Kentucky at Tennessee - 2022 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats at Tennessee Volunteers

Saturday, October 29th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Tennessee -10.5 (62.5)
Tennessee 44 - Kentucky: 6 (SEC)

Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (59 - 53)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TENN 3rd straight Home Game
UK coming off BYE
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ TENN -12)
Projected Score: UK: 23 - TENN: 35 (58)
TENN Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
UK Travel: 146 miles

Volunteers (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kentucky vs Miami (OH)	-15.0	55.0	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Kentucky at Florida	+6.0	53.0	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Kentucky vs Youngstown State	-30.0	49.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Kentucky vs Northern Illinois	-27.0	52.5	W 31 - 23	O	N
Sat 10/1	Kentucky at Ole Miss	+6.5	55.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-4.0	45.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/15	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+3.5	50.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Kentucky at Tennessee	+10.5	62.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 11/5	Kentucky at Missouri	+1.0	40.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-17.0	45.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Kentucky vs Georgia	+22.5	47.5	L 6 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Kentucky vs Louisville	-3.5	42.5	W 26 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/31	Kentucky vs Iowa	+3.0	31.5	L 0 - 21	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Tennessee vs Ball State	-37.0	66.5	W 59 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Tennessee at Pittsburgh	-6.0	63.0	W 34 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Tennessee vs Akron	-47.5	67.0	W 63 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Tennessee vs Florida	-11.0	62.0	W 38 - 33	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Tennessee at LSU	-2.5	63.0	W 40 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Tennessee vs Alabama	+9.0	68.0	W 52 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Tennessee vs UT Martin	-38.5	71.5	W 65 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Tennessee vs Kentucky	-10.5	62.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Tennessee at Georgia	+9.5	65.5	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/12	Tennessee vs Missouri	-18.5	57.5	W 66 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Tennessee at South Carolina	-22.5	66.5	L 38 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/26	Tennessee at Vanderbilt	-14.0	63.5	W 56 - 0	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Tennessee vs Clemson	+4.0	62.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.26	50%	23	52%	3.57	200	49%	226	4.88	.16	44%	26.4	42%	47%	3.61	42.2	1.8	0.9
TENN	.32	48%	39.8	51%	3.39	218	44%	257	4.27	.22	42%	28.8	42%	42%	4.16	60.6	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	13	23	10.8	50.4%	4.88	1.8	23	425	200	226	5.2	55%	45%	52%	49%	15%	.26
TENN Defense	13	28.8	29	41.8%	4.16	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	42%	42%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	13	26.4	31.8	44.4%	3.61	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	42%	47%	18%	.16
TENN Offense	13	39.8	42.3	48%	4.27	1	24	475	218	257	4.9	55%	45%	51%	44%	13%	.32

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	13	32:35	22.8	50%	38%	4.8	42.2	1.8	0.9	6.1	2.2	4	27.7
Tennessee	13	24:30	24.3	45%	48%	6.8	60.6	1	1.2	7.9	2.6	4	30.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	13	55%	52%	38.2	199.5	5.2	27	.23	3.57	78%	9%	0.93
TENN Defense	13	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.22	75%	11%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	.06	3.03	76%	11%	0.84
TENN Offense	13	55%	51%	44.4	217.8	4.9	30	.26	3.39	70%	10%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	13	45%	49%	18.6	28.2	225.6	8	12.1	24	13	.31	1.5	27%	39%	.44	6%	1.8
TENN Defense	13	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.27	1.7	34%	37%	.51	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	13	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.4	32%	29%	.2	6%	1.9
TENN Offense	13	45%	44%	18.7	28.8	257.1	8.9	13.8	33	3	.39	1.7	29%	32%	.45	3%	2.2

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2022 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #25
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #91
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.9 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: Tennessee: 15.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 13.0 Tennessee: 25.2

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 15.1 NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.2 #5
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.3 #1
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #40

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Kentucky's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 35
Kentucky 23

Projected Total Points: 58

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Kentucky	34	Tennessee	56	Tennessee -7.5	Tennessee	55.5	Over
2024	11/02	Tennessee	28	Kentucky	18	Tennessee -17.5	Kentucky	45.5	Over
2023	10/28	Kentucky	27	Tennessee	33	Tennessee -4	Tennessee	50.5	Over
2022	10/29	Tennessee	44	Kentucky	6	Tennessee -10.5	Tennessee	62.5	Under
2021	11/06	Kentucky	42	Tennessee	45	Tennessee -1	Tennessee	57.5	Over
2020	10/17	Tennessee	7	Kentucky	34	Tennessee -6.0	Kentucky	45.5	Under
2019	11/09	Kentucky	13	Tennessee	17	Kentucky -2	Tennessee	42.0	Under
2018	11/10	Tennessee	24	Kentucky	7	Kentucky -5	Tennessee	43.0	Under
2017	10/28	Kentucky	29	Tennessee	26	Kentucky -4	Tennessee	46.0	Over
2016	11/12	Tennessee	49	Kentucky	36	Tennessee -10.5	Tennessee	58.0	Over
2015	10/31	Kentucky	21	Tennessee	52	Tennessee -7.5	Tennessee	60.5	Over
2014	11/15	Tennessee	50	Kentucky	16	Tennessee -6.5	Tennessee	0
2013	11/30	Kentucky	14	Tennessee	27	Tennessee -4	Tennessee	0
2012	11/24	Tennessee	37	Kentucky	17
2011	11/26	Kentucky	10	Tennessee	7
2010	11/27	Tennessee	24	Kentucky	14
2009	11/28	Kentucky	24	Tennessee	30
2008	11/29	Tennessee	28	Kentucky	10
2007	11/24	Kentucky	50	Tennessee	52
2006	11/25	Tennessee	17	Kentucky	12
2005	11/26	Kentucky	8	Tennessee	27
2004	11/27	Tennessee	37	Kentucky	31
2003	11/29	Kentucky	7	Tennessee	20
2001	11/17	Kentucky	35	Tennessee	38
2000	11/17	Tennessee	59	Kentucky	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	22	11	7 Overs
Kentucky	3	2	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	4 - 9	3 - 4	1 - 5
Road Teams	12 - 13	9 - 4	5 - 1	4 - 3

(#) UK at (#) TENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	TENN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#5
Perf GradeGrade	#61	#54
OffenseOff	#72	#31
DefenseDef	#38	#95
Spec TeamsST	#131	#78
TalentTal	#27	#19
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kentucky Injury Report

Tennessee Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	TENN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#95
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#40
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#54	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#91	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#71

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#107
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#70	#107
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	TENN Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#31	#38
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#1	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#22	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#93	#66
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Tennessee -10.5 (62.5)
Tennessee won vs Kentucky this year (44-6)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Kentucky last year (56-34)
Tennessee beat Kentucky in 2024 (28-18)
Tennessee beat Kentucky in 2023 (33-27)

UK's OC Rich Scangarello (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD