Northern Illinois at Tulsa - 2022 Matchup Preview
Northern Illinois logo Northern Illinois Huskies at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Saturday, September 10th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Tulsa -6.5 (63.0)
Tulsa 38 - Northern Illinois: 35

 
Huskies (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (14 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -9  (SP+ TLSA -13)
Projected Score: NIU: 28 - TLSA: 33 (61)
TLSA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
NIU Travel: 554 miles
Golden Hurricane (5 - 7) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Philip Montgomery (38 - 46)
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (35 - 33 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northern Illinois's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Northern Illinois vs Eastern Illinois-35.055.5W 34 - 27ON
Sat 9/10 Northern Illinois at Tulsa+6.563.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 9/17 Northern Illinois vs Vanderbilt-2.558.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 9/24 Northern Illinois at Kentucky+27.052.5L 23 - 31OY
Sat 10/1 Northern Illinois at Ball State-3.558.5L 38 - 44ON
Sat 10/8 Northern Illinois vs Toledo+6.559.0L 32 - 52ON
Sat 10/15 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan+3.564.5W 39 - 10UY
Sat 10/22 Northern Illinois at Ohio-2.565.5L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan-4.554.0L 22 - 35ON
Wed 11/9 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan-1.049.0W 24 - 21UY
Wed 11/16 Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)-1.044.0L 23 - 29ON
Sat 11/26 Northern Illinois vs Akron-9.551.5L 12 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Tulsa's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Tulsa at Wyoming-6.547.0L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/10 Tulsa vs Northern Illinois-6.563.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/17 Tulsa vs Jacksonville State-12.064.0W 54 - 17OY
Sat 9/24 Tulsa at Ole Miss+21.066.5L 27 - 35UY
Sat 10/1 Tulsa vs Cincinnati+10.059.0L 21 - 31UY
Sat 10/8 Tulsa at Navy-4.545.5L 21 - 53ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21 Tulsa at Temple-13.553.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 10/29 Tulsa vs SMU+1.063.5L 34 - 45ON
Sat 11/5 Tulsa vs Tulane+6.556.0L 13 - 27UN
Thu 11/10 Tulsa at Memphis+7.062.0L 10 - 26UN
Fri 11/18 Tulsa vs South Florida-14.057.5W 48 - 42ON
Sat 11/26 Tulsa at Houston+13.066.5W 37 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU.1941%27.340%3.1619043%1833.63.2744%32.843%47%4.1462.51.31.8
TLSA.2141%30.644%3.0913940%2734.61.2340%33.142%38%4.1556.71.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense1227.329.340.7%3.631.3193731901834.859%39%40%43%16%.19
TLSA Defense1233.132.840.2%4.151.7 - - - - - 56%43%42%38%15%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Defense1232.82844.5%4.141.8 - - - - - 51%47%43%47%15%.27
TLSA Offense1230.634.741.4%4.611.5214121392733.946%54%44%40%17%.21

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Illinois1230:4818.839%48%6.362.51.31.84.62.4130
Tulsa1228:5221.440%65%6.156.71.51.75.21.3028.1
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense1259%40%39.8190.44.819.163.1682%8%1.05
TLSA Defense1256%42% - - - - .23.1581%10%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Defense1251%43% - - - - .113.2673%9%0.9
TLSA Offense1246%44%35.8138.73.918.143.0976%11%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense1239%43%15.427.3182.76.711.91814.331.632%29%.188%1.9
TLSA Defense1243%38% - - - - - - 6.31.734%30%.315%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Defense1247%47% - - - - - - 8.491.831%32%.516%2.5
TLSA Offense1254%40%20.134.6273.27.913.62710.31.831%30%.396%2.4

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Illinois's 2022 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8  #124
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #77
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1  #130

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois:    Tulsa: -0.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -18.8   Tulsa: -6.1




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -0.55 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2022 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1  #88
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #44
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #118

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Northern Illinois's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tulsa 33
Northern Illinois 28

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Tulsa 34
Northern Illinois 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Tulsa 32
Northern Illinois 31

Total Points: 63
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 30.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.7
Defense: 33.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Tulsa's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Northern Illinois14Tulsa22Northern Illinois -3.5Tulsa54.5Under
202209/10Tulsa38Northern Illinois35Tulsa -6.5Northern Illinois63.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa211 Overs
Northern Illinois011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 12 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) NIU at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNIUTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #124 #88
Perf GradeGrade #73 #88
OffenseOff #71 #78
DefenseDef #65 #88
Spec TeamsST #103 #99
TalentTal #110 #84
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northern Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
NIU OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #71 #88
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #77 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRun #101 #90
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #79 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #121
Northern Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePass #81 #60
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #68 #123
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffNIU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #78 #65
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #130
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNIU Def
Run GameRun #77 #23
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #87
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffNIU Def
Pass GamePass #44 #121
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #105 #51
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

NIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 86°
Rematch from Week 2
Tulsa -6.5 (63.0)
Tulsa won vs Northern Illinois this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
Tulsa beat Northern Illinois in 2023 (22-14)
Tulsa beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (38-35)

  
NIU's OC Eric Eidsness (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC Philip Montgomery (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Luke Olson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD