Northern Illinois at Ball State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Northern Illinois Huskies at Ball State Cardinals

Saturday, October 1st 2022 (2:00 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -3.5 (58.5)
Ball State 44 - Northern Illinois: 38 (Mid-American)

Huskies (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (14 - 18)
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (16 - 28 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NIU 2nd straight Road Game
BALL is playing their 5th straight game
NIU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ BALL -4)
Projected Score: NIU: 22 - BALL: 23 (45)
NIU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NIU Travel: 212 miles, 1 hrs behind

Cardinals (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (28 - 41)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (24 - 22 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NIU Players
BALL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Illinois's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Northern Illinois vs Eastern Illinois	-35.0	55.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/10	Northern Illinois at Tulsa	+6.5	63.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Northern Illinois vs Vanderbilt	-2.5	58.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/24	Northern Illinois at Kentucky	+27.0	52.5	L 23 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Northern Illinois at Ball State	-3.5	58.5	L 38 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/8	Northern Illinois vs Toledo	+6.5	59.0	L 32 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/15	Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	64.5	W 39 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Northern Illinois at Ohio	-2.5	65.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan	-4.5	54.0	L 22 - 35	O	N
Wed 11/9	Northern Illinois at Western Michigan	-1.0	49.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Wed 11/16	Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)	-1.0	44.0	L 23 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/26	Northern Illinois vs Akron	-9.5	51.5	L 12 - 44	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule

Ball State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Ball State at Tennessee	+37.0	66.5	L 10 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+6.5	51.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/17	Ball State vs Murray State	-21.0	53.0	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Ball State at Georgia Southern	+9.5	67.0	L 23 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	+3.5	58.5	W 44 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Ball State at Central Michigan	+7.5	63.0	W 17 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Ball State vs UConn	-9.5	47.5	W 25 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ball State vs Eastern Michigan	-2.5	57.5	L 16 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Ball State at Kent State	+7.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Tue 11/8	Ball State at Toledo	+11.0	50.0	L 21 - 28	U	Y
Tue 11/15	Ball State vs Ohio	+3.5	57.5	L 18 - 32	U	N
Tue 11/22	Ball State at Miami (OH)	+2.5	45.0	L 17 - 18	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NIU	.31	47%	17.1	49%	3.44	242	44%	187	4.18	.35	49%	24.3	53%	45%	4.37	45.3	1.3	0.9
BALL	.13	41%	15.8	41%	3.03	130	41%	208	3.68	.25	49%	29.8	47%	54%	3.93	40.8	0.9	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NIU Offense	14	17.1	16.3	46.7%	4.18	1.3	23	429	242	187	5.2	63%	36%	49%	44%	14%	.31
BALL Defense	13	29.8	21.6	49.4%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	54%	13%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NIU Defense	14	24.3	27.8	49%	4.37	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	53%	45%	13%	.35
BALL Offense	13	15.8	24.4	40.5%	3.68	0.9	19	337	130	208	3.8	48%	51%	41%	41%	15%	.13

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Illinois	14	33:30	22.9	37%	84%	5	45.3	1.3	0.9	4.4	1.4	3	29.1
Ball State	13	27:39	19.1	40%	52%	4.9	40.8	0.9	1.5	5.3	1.8	1	30.5

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NIU Offense	14	63%	49%	46.4	241.5	5.2	36	.29	3.44	77%	10%	1.06
BALL Defense	13	54%	47%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.27	78%	9%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NIU Defense	14	52%	53%	-	-	-	-	.37	3.65	78%	9%	1.06
BALL Offense	13	48%	41%	34.2	129.6	3.8	17	.14	3.03	75%	9%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NIU Offense	14	36%	44%	14.6	25.4	187.4	7.4	12.8	15	8	.38	1.6	31%	34%	.44	4%	2
BALL Defense	13	45%	54%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.4	1.3	27%	31%	.27	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NIU Defense	14	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.34	1.7	30%	37%	.49	4%	2.1
BALL Offense	13	51%	41%	20.5	33.8	207.6	6.1	10.1	18	7	.14	1.4	33%	29%	.17	6%	1.8

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Illinois's 2022 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 #124
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #77
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #130

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: Ball State: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -18.8 Ball State: -14.9

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -4.95 NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ball State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #114
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #118
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #84

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Northern Illinois's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ball State 23
Northern Illinois 22

Projected Total Points: 45

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.4
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Ball State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Northern Illinois	21	Ball State	7	Northern Illinois -6.5	Northern Illinois	41.5	Under
2024	10/26	Ball State	25	Northern Illinois	23	Northern Illinois -13.5	Ball State	47.5	Over
2023	11/07	Northern Illinois	17	Ball State	20	Northern Illinois -9.5	Ball State	43.5	Under
2022	10/01	Ball State	44	Northern Illinois	38	Northern Illinois -3.5	Ball State	58.5	Over
2021	11/10	Northern Illinois	30	Ball State	29	Ball State -3	Northern Illinois	59.5	Under
2020	11/18	Ball State	31	Northern Illinois	25	Ball State -14.5	Northern Illinois	59.5	Under
2019	10/05	Northern Illinois	20	Ball State	27	Northern Illinois -4	Ball State	55.0	Under
2018	10/06	Ball State	16	Northern Illinois	24	Northern Illinois -3	Northern Illinois	52.5	Under
2017	11/09	Northern Illinois	63	Ball State	17	Northern Illinois -28.5	Northern Illinois	51.5	Over
2016	10/01	Ball State	24	Northern Illinois	31	Ball State -1	Northern Illinois	57.5	Under
2015	10/10	Northern Illinois	59	Ball State	41	Northern Illinois -10.5	Northern Illinois	54.5	Over
2014	11/05	Ball State	21	Northern Illinois	35	Northern Illinois -1.5	Northern Illinois	0
2013	11/13	Northern Illinois	48	Ball State	27	Northern Illinois -6.5	Northern Illinois	0
2012	10/06	Ball State	23	Northern Illinois	35
2011	11/15	Northern Illinois	41	Ball State	38
2010	11/20	Ball State	21	Northern Illinois	59
2009	11/12	Northern Illinois	26	Ball State	20
2008	11/05	Ball State	45	Northern Illinois	14
2007	11/24	Northern Illinois	21	Ball State	27
2006	09/30	Ball State	28	Northern Illinois	40
2005	10/29	Northern Illinois	17	Ball State	31
2004	10/30	Ball State	31	Northern Illinois	38
2003	11/01	Northern Illinois	48	Ball State	23
2002	10/05	Ball State	29	Northern Illinois	41
2001	11/17	Northern Illinois	33	Ball State	29
2000	09/29	Ball State	14	Northern Illinois	43

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ball State	8	4	4 Overs
Northern Illinois	18	9	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 13	7 - 6	4 - 4	3 - 2
Road Teams	13 - 13	6 - 7	2 - 3	4 - 4

(#) NIU at (#) BALL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NIU	BALL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#114
Perf GradeGrade	#73	#85
OffenseOff	#71	#86
DefenseDef	#65	#76
Spec TeamsST	#103	#87
TalentTal	#110	#121
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Northern Illinois Injury Report

Ball State Injury Report

Northern Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	NIU Off	BALL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#71	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#77	#84
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northern Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	#101	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#79	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#17

Northern Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	#81	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#68	#110
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	NIU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	#65
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#130
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	NIU Def
Run GameRun	#34	#23
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#87

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	NIU Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#121
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#87	#51
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

NIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Northern Illinois 3.5 (58.5)
Ball State won vs Northern Illinois this year (44-38)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Ball State last year (21-7)
Ball State beat Northern Illinois in 2024 (25-23)
Ball State beat Northern Illinois in 2023 (20-17)

NIU's OC Eric Eidsness (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD