Florida at Oregon State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, December 17th 2022 (2:30 PM EST)
Oregon State -7.5 (52.0) (-400) Open: -5.5 | 55.5
Oregon State 30 - Florida: 3 (SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl)

Gators (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -2 (SP+ ORST -4)
Projected Score: FLA: 23 - ORST: 24 (47)
ORST Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
FLA Travel: 1291 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Beavers (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (16 - 28)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
FLA Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Florida vs Utah	+2.5	52.0	W 29 - 26	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Florida vs Kentucky	-6.0	53.0	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/17	Florida vs South Florida	-23.5	58.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/24	Florida at Tennessee	+11.0	62.0	L 33 - 38	O	Y
Sun 10/2	Florida vs Eastern Washington	-32.0	71.5	W 52 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Florida vs Missouri	-11.0	53.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	Florida vs LSU	-2.0	51.5	L 35 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida vs Georgia	+23.0	56.5	L 20 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida at Texas A&M	+1.5	53.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Florida vs South Carolina	-8.0	58.0	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida at Vanderbilt	-14.0	58.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
Fri 11/25	Florida at Florida State	+10.0	58.5	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 12/17	Florida vs Oregon State	+7.5	52.0	L 3 - 30	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Oregon State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Oregon State vs Boise State	-2.0	55.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Oregon State at Fresno State	+1.0	59.0	W 35 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Oregon State vs Montana State	-16.5	56.5	W 68 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Oregon State vs USC	+5.5	70.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Oregon State at Utah	+10.5	54.0	L 16 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/8	Oregon State at Stanford	-4.5	53.0	W 28 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/15	Oregon State vs Washington State	-3.0	51.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Oregon State vs Colorado	-23.0	47.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4	Oregon State at Washington	+4.5	53.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Oregon State vs California	-11.5	47.0	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Oregon State at Arizona State	-7.5	53.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Oregon State vs Oregon	-1.0	57.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 12/17	Oregon State vs Florida	-7.5	52.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	.27	47%	21.6	46%	3.35	209	48%	254	4.11	.17	41%	24	44%	39%	3.73	70.6	1.6	1
ORST	.33	50%	17.6	54%	3.65	212	46%	217	4.79	.21	43%	29.4	45%	42%	3.93	63.1	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	13	21.6	13	46.6%	4.11	1.6	22	463	209	254	5.5	52%	47%	46%	48%	16%	.27
ORST Defense	13	29.4	25.3	42.9%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	42%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	13	24	30.4	41%	3.73	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	44%	39%	16%	.17
ORST Offense	13	17.6	21.7	50.5%	4.79	1.4	23	429	212	217	5.3	57%	42%	54%	46%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	13	30:30	22.4	41%	54%	8	70.6	1.6	1	6.2	2.8	0	28.4
Oregon State	13	30:29	23	50%	48%	6.8	63.1	1.4	1.5	4.9	1.5	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	13	52%	46%	38.1	208.8	5.5	26	.25	3.35	69%	9%	1.07
ORST Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.08	80%	9%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.11	69%	11%	1.01
ORST Offense	13	57%	54%	40.1	212.4	5.3	33	.3	3.65	89%	7%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	13	47%	48%	20.4	32	254.2	7.9	12.5	27	18	.37	1.6	30%	30%	.31	7%	2.2
ORST Defense	13	52%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.28	1.6	32%	33%	.28	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.21	1.6	32%	29%	.3	6%	1.9
ORST Offense	13	42%	46%	16.8	26.7	216.9	8.1	12.9	19	12	.39	1.6	29%	35%	.35	6%	1.8

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #34
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #15
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #79

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: Oregon State: 7.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 10.4 Oregon State: 14.3

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 7.15 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #22
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #41
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #24

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 24
Florida 23

Projected Total Points: 47

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	12/17	Oregon State	30	Florida	3	Oregon State -7.5	Oregon State	52.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	1	1	0 Overs
Florida	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

Florida Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Vegas Bowl	Florida vs Oregon State	+7.5	52.0	L 3 - 30
2021	Gasparilla Bowl	Florida vs UCF	-7.0	56.0	L 17 - 29
2020	Cotton Bowl	Florida vs Oklahoma	-3.0	72.0	L 20 - 55
2019	Orange Bowl	Florida vs Virginia	-16.0	55.5	W 36 - 28
2018	Peach Bowl	Florida vs Michigan	+4.0	51.0	W 41 - 15
2016	Outback Bowl	Florida vs Iowa	-2.0	41.0	W 30 - 3

Oregon State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Vegas Bowl	Oregon State vs Florida	-7.5	52.0	W 30 - 3
2021	La Bowl	Oregon State vs Utah State	-7.0	68.0	L 13 - 24

(#) FLA at (#) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FLA	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#34	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#10
OffenseOff	#21	#8
DefenseDef	#72	#32
Spec TeamsST	#99	#33
TalentTal	#12	#54
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#21	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#15	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#37	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#15	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#64	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#34	#115
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	FLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#8	#72
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	#18	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#45

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#91
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#54
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Oregon State -7.5 (52.0)
Oregon State won vs Florida this year (30-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FLA's OC Rob Sale (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD