Oregon State at Stanford - 2022 Matchup Preview

Oregon State Beavers at Stanford Cardinal

Saturday, October 8th 2022 (11:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -4.5 (53.0)
Oregon State 28 - Stanford: 27 (Pac-12)

Beavers (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (16 - 28)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORST 2nd straight Road Game
ORST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ ORST -21.5)
Projected Score: ORST: 21 - STAN: 27 (48)
ORST Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ORST Travel: 496 miles

Cardinal (3 - 9) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach David Shaw (93 - 45)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (25 - 26 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORST Players
STAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Oregon State vs Boise State	-2.0	55.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Oregon State at Fresno State	+1.0	59.0	W 35 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Oregon State vs Montana State	-16.5	56.5	W 68 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Oregon State vs USC	+5.5	70.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Oregon State at Utah	+10.5	54.0	L 16 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/8	Oregon State at Stanford	-4.5	53.0	W 28 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/15	Oregon State vs Washington State	-3.0	51.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Oregon State vs Colorado	-23.0	47.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4	Oregon State at Washington	+4.5	53.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Oregon State vs California	-11.5	47.0	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Oregon State at Arizona State	-7.5	53.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Oregon State vs Oregon	-1.0	57.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 12/17	Oregon State vs Florida	-7.5	52.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Stanford's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Stanford vs Colgate	-40.0	51.5	W 41 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	Stanford vs USC	+9.5	66.5	L 28 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Stanford at Washington	+14.0	62.5	L 22 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/1	Stanford at Oregon	+17.0	63.0	L 27 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	Stanford vs Oregon State	+4.5	53.0	L 27 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Stanford at Notre Dame	+16.5	53.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Stanford vs Arizona State	-3.0	52.0	W 15 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/29	Stanford at UCLA	+16.5	64.5	L 13 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/5	Stanford vs Washington State	+3.0	48.5	L 14 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/12	Stanford at Utah	+23.5	54.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/19	Stanford at California	+5.0	46.0	L 20 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/26	Stanford vs BYU	+6.0	57.5	L 26 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	.33	50%	17.6	54%	3.65	212	46%	217	4.79	.21	43%	29.4	45%	42%	3.93	63.1	1.4	1.5
STAN	.13	39%	18.8	36%	2.69	88	41%	215	3.22	.31	49%	29.2	55%	42%	4	44.5	1.6	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
STAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	13	17.6	11.8	50.5%	4.79	1.4	23	429	212	217	5.3	57%	42%	54%	46%	13%	.33
STAN Defense	12	29.2	26	49%	4	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	55%	42%	13%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	13	29.4	35.2	42.9%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	42%	16%	.21
STAN Offense	12	18.8	25.2	38.9%	3.22	1.6	17	303	88	215	3.2	42%	57%	36%	41%	20%	.13

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	13	30:29	23	50%	48%	6.8	63.1	1.4	1.5	4.9	1.5	1	28.4
Stanford	12	27:24	16.7	34%	60%	6.3	44.5	1.6	0.8	4.3	1.3	1	30

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	13	57%	54%	40.1	212.4	5.3	33	.3	3.65	89%	7%	0.94
STAN Defense	12	56%	55%	-	-	-	-	.37	3.57	71%	7%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.08	80%	9%	0.92
STAN Offense	12	42%	36%	27.1	87.6	3.2	13	.03	2.69	64%	13%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	13	42%	46%	16.8	26.7	216.9	8.1	12.9	19	12	.39	1.6	29%	35%	.35	6%	1.8
STAN Defense	12	44%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.25	1.4	27%	32%	.41	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	13	52%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.28	1.6	32%	33%	.28	7%	1.9
STAN Offense	12	57%	41%	19.9	31	215.2	6.9	10.8	16	12	.22	1.5	33%	26%	.2	8%	2.1

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #22
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #41
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #24

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: Stanford: -1.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 14.3 Stanford: -7.2

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -1.1 NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Stanford's 2022 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #94
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #71
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #101

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Stanford 27
Oregon State 21

Projected Total Points: 48

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Stanford's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Oregon State	62	Stanford	17	Oregon State -21.5	Oregon State	51.5	Over
2022	10/08	Stanford	27	Oregon State	28	Oregon State -4.5	Stanford	53.0	Over
2021	11/13	Oregon State	35	Stanford	14	Oregon State -12.5	Oregon State	56.5	Under
2020	12/12	Oregon State	24	Stanford	27	Stanford -2.5	Stanford	55.0	Under
2019	09/28	Oregon State	28	Stanford	31	Stanford -3.5	Oregon State	56.0	Over
2018	11/10	Stanford	48	Oregon State	17	Stanford -23.5	Stanford	61.5	Over
2017	10/26	Oregon State	14	Stanford	15	Stanford -18	Oregon State	56.5	Under
2016	11/05	Stanford	26	Oregon State	15	Stanford -16.5	Oregon State	42.5	Under
2015	09/25	Oregon State	24	Stanford	42	Stanford -16.5	Stanford	47.0	Over
2014	10/25	Stanford	38	Oregon State	14	Stanford -13.5	Stanford	0
2013	10/26	Oregon State	12	Stanford	20	Stanford -6	Stanford	0
2012	11/10	Stanford	27	Oregon State	23
2011	11/05	Oregon State	13	Stanford	38
2010	11/27	Stanford	38	Oregon State	0
2009	10/10	Oregon State	38	Stanford	28
2008	08/28	Stanford	36	Oregon State	28
2007	10/27	Oregon State	23	Stanford	6
2006	11/18	Stanford	7	Oregon State	30
2005	11/12	Oregon State	17	Stanford	20
2004	11/13	Stanford	19	Oregon State	24
2003	11/15	Oregon State	43	Stanford	3
2000	10/13	Oregon State	38	Stanford	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Stanford	13	6	5 Overs
Oregon State	9	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 10	7 - 4	4 - 1	3 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 12	4 - 7	3 - 3	1 - 4

(#) ORST at (#) STAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORST	STAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#94
Perf GradeGrade	#10	#119
OffenseOff	#8	#75
DefenseDef	#32	#133
Spec TeamsST	#33	#90
TalentTal	#54	#22
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oregon State Injury Report

Stanford Injury Report

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	STAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#8	#133
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	#18	#135
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#98

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#105
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#66
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Stanford on Offense


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#75	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Stanford Run Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#126	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#34	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

Stanford Pass Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#40	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#114	#115
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Oregon State 4.5 (53.0)
Oregon State won at Stanford this year (28-27)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Stanford in 2023 (62-17)

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

STAN's OC Tavita Pritchard (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Lance Anderson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD