Oregon at Oregon State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 26th 2022 (3:30 PM EST)
Oregon State -1 (57.0)
Oregon State 38 - Oregon: 34 (Pac-12)

Ducks (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (33 - 16 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORST is playing their 4th straight game
ORE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -0 (SP+ ORE -4.5)
Projected Score: ORE: 31 - ORST: 18 (49)
ORST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
ORE Travel: 36 miles

Beavers (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (16 - 28)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORE Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Oregon vs Georgia	+16.0	54.5	L 3 - 49	U	N
Sat 9/10	Oregon vs Eastern Washington	-27.5	69.5	W 70 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Oregon vs BYU	-3.5	58.0	W 41 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Oregon at Washington State	-6.0	57.0	W 44 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/1	Oregon vs Stanford	-17.0	63.0	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Oregon at Arizona	-13.5	70.5	W 49 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Oregon vs UCLA	-7.0	70.5	W 45 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Oregon at California	-16.5	56.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Oregon at Colorado	-31.0	62.5	W 49 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Oregon vs Washington	-12.0	73.0	L 34 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/19	Oregon vs Utah	+2.5	60.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Oregon at Oregon State	+1.0	57.0	L 34 - 38	O	N
Wed 12/28	Oregon vs North Carolina	-13.0	76.0	W 28 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Oregon State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Oregon State vs Boise State	-2.0	55.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Oregon State at Fresno State	+1.0	59.0	W 35 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Oregon State vs Montana State	-16.5	56.5	W 68 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Oregon State vs USC	+5.5	70.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Oregon State at Utah	+10.5	54.0	L 16 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/8	Oregon State at Stanford	-4.5	53.0	W 28 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/15	Oregon State vs Washington State	-3.0	51.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Oregon State vs Colorado	-23.0	47.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4	Oregon State at Washington	+4.5	53.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Oregon State vs California	-11.5	47.0	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Oregon State at Arizona State	-7.5	53.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Oregon State vs Oregon	-1.0	57.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 12/17	Oregon State vs Florida	-7.5	52.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE	.27	49%	36.9	54%	3.51	202	43%	221	4.55	.2	45%	17.9	46%	44%	4.23	64.6	1	1.7
ORST	.33	50%	17.6	54%	3.65	212	46%	217	4.79	.21	43%	29.4	45%	42%	3.93	63.1	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Offense	14	36.9	32.8	48.8%	4.55	1	23	424	202	221	5.3	54%	45%	54%	43%	13%	.27
ORST Defense	13	29.4	25.3	42.9%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	42%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Defense	14	17.9	15.6	45%	4.23	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	46%	44%	15%	.2
ORST Offense	13	17.6	21.7	50.5%	4.79	1.4	23	429	212	217	5.3	57%	42%	54%	46%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon	14	29:46	22.7	51%	47%	7.4	64.6	1	1.7	5.1	1.6	1	29.5
Oregon State	13	30:29	23	50%	48%	6.8	63.1	1.4	1.5	4.9	1.5	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Offense	14	54%	54%	38.2	202.4	5.3	36	.29	3.51	84%	8%	0.96
ORST Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.08	80%	9%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Defense	14	46%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.02	72%	9%	0.96
ORST Offense	13	57%	54%	40.1	212.4	5.3	33	.3	3.65	89%	7%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Offense	14	45%	43%	18.5	29.3	221.3	7.6	12	20	8	.28	1.6	28%	34%	.41	6%	2
ORST Defense	13	52%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.28	1.6	32%	33%	.28	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Defense	14	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.25	1.5	30%	34%	.35	6%	1.9
ORST Offense	13	42%	46%	16.8	26.7	216.9	8.1	12.9	19	12	.39	1.6	29%	35%	.35	6%	1.8

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon's 2022 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.9 #11
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.9 #5
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #66

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: Oregon State: 9.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 18.9 Oregon State: 14.3

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 9.65 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #22
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #41
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #24

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 31
Oregon State 18

Projected Total Points: 49

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Oregon	41	Oregon State	7	Oregon -33.5	Oregon	58.5	Under
2024	09/14	Oregon State	14	Oregon	49	Oregon -16	Oregon	50.0	Over
2023	11/24	Oregon	31	Oregon State	7	Oregon -14	Oregon	61.5	Under
2022	11/26	Oregon State	38	Oregon	34	Oregon State -1	Oregon State	57.0	Over
2021	11/27	Oregon	38	Oregon State	29	Oregon -7.5	Oregon	61.5	Over
2020	11/27	Oregon State	41	Oregon	38	Oregon -13	Oregon State	64.5	Over
2019	11/30	Oregon	24	Oregon State	10	Oregon -20.5	Oregon State	65.5	Under
2018	11/23	Oregon State	15	Oregon	55	Oregon -18	Oregon	71.0	Under
2017	11/25	Oregon	69	Oregon State	10	Oregon -25.5	Oregon	63.0	Over
2016	11/26	Oregon State	34	Oregon	24	Oregon -3	Oregon State	69.0	Under
2015	11/27	Oregon	52	Oregon State	42	Oregon -30	Oregon State	71.5	Over
2014	11/29	Oregon State	19	Oregon	47	Oregon -17.5	Oregon	0
2013	11/29	Oregon	36	Oregon State	35	Oregon -21	Oregon State	0
2012	11/24	Oregon State	24	Oregon	48
2011	11/26	Oregon	49	Oregon State	21
2010	12/04	Oregon State	20	Oregon	37
2009	12/03	Oregon	37	Oregon State	33
2008	11/29	Oregon State	38	Oregon	65
2007	12/01	Oregon	31	Oregon State	38
2006	11/24	Oregon State	30	Oregon	28
2005	11/19	Oregon	56	Oregon State	14
2004	11/20	Oregon State	50	Oregon	21
2003	11/22	Oregon	34	Oregon State	20
2001	12/01	Oregon	17	Oregon State	14
2000	11/17	Oregon State	23	Oregon	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	7	6	6 Overs
Oregon	18	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	18 - 7	7 - 6	5 - 3	2 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 18	6 - 7	3 - 2	3 - 5

(#) ORE at (#) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORE	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#11	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#22	#10
OffenseOff	#14	#8
DefenseDef	#60	#32
Spec TeamsST	#98	#33
TalentTal	#7	#54
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oregon Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#14	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#5	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#4	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#31	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#4	#115
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	ORE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#8	#60
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#66
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	#18	#94
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#18

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#101
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Oregon State -1.0 (57.0)
Oregon State won vs Oregon this year (38-34)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Oregon State last year (41-7)
Oregon beat Oregon State in 2024 (49-14)
Oregon beat Oregon State in 2023 (31-7)

ORE's OC Kenny Dillingham (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD