California at Oregon State - 2022 Matchup Preview

California Golden Bears at Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (9:00 PM EST)
Oregon State -11.5 (47.0)
Oregon State 38 - California: 10 (Pac-12)

Golden Bears (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (26 - 28)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CAL 2nd straight Road Game
CAL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -11 (SP+ ORST -17)
Projected Score: CAL: 26 - ORST: 24 (50)
ORST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
CAL Travel: 465 miles

Beavers (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (16 - 28)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CAL Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

California's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	California vs UC Davis	-14.0	44.0	W 34 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/10	California vs UNLV	-12.0	49.5	W 20 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/17	California at Notre Dame	+13.5	41.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/24	California vs Arizona	-3.5	50.0	W 49 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/1	California at Washington State	+4.0	52.5	L 9 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	California at Colorado	-15.0	49.0	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/22	California vs Washington	+7.5	54.5	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/29	California vs Oregon	+16.5	56.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/5	California at USC	+21.5	60.5	L 35 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/12	California at Oregon State	+11.5	47.0	L 10 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/19	California vs Stanford	-5.0	46.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/25	California vs UCLA	+11.5	62.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule

Oregon State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Oregon State vs Boise State	-2.0	55.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Oregon State at Fresno State	+1.0	59.0	W 35 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Oregon State vs Montana State	-16.5	56.5	W 68 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Oregon State vs USC	+5.5	70.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Oregon State at Utah	+10.5	54.0	L 16 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/8	Oregon State at Stanford	-4.5	53.0	W 28 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/15	Oregon State vs Washington State	-3.0	51.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Oregon State vs Colorado	-23.0	47.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4	Oregon State at Washington	+4.5	53.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Oregon State vs California	-11.5	47.0	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Oregon State at Arizona State	-7.5	53.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Oregon State vs Oregon	-1.0	57.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 12/17	Oregon State vs Florida	-7.5	52.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL	.23	44%	25.3	50%	3.53	164	39%	222	3.62	.17	43%	27.2	47%	41%	3.01	57.8	0.8	1.7
ORST	.33	50%	17.6	54%	3.65	212	46%	217	4.79	.21	43%	29.4	45%	42%	3.93	63.1	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Offense	12	25.3	23.7	43.8%	3.62	0.8	19	386	164	222	4.9	48%	52%	50%	39%	13%	.23
ORST Defense	13	29.4	25.3	42.9%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	42%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Defense	12	27.2	29.6	43.4%	3.01	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	47%	41%	16%	.17
ORST Offense	13	17.6	21.7	50.5%	4.79	1.4	23	429	212	217	5.3	57%	42%	54%	46%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
California	12	30:25	19	41%	33%	6.2	57.8	0.8	1.7	5.3	1.9	2	26.3
Oregon State	13	30:29	23	50%	48%	6.8	63.1	1.4	1.5	4.9	1.5	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Offense	12	48%	50%	33.5	164.2	4.9	17	.27	3.53	81%	8%	0.97
ORST Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.08	80%	9%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Defense	12	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.25	83%	9%	0.94
ORST Offense	13	57%	54%	40.1	212.4	5.3	33	.3	3.65	89%	7%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Offense	12	52%	39%	19.6	31.8	221.6	7	11.3	16	8	.22	1.5	31%	30%	.29	5%	1.9
ORST Defense	13	52%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.28	1.6	32%	33%	.28	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Defense	12	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.5	32%	32%	.28	7%	2.1
ORST Offense	13	42%	46%	16.8	26.7	216.9	8.1	12.9	19	12	.39	1.6	29%	35%	.35	6%	1.8

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2022 Expected Record: -
California's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0 #77
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #91
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California: Oregon State: 9.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: -3.0 Oregon State: 14.3

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 9.65 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #22
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #41
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #24

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
California 26
Oregon State 24

Projected Total Points: 50

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Oregon State	15	California	34	Oregon State -3	California	51.5	Under
2024	10/26	California	44	Oregon State	7	California -13.0	California	51.0	Push
2023	10/07	California	40	Oregon State	52	Oregon State -7.5	Oregon State	51.0	Over
2022	11/12	Oregon State	38	California	10	Oregon State -11.5	Oregon State	47.0	Over
2021	10/30	California	39	Oregon State	25	Oregon State -2.5	California	56.5	Over
2020	11/21	Oregon State	31	California	27	California -1.0	Oregon State	46.5	Over
2019	10/19	California	17	Oregon State	21	California -10	Oregon State	51.0	Under
2018	10/20	Oregon State	7	California	49	California -8.5	California	58.0	Under
2017	11/04	California	37	Oregon State	23	California -7	California	54.0	Over
2016	10/08	Oregon State	47	California	44	California -10	Oregon State	70.0	Over
2015	11/14	California	54	Oregon State	24	California -17.5	California	64.0	Over
2014	11/01	Oregon State	31	California	45	Oregon State -4.5	California	0
2013	10/19	California	17	Oregon State	49	Oregon State -7.5	Oregon State	0
2012	11/17	Oregon State	62	California	14
2011	11/12	California	23	Oregon State	6
2010	10/30	Oregon State	35	California	7
2009	11/07	California	14	Oregon State	31
2008	11/15	Oregon State	34	California	21
2007	10/13	California	28	Oregon State	31
2006	09/30	Oregon State	13	California	41
2005	10/15	California	20	Oregon State	23
2004	10/02	Oregon State	7	California	49
2003	10/04	California	21	Oregon State	35
2002	10/26	Oregon State	24	California	13
2001	10/27	Oregon State	19	California	10
2000	11/03	California	32	Oregon State	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	16	6	7 Overs
California	10	7	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 13	7 - 6	4 - 3	3 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 13	6 - 7	3 - 3	3 - 4

(#) CAL at (#) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CAL	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#77	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#120	#10
OffenseOff	#83	#8
DefenseDef	#130	#32
Spec TeamsST	#109	#33
TalentTal	#47	#54
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

California Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

California on Offense


CategoryCat	CAL Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#83	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

California Run Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#7	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#130	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

California Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#126	#115
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	CAL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#8	#130
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	#18	#133
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#69

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#98
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#133
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 39°

Rematch from Week 11
Oregon State -11.5 (47.0)
Oregon State won vs California this year (38-10)

Previous Matchups
California beat Oregon State last year (34-15)
California beat Oregon State in 2024 (44-7)
Oregon State beat California in 2023 (52-40)

CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD