Northern Illinois at Michigan - 2021 Matchup Preview
Northern Illinois logo   Northern Illinois Huskies at Michigan Wolverines  Michigan logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan -27.5 (54.5)
Michigan 63 - Northern Illinois: 10

 
Huskies (9 - 5) (9 - 4 - 1)
Coach Thomas Hammock (6 - 15)
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (16 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MICH 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -18  (SP+ MICH -31)

Projected Score: NIU: 17 - MICH: 27 (44)
MICH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
NIU Travel: 259 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wolverines (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (52 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northern Illinois's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Northern Illinois at Georgia Tech+19.057.0W 22 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Northern Illinois vs Wyoming+7.044.0L 43 - 50OY
Sat 9/18 Northern Illinois at Michigan+27.554.5L 10 - 63ON
Sat 9/25 Northern Illinois vs Maine-21.562.0W 41 - 14UY
Sat 10/2 Northern Illinois vs Eastern Michigan+0.062.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/9 Northern Illinois at Toledo+13.051.5W 22 - 20UY
Sat 10/16 Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green-9.044.5W 34 - 26ON
Sat 10/23 Northern Illinois at Central Michigan+6.056.0W 39 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/3 Northern Illinois at Kent State+3.572.0L 47 - 52ON
Wed 11/10 Northern Illinois vs Ball State+3.059.5W 30 - 29UY
Wed 11/17 Northern Illinois at Buffalo-2.059.5W 33 - 27OY
Tue 11/23 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan+6.560.0L 21 - 42ON
Sat 12/4 Northern Illinois vs Kent State+3.575.5W 41 - 23UY
Fri 12/17 Northern Illinois vs Coastal Carolina+11.063.0L 41 - 47OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Michigan's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Michigan vs Western Michigan-16.565.5W 47 - 14UY
Sat 9/11 Michigan vs Washington-6.547.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/18 Michigan vs Northern Illinois-27.554.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/25 Michigan vs Rutgers-20.050.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 10/2 Michigan at Wisconsin+2.043.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 10/9 Michigan at Nebraska-2.550.5W 32 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Michigan vs Northwestern-23.551.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 10/30 Michigan at Michigan State-4.050.5L 33 - 37ON
Sat 11/6 Michigan vs Indiana-20.551.0W 29 - 7UY
Sat 11/13 Michigan at Penn State-2.548.0W 21 - 17UY
Sat 11/20 Michigan at Maryland-16.058.5W 59 - 18OY
Sat 11/27 Michigan vs Ohio State+6.563.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 12/4 Michigan vs Iowa-12.043.5W 42 - 3OY
Fri 12/31 Michigan vs Georgia+7.547.0L 11 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU.0841%17.140%2.6912342%2413.69.2447%24.345%50%3.5691.71.2
MICH.2343%27.545%2.9413142%2504.09.2242%20.441%44%4.3657.510.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense617.116.340.7%3.691.7223641232413.346%54%40%42%19%.08
MICH Defense620.413.342.4%4.360.3 - - - - - 53%47%41%44%10%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Defense624.327.846.9%3.51.2 - - - - - 54%45%45%50%17%.24
MICH Offense627.529.243.1%4.091193821312504.643%57%45%42%16%.23

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Illinois633:3821.528%63%6.8691.71.24.31.8028
Michigan625:3019.336%44%5.857.510.33.31.5127
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense646%40%36.81233.37-.052.6967%13%0.83
MICH Defense653%41% - - - - .12.9292%5%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Defense654%45% - - - - .12.7476%10%0.96
MICH Offense643%45%28.7131.24.612.12.9461%8%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense654%42%21.236.8240.56.511.4112.191.532%29%.216%1.7
MICH Defense647%44% - - - - - - 1.361.631%35%.415%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Defense645%50% - - - - - - 5.431.630%38%.597%2.2
MICH Offense657%42%20.535.5250.37.112.294.331.634%35%.478%2

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Illinois's 2021 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1  #98
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #62
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1  #117

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois:    Michigan: 14.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -7.1   Michigan: 23.4




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 14.2 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.4  #4
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5  #19
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8  #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Northern Illinois's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 27
Northern Illinois 17


Projected Total Points: 44
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/18Michigan63Northern Illinois10Michigan -27.5Michigan54.5Over
200509/03Michigan33Northern Illinois17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan211 Overs
Northern Illinois000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) NIU at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNIUMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #4
Perf GradeGrade #105 #6
OffenseOff #51 #30
DefenseDef #128 #6
Spec TeamsST #78 #17
TalentTal #114 #15
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northern Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
NIU OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #51 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #25 #10
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #6
Northern Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #104 #34
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #68 #3
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffNIU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #30 #128
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffNIU Def
Run GameRun #5 #127
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #72
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffNIU Def
Pass GamePass #41 #121
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #50 #127
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

NIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Michigan -27.5 (54.5)
Michigan won vs Northern Illinois this year (63-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NIU's OC Eric Eidsness (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Derrick Jackson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MICH's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Mike Macdonald (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD