Northern Illinois at Kentucky - 2022 Matchup Preview

Northern Illinois Huskies at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, September 24th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -27 (52.5)
Kentucky 31 - Northern Illinois: 23

Huskies (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (14 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UK 2nd straight Home Game
UK is playing their 4th straight game
NIU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -18.5 (SP+ UK -32)
Projected Score: NIU: 23 - UK: 29 (52)
UK Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
NIU Travel: 352 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (59 - 53)
Avg Score : 20 - 19 (24 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NIU Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Illinois's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Northern Illinois vs Eastern Illinois	-35.0	55.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/10	Northern Illinois at Tulsa	+6.5	63.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Northern Illinois vs Vanderbilt	-2.5	58.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/24	Northern Illinois at Kentucky	+27.0	52.5	L 23 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Northern Illinois at Ball State	-3.5	58.5	L 38 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/8	Northern Illinois vs Toledo	+6.5	59.0	L 32 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/15	Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	64.5	W 39 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Northern Illinois at Ohio	-2.5	65.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan	-4.5	54.0	L 22 - 35	O	N
Wed 11/9	Northern Illinois at Western Michigan	-1.0	49.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Wed 11/16	Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)	-1.0	44.0	L 23 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/26	Northern Illinois vs Akron	-9.5	51.5	L 12 - 44	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule

Kentucky's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kentucky vs Miami (OH)	-15.0	55.0	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Kentucky at Florida	+6.0	53.0	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Kentucky vs Youngstown State	-30.0	49.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Kentucky vs Northern Illinois	-27.0	52.5	W 31 - 23	O	N
Sat 10/1	Kentucky at Ole Miss	+6.5	55.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-4.0	45.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/15	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+3.5	50.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Kentucky at Tennessee	+10.5	62.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 11/5	Kentucky at Missouri	+1.0	40.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-17.0	45.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Kentucky vs Georgia	+22.5	47.5	L 6 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Kentucky vs Louisville	-3.5	42.5	W 26 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/31	Kentucky vs Iowa	+3.0	31.5	L 0 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NIU	.19	41%	27.3	40%	3.16	190	43%	183	3.63	.27	44%	32.8	43%	47%	4.14	62.5	1.3	1.8
UK	.11	40%	20.4	43%	3	116	37%	208	3.23	.07	37%	19.2	38%	37%	3.15	39.5	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NIU	#86 (.16)	42% (79)		44% (72)	3.25 (33)	204	40% (86)	179	3.39 (113)	#11 (.06)	38% (19)		41% (52)	35% (9)	3.08 (12)	42.8	1.2	1.1
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)		47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)		49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NIU Offense	12	27.3	29.3	40.7%	3.63	1.3	19	373	190	183	4.8	59%	39%	40%	43%	16%	.19
UK Defense	13	19.2	16.3	37.2%	3.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	38%	37%	14%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NIU Defense	12	32.8	28	44.5%	4.14	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	43%	47%	15%	.27
UK Offense	13	20.4	24.1	39.8%	3.23	1.5	18	325	116	208	3.3	51%	48%	43%	37%	18%	.11

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Illinois	12	30:48	18.8	39%	48%	6.3	62.5	1.3	1.8	4.6	2.4	1	30
Kentucky	13	33:08	17.6	34%	62%	5.7	39.5	1.5	1.5	4	1.5	2	27.5

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NIU Offense	12	59%	40%	39.8	190.4	4.8	19	.16	3.16	82%	8%	1.05
UK Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.91	62%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NIU Defense	12	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.26	73%	9%	0.9
UK Offense	13	51%	43%	35.6	116.2	3.3	9	.05	3	65%	13%	0.78

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NIU Offense	12	39%	43%	15.4	27.3	182.7	6.7	11.9	18	14	.33	1.6	32%	29%	.18	8%	1.9
UK Defense	13	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.14	1.5	34%	26%	.18	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NIU Defense	12	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.8	31%	32%	.51	6%	2.5
UK Offense	13	48%	37%	17.2	26.8	208.5	7.8	12.1	21	13	.23	1.9	34%	28%	.22	6%	2

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Illinois's 2022 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 #124
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #77
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #130

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: Kentucky: 9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -18.8 Kentucky: 13.0

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 9 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2022 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #25
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #91
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.9 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Northern Illinois's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Kentucky 29
Northern Illinois 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Kentucky 32
Northern Illinois 22

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky 27
Northern Illinois 23

Total Points: 50

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.1
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

Kentucky's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/24	Kentucky	31	Northern Illinois	23	Kentucky -27	Northern Illinois	52.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	1	0	1 Overs
Northern Illinois	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) NIU at (#) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NIU	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#25
Perf GradeGrade	#73	#61
OffenseOff	#71	#72
DefenseDef	#65	#38
Spec TeamsST	#103	#131
TalentTal	#110	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Northern Illinois Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

Northern Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	NIU Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#71	#38
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#77	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northern Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#101	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#79	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Northern Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#81	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#68	#66
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	NIU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#65
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#130
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	NIU Def
Run GameRun	#54	#23
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#91	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#87

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	NIU Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#121
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#70	#51
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

NIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 67° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Kentucky -27.0 (52.5)
Kentucky won vs Northern Illinois this year (31-23)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (31-23)

NIU's OC Eric Eidsness (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UK's OC Rich Scangarello (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD