Kentucky at Missouri - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 5th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -1 (40.0)
Kentucky 21 - Missouri: 17 (SEC)

Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (59 - 53)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UK 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -0 (SP+ UK -5)
Projected Score: UK: 18 - MIZ: 32 (50)
MIZ Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UK Travel: 428 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Tigers (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (11 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kentucky vs Miami (OH)	-15.0	55.0	W 37 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Kentucky at Florida	+6.0	53.0	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Kentucky vs Youngstown State	-30.0	49.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Kentucky vs Northern Illinois	-27.0	52.5	W 31 - 23	O	N
Sat 10/1	Kentucky at Ole Miss	+6.5	55.0	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-4.0	45.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/15	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+3.5	50.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Kentucky at Tennessee	+10.5	62.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 11/5	Kentucky at Missouri	+1.0	40.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-17.0	45.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Kentucky vs Georgia	+22.5	47.5	L 6 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Kentucky vs Louisville	-3.5	42.5	W 26 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/31	Kentucky vs Iowa	+3.0	31.5	L 0 - 21	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Missouri's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Missouri vs Louisiana Tech	-20.0	62.5	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Missouri at Kansas State	+7.0	52.5	L 12 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/17	Missouri vs Abilene Christian	-31.5	56.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/24	Missouri at Auburn	+7.5	51.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Missouri vs Georgia	+30.5	54.0	L 22 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Missouri at Florida	+11.0	53.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Missouri vs Vanderbilt	-14.0	49.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/29	Missouri at South Carolina	+3.5	45.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Missouri vs Kentucky	-1.0	40.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/12	Missouri at Tennessee	+18.5	57.5	L 24 - 66	O	N
Sat 11/19	Missouri vs New Mexico State	-29.0	46.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Missouri vs Arkansas	+3.0	55.5	W 29 - 27	O	Y
Fri 12/23	Missouri vs Wake Forest	+3.0	59.0	L 17 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.26	50%	23	52%	3.57	200	49%	226	4.88	.16	44%	26.4	42%	47%	3.61	42.2	1.8	0.9
MIZ	.22	44%	30.2	45%	3.13	180	43%	234	3.88	.29	45%	18.9	46%	43%	4.56	59.2	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	13	23	10.8	50.4%	4.88	1.8	23	425	200	226	5.2	55%	45%	52%	49%	15%	.26
MIZ Defense	13	18.9	20.6	44.6%	4.56	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	46%	43%	17%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	13	26.4	31.8	44.4%	3.61	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	42%	47%	18%	.16
MIZ Offense	13	30.2	39.5	44.2%	3.88	1	22	414	180	234	5.1	48%	52%	45%	43%	15%	.22

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	13	32:35	22.8	50%	38%	4.8	42.2	1.8	0.9	6.1	2.2	4	27.7
Missouri	13	30:18	21.7	44%	58%	6.4	59.2	1	1.2	6.4	2.2	2	27.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	13	55%	52%	38.2	199.5	5.2	27	.23	3.57	78%	9%	0.93
MIZ Defense	13	58%	46%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.11	75%	12%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	.06	3.03	76%	11%	0.84
MIZ Offense	13	48%	45%	35.7	180.2	5.1	22	.15	3.13	82%	10%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	13	45%	49%	18.6	28.2	225.6	8	12.1	24	13	.31	1.5	27%	39%	.44	6%	1.8
MIZ Defense	13	42%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.39	1.7	30%	32%	.39	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	13	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.4	32%	29%	.2	6%	1.9
MIZ Offense	13	52%	43%	23.2	35	233.5	6.7	10.1	19	11	.28	1.5	32%	27%	.24	6%	1.9

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2022 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #25
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #91
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.9 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: Missouri: 6.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 13.0 Missouri: 8.1

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 6.55 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2022 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #44
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #67
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #25

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Kentucky's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 32
Kentucky 18

Projected Total Points: 50

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Kentucky	21	Missouri	38	Kentucky -1.5	Missouri	50.5	Over
2022	11/05	Missouri	17	Kentucky	21	Missouri -1	Kentucky	40.0	Under
2021	09/11	Kentucky	35	Missouri	28	Kentucky -5.5	Kentucky	56.5	Over
2020	10/24	Missouri	20	Kentucky	10	Kentucky -3.5	Missouri	47.0	Under
2019	10/26	Kentucky	29	Missouri	7	Missouri -10	Kentucky	43.5	Under
2018	10/27	Missouri	14	Kentucky	16	Missouri -7.5	Kentucky	54.5	Under
2017	10/07	Kentucky	40	Missouri	34	Kentucky -8.5	Missouri	59.5	Over
2016	10/29	Missouri	21	Kentucky	35	Missouri -4.5	Kentucky	69.0	Under
2015	09/26	Kentucky	21	Missouri	13	Kentucky -2.5	Kentucky	44.0	Under
2014	11/01	Missouri	20	Kentucky	10	Missouri -7	Missouri	0
2013	11/09	Kentucky	17	Missouri	48	Missouri -14	Missouri	0
2012	10/27	Missouri	33	Kentucky	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	5	5	3 Overs
Kentucky	7	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	5 - 6	3 - 5	2 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 7	6 - 5	1 - 2	5 - 3

(#) UK at (#) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	MIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#44
Perf GradeGrade	#61	#63
OffenseOff	#72	#84
DefenseDef	#38	#30
Spec TeamsST	#131	#44
TalentTal	#27	#31
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kentucky Injury Report

Missouri Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	MIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#25
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	#54	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#91	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#53

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#45
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#70	#23
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#84	#38
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#72	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#86	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	#66
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Missouri -1.0 (40.0)
Kentucky won at Missouri this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Kentucky in 2023 (38-21)

UK's OC Rich Scangarello (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MIZ's OC Curtis Luper (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Blake Baker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD