Kentucky at Ole Miss - 2022 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats at Ole Miss Rebels

Saturday, October 1st 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -6.5 (55.0)
Ole Miss 22 - Kentucky: 19 (SEC)

Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (59 - 53)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS 2nd straight Home Game
MISS is playing their 5th straight game
UK is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ MISS -3)
Projected Score: UK: 18 - MISS: 34 (52)
MISS Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
UK Travel: 378 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rebels (8 - 5) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (15 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kentucky vs Miami (OH)	-15.0	55.0	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Kentucky at Florida	+6.0	53.0	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Kentucky vs Youngstown State	-30.0	49.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Kentucky vs Northern Illinois	-27.0	52.5	W 31 - 23	O	N
Sat 10/1	Kentucky at Ole Miss	+6.5	55.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-4.0	45.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/15	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+3.5	50.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Kentucky at Tennessee	+10.5	62.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 11/5	Kentucky at Missouri	+1.0	40.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-17.0	45.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Kentucky vs Georgia	+22.5	47.5	L 6 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Kentucky vs Louisville	-3.5	42.5	W 26 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/31	Kentucky vs Iowa	+3.0	31.5	L 0 - 21	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Ole Miss vs Troy	-21.5	56.5	W 28 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	Ole Miss vs Central Arkansas	-36.5	61.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Ole Miss at Georgia Tech	-17.0	63.0	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Ole Miss vs Tulsa	-21.0	66.5	W 35 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Ole Miss vs Kentucky	-6.5	55.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/8	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	-17.0	59.5	W 52 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Ole Miss vs Auburn	-15.5	55.5	W 48 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/22	Ole Miss at LSU	+0.0	64.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/29	Ole Miss at Texas A&M	-3.0	55.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	Ole Miss vs Alabama	+11.0	65.5	L 24 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Ole Miss at Arkansas	+0.0	67.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Thu 11/24	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-2.5	63.0	L 22 - 24	U	N
Wed 12/28	Ole Miss vs Texas Tech	-4.5	73.0	L 25 - 42	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.26	50%	23	52%	3.57	200	49%	226	4.88	.16	44%	26.4	42%	47%	3.61	42.2	1.8	0.9
MISS	.27	46%	36.9	47%	3.22	218	44%	275	3.83	.19	46%	21.1	50%	42%	3.6	75.2	0.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	13	23	10.8	50.4%	4.88	1.8	23	425	200	226	5.2	55%	45%	52%	49%	15%	.26
MISS Defense	13	21.1	15.6	46.1%	3.6	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	50%	42%	16%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	13	26.4	31.8	44.4%	3.61	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	42%	47%	18%	.16
MISS Offense	13	36.9	39	45.7%	3.83	0.9	26	492	218	275	4.8	54%	46%	47%	44%	15%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	13	32:35	22.8	50%	38%	4.8	42.2	1.8	0.9	6.1	2.2	4	27.7
Ole Miss	13	27:29	26	38%	63%	9	75.2	0.9	1.7	6.2	3	1	29.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	13	55%	52%	38.2	199.5	5.2	27	.23	3.57	78%	9%	0.93
MISS Defense	13	51%	50%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.56	67%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	.06	3.03	76%	11%	0.84
MISS Offense	13	54%	47%	45.2	217.6	4.8	33	.3	3.22	68%	10%	1.22

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	13	45%	49%	18.6	28.2	225.6	8	12.1	24	13	.31	1.5	27%	39%	.44	6%	1.8
MISS Defense	13	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.09	1.3	29%	32%	.17	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	13	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.4	32%	29%	.2	6%	1.9
MISS Offense	13	46%	44%	22	33	274.8	8.3	12.5	21	7	.25	1.6	32%	34%	.33	4%	2

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2022 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #25
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #91
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.9 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: Ole Miss: 10.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 13.0 Ole Miss: 16.2

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 10.6 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.8 #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #45

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Kentucky's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 34
Kentucky 18

Projected Total Points: 52

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Kentucky	23	Ole Miss	30	Ole Miss -8.0	Kentucky	51.5	Over
2024	09/28	Ole Miss	17	Kentucky	20	Ole Miss -15	Kentucky	51.5	Under
2022	10/01	Ole Miss	22	Kentucky	19	Ole Miss -6.5	Kentucky	55.0	Under
2020	10/03	Kentucky	41	Ole Miss	42	Kentucky -7.0	Ole Miss	63.0	Over
2017	11/04	Kentucky	34	Ole Miss	37	Kentucky -3.5	Ole Miss	63.5	Over
2011	11/05	Kentucky	30	Ole Miss	13
2010	10/02	Ole Miss	42	Kentucky	35
2006	09/16	Kentucky	31	Ole Miss	14
2005	10/22	Ole Miss	13	Kentucky	7
2001	09/29	Kentucky	31	Ole Miss	42
2000	09/29	Ole Miss	35	Kentucky	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	8	2	3 Overs
Kentucky	3	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 5	1 - 4	0 - 4	1 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 6	4 - 1	0 - 1	4 - 0

(#) UK at (#) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#14
Perf GradeGrade	#61	#48
OffenseOff	#72	#56
DefenseDef	#38	#45
Spec TeamsST	#131	#39
TalentTal	#27	#23
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kentucky Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#45
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#54	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#91	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#34
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#70	#32
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#56	#38
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#27	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#92	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#71	#66
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Ole Miss -6.5 (55.0)
Ole Miss won vs Kentucky this year (22-19)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Kentucky last year (30-23)
Kentucky beat Ole Miss in 2024 (20-17)

UK's OC Rich Scangarello (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD