Northern Illinois at Western Michigan

Northern Illinois at Western Michigan - 2022 Matchup Preview

Northern Illinois Huskies at Western Michigan Broncos

Wednesday, November 9th 2022 (7:00 PM EST)
Northern Illinois -1 (49.0)
Northern Illinois 24 - Western Michigan: 21 (Mid-American)

Huskies (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (14 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ WMU -2)
Projected Score: NIU: 28 - WMU: 23 (51)
NIU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
NIU Travel: 165 miles, 1 hrs behind

Broncos (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Tim Lester (32 - 25)
Avg Score : 19 - 24 (23 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NIU Players
WMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Illinois's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Northern Illinois vs Eastern Illinois	-35.0	55.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/10	Northern Illinois at Tulsa	+6.5	63.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Northern Illinois vs Vanderbilt	-2.5	58.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/24	Northern Illinois at Kentucky	+27.0	52.5	L 23 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Northern Illinois at Ball State	-3.5	58.5	L 38 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/8	Northern Illinois vs Toledo	+6.5	59.0	L 32 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/15	Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	64.5	W 39 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Northern Illinois at Ohio	-2.5	65.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan	-4.5	54.0	L 22 - 35	O	N
Wed 11/9	Northern Illinois at Western Michigan	-1.0	49.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Wed 11/16	Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)	-1.0	44.0	L 23 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/26	Northern Illinois vs Akron	-9.5	51.5	L 12 - 44	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule

Western Michigan's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Western Michigan at Michigan State	+22.0	54.5	L 13 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Western Michigan at Ball State	-6.5	51.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Western Michigan vs Pittsburgh	+10.0	46.0	L 13 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/24	Western Michigan at San José State	+6.5	49.0	L 6 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Western Michigan vs New Hampshire	-15.0	52.5	W 44 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-4.5	55.5	L 23 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/15	Western Michigan vs Ohio	-2.0	61.5	L 14 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/22	Western Michigan at Miami (OH)	+7.0	44.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/2	Western Michigan at Bowling Green	+5.0	48.0	L 9 - 13	U	Y
Wed 11/9	Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+1.0	49.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Wed 11/16	Western Michigan at Central Michigan	+10.0	49.0	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Western Michigan vs Toledo	+8.5	50.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NIU	.19	41%	27.3	40%	3.16	190	43%	183	3.63	.27	44%	32.8	43%	47%	4.14	62.5	1.3	1.8
WMU	.06	34%	19	34%	2.87	136	35%	166	2.79	.19	44%	24.1	47%	42%	3.38	62.9	1.8	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NIU	#86 (.16)	42% (79)		44% (72)	3.25 (33)	204	40% (86)	179	3.39 (113)	#11 (.06)	38% (19)		41% (52)	35% (9)	3.08 (12)	42.8	1.2	1.1
WMU	#43 (.24)	45% (33)		45% (59)	3.05 (62)	184	46% (27)	187	4.11 (49)	#122 (.29)	49% (128)		48% (115)	51% (132)	4.38 (119)	39.2	1	1.6

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NIU Offense	12	27.3	29.3	40.7%	3.63	1.3	19	373	190	183	4.8	59%	39%	40%	43%	16%	.19
WMU Defense	12	24.1	26.2	43.8%	3.38	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	47%	42%	21%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NIU Defense	12	32.8	28	44.5%	4.14	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	43%	47%	15%	.27
WMU Offense	12	19	22.5	34.1%	2.79	1.8	17	302	136	166	3.5	52%	46%	34%	35%	23%	.06

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Illinois	12	30:48	18.8	39%	48%	6.3	62.5	1.3	1.8	4.6	2.4	1	30
Western Michigan	12	30:25	16.6	31%	48%	6.7	62.9	1.8	2.3	6.7	2.6	3	28.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NIU Offense	12	59%	40%	39.8	190.4	4.8	19	.16	3.16	82%	8%	1.05
WMU Defense	12	52%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.13	79%	14%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NIU Defense	12	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.26	73%	9%	0.9
WMU Offense	12	52%	34%	38.8	136.3	3.5	14	.03	2.87	68%	15%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NIU Offense	12	39%	43%	15.4	27.3	182.7	6.7	11.9	18	14	.33	1.6	32%	29%	.18	8%	1.9
WMU Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.27	1.7	31%	31%	.26	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NIU Defense	12	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.8	31%	32%	.51	6%	2.5
WMU Offense	12	46%	35%	13.9	27.9	165.7	5.9	11.9	10	13	.18	1.7	39%	23%	.25	9%	2.3

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Illinois's 2022 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 #124
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #77
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #130

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: Western Michigan: -6.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -18.8 Western Michigan: -17.3

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -6.15 NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #121
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 11.2 #129
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #68

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Northern Illinois's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Northern Illinois 28
Western Michigan 23

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Northern Illinois 30
Western Michigan 20

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Northern Illinois 27
Western Michigan 26

Total Points: 53

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.5
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.2

Western Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/18	Northern Illinois	19	Western Michigan	35	Western Michigan -7	Western Michigan	39.5	Over
2024	11/06	Western Michigan	28	Northern Illinois	42	Northern Illinois -2.5	Northern Illinois	51.5	Over
2023	11/14	Northern Illinois	24	Western Michigan	0	Northern Illinois -4.5	Northern Illinois	55.5	Under
2022	11/09	Western Michigan	21	Northern Illinois	24	Northern Illinois -1	Northern Illinois	49.0	Under
2021	11/23	Northern Illinois	21	Western Michigan	42	Western Michigan -6.5	Western Michigan	60.0	Over
2020	11/28	Western Michigan	30	Northern Illinois	27	Western Michigan -18.5	Northern Illinois	64.5	Under
2019	11/26	Northern Illinois	17	Western Michigan	14	Western Michigan -10	Northern Illinois	51.0	Under
2018	11/20	Western Michigan	28	Northern Illinois	21	Northern Illinois -6.5	Western Michigan	48.5	Over
2017	11/15	Northern Illinois	35	Western Michigan	31	Northern Illinois -9	Western Michigan	49.5	Over
2016	10/08	Western Michigan	45	Northern Illinois	30	Western Michigan -19	Northern Illinois	68.5	Over
2015	11/18	Northern Illinois	27	Western Michigan	19	Northern Illinois -3.5	Northern Illinois	59.5	Under
2014	11/28	Western Michigan	21	Northern Illinois	31	Western Michigan -7	Northern Illinois	0
2013	11/26	Northern Illinois	33	Western Michigan	14	Northern Illinois -33.5	Western Michigan	0
2012	10/27	Western Michigan	34	Northern Illinois	48
2011	10/15	Northern Illinois	51	Western Michigan	22
2010	10/30	Western Michigan	21	Northern Illinois	28
2009	10/03	Northern Illinois	38	Western Michigan	3
2008	09/06	Western Michigan	29	Northern Illinois	26
2007	10/13	Northern Illinois	13	Western Michigan	17
2006	10/14	Western Michigan	16	Northern Illinois	14
2005	11/23	Northern Illinois	42	Western Michigan	7
2004	10/23	Western Michigan	38	Northern Illinois	59
2003	10/18	Northern Illinois	37	Western Michigan	10
2002	10/26	Western Michigan	20	Northern Illinois	24
2001	10/20	Northern Illinois	20	Western Michigan	12
2000	10/20	Western Michigan	52	Northern Illinois	22

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Michigan	9	5	6 Overs
Northern Illinois	17	8	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 10	4 - 9	2 - 5	2 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 16	9 - 4	4 - 2	5 - 2

(#) NIU at (#) WMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NIU	WMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#121
Perf GradeGrade	#73	#78
OffenseOff	#71	#111
DefenseDef	#65	#20
Spec TeamsST	#103	#94
TalentTal	#110	#97
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Northern Illinois Injury Report

Western Michigan Injury Report

Northern Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	NIU Off	WMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#71	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#77	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northern Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	#101	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#79	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#59

Northern Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	#81	#56
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#68	#11
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Western Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	WMU Off	NIU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#111	#65
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#129	#130
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	NIU Def
Run GameRun	#127	#23
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#87

Western Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	NIU Def
Pass GamePass	#121	#121
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#91	#51
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

NIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 62°

Rematch from Week 11
Northern Illinois 1.0 (49.0)
Northern Illinois won at Western Michigan this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Western Michigan last year (42-28)
Northern Illinois beat Western Michigan in 2023 (24-0)
Northern Illinois beat Western Michigan in 2022 (24-21)

NIU's OC Eric Eidsness (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WMU's OC Eric Evans (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD