.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	.09	36%	20.9	42%	2.76	126	28%	131	3.82	.26	45%	30.5	49%	42%	3.74	56.4	0.6	1.3
ORST	.33	50%	17.6	54%	3.65	212	46%	217	4.79	.21	43%	29.4	45%	42%	3.93	63.1	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	12	20.9	16.8	36.1%	3.82	0.6	14	257	126	131	3.5	57%	43%	42%	28%	20%	.09
ORST Defense	13	29.4	25.3	42.9%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	42%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	12	30.5	35.4	45.1%	3.74	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	49%	42%	14%	.26
ORST Offense	13	17.6	21.7	50.5%	4.79	1.4	23	429	212	217	5.3	57%	42%	54%	46%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	12	27:11	14.4	32%	33%	6.3	56.4	0.6	1.3	5	1.1	3	28.2
Oregon State	13	30:29	23	50%	48%	6.8	63.1	1.4	1.5	4.9	1.5	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	12	57%	42%	36.5	126.2	3.5	12	.07	2.76	76%	13%	0.86
ORST Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.08	80%	9%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	12	49%	49%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.26	79%	9%	1.02
ORST Offense	13	57%	54%	40.1	212.4	5.3	33	.3	3.65	89%	7%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	12	43%	28%	12.8	22.4	131.3	5.9	10.2	10	3	.12	1.7	35%	21%	.18	7%	2.2
ORST Defense	13	52%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.28	1.6	32%	33%	.28	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	12	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.31	1.6	33%	37%	.53	5%	2
ORST Offense	13	42%	46%	16.8	26.7	216.9	8.1	12.9	19	12	.39	1.6	29%	35%	.35	6%	1.8

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado's 2022 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.4 #125
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #85
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #131

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: Oregon State: 9.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -20.4 Oregon State: 14.3

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 9.65 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #22
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #41
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #24

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 26
Colorado 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Colorado	19	Oregon State	26	Oregon State -13.0	Colorado	60.5	Under
2022	10/22	Oregon State	42	Colorado	9	Oregon State -23	Oregon State	47.5	Over
2021	11/06	Colorado	37	Oregon State	34	Oregon State -11.5	Colorado	55.5	Over
2018	10/27	Colorado	34	Oregon State	41	Colorado -26.5	Oregon State	59.5	Over
2017	10/14	Oregon State	33	Colorado	36	Colorado -9.5	Oregon State	56.0	Over
2016	10/01	Colorado	47	Oregon State	6	Colorado -16	Colorado	56.0	Under
2015	10/24	Oregon State	13	Colorado	17	Oregon State -3.5	Colorado	59.0	Under
2014	10/04	Colorado	31	Oregon State	36	Oregon State -7.5	Colorado	0
2013	09/28	Oregon State	44	Colorado	17	Oregon State -11	Oregon State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	5	4	4 Overs
Colorado	4	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 5	7 - 2	3 - 2	4 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 4	2 - 7	0 - 4	2 - 3

(#) COLO at (#) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	COLO	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#125	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#136	#10
OffenseOff	#127	#8
DefenseDef	#136	#32
Spec TeamsST	#76	#33
TalentTal	#61	#54
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Colorado Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#107	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#60	#115
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	COLO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#8	#136
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#131
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#18	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#136

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#135
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Oregon State -23.0 (47.5)
Oregon State won vs Colorado this year (42-9)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Colorado in 2023 (26-19)

COLO's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Chris Wilson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD