Rutgers at Michigan - 2021 Matchup Preview

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Michigan Wolverines(#21)

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -20 (50.0)
Michigan 20 - Rutgers: 13 (Big Ten)

Scarlet Knights (5 - 8) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Greg Schiano (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 20 - 26 (16 - 16 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MICH 4th straight Home Game
MICH is playing their 4th straight game
RUTG is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -15.5 (SP+ MICH -26)
Projected Score: RUTG: 18 - MICH: 28 (46)
MICH Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
RUTG Travel: 495 miles

Wolverines (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (52 - 22)
Avg Score : 36 - 17 (38 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RUTG Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rutgers's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Rutgers vs Temple	-14.0	52.0	W 61 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Rutgers at Syracuse	-2.5	50.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Rutgers vs Delaware	-20.0	45.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Rutgers at Michigan	+20.0	50.0	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Rutgers vs Ohio State	+15.0	58.0	L 13 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/9	Rutgers vs Michigan State	+4.5	50.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/16	Rutgers at Northwestern	-2.5	45.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Rutgers at Illinois	-1.5	41.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Rutgers vs Wisconsin	+13.0	37.5	L 3 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/13	Rutgers at Indiana	+6.5	42.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Rutgers at Penn State	+14.0	44.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/27	Rutgers vs Maryland	-2.0	53.0	L 16 - 40	O	N
Fri 12/31	Rutgers vs Wake Forest	+17.0	63.0	L 10 - 38	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Michigan's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Michigan vs Western Michigan	-16.5	65.5	W 47 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Michigan vs Washington	-6.5	47.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Michigan vs Northern Illinois	-27.5	54.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Michigan vs Rutgers	-20.0	50.0	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/2	Michigan at Wisconsin	+2.0	43.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Michigan at Nebraska	-2.5	50.5	W 32 - 29	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Michigan vs Northwestern	-23.5	51.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Michigan at Michigan State	-4.0	50.5	L 33 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/6	Michigan vs Indiana	-20.5	51.0	W 29 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Michigan at Penn State	-2.5	48.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Michigan at Maryland	-16.0	58.5	W 59 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Michigan vs Ohio State	+6.5	63.5	W 42 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/4	Michigan vs Iowa	-12.0	43.5	W 42 - 3	O	Y
Fri 12/31	Michigan vs Georgia	+7.5	47.0	L 11 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	.06	39%	19.7	42%	3.05	138	36%	171	3.41	.23	40%	25.6	40%	40%	3.53	40.7	1.1	1.4
MICH	.27	47%	35.8	49%	3.18	214	43%	229	4.15	.12	38%	17.4	39%	38%	3.03	41.5	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)		44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)		48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9
MICH	#113 (.1)	40% (102)		41% (101)	3 (80)	149	40% (92)	123	4.18 (45)	#40 (.13)	38% (28)		38% (18)	39% (42)	3.48 (36)	36.8	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Offense	13	19.7	15.8	39.2%	3.41	1.1	17	310	138	171	3.6	52%	48%	42%	36%	17%	.06
MICH Defense	14	17.4	12.6	38.3%	3.03	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	39%	38%	17%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Defense	13	25.6	15.5	39.9%	3.53	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	40%	40%	17%	.23
MICH Offense	14	35.8	37.9	46.5%	4.15	1	22	443	214	229	5.2	57%	43%	49%	43%	10%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rutgers	13	30:18	17.5	32%	36%	5	40.7	1.1	1.4	5.6	1.7	2	30.4
Michigan	14	31:21	21.8	46%	52%	4.9	41.5	1	1.2	5.1	2.4	2	31.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense	13	52%	42%	38.5	138.4	3.6	20	.09	3.05	73%	11%	0.86
MICH Defense	14	46%	39%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.78	66%	10%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense	13	54%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.95	68%	11%	0.98
MICH Offense	14	57%	49%	41.1	214.4	5.2	39	.22	3.18	79%	5%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense	13	48%	36%	17.8	30.3	171.5	5.7	9.7	9	10	.03	1.3	32%	23%	.07	6%	1.7
MICH Defense	14	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.18	1.5	33%	26%	.16	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense	13	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.42	1.9	33%	33%	.42	6%	2.1
MICH Offense	14	43%	43%	17.7	28.2	228.7	8.1	12.9	21	9	.33	1.6	28%	39%	.55	5%	2

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: NR
Rutgers's Offense Rating: NR
Rutgers's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Rutgers's 2021 Expected Record: -
Rutgers's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0 #88
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #110
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #46

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: Michigan: 14.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: -3.0 Michigan: 23.4

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 14.2 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.4 #4
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #19
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.5

Rutgers's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 28
Rutgers 18

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 28
Rutgers 20

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 29
Rutgers 17

Total Points: 46

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.9
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.6

Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Michigan	31	Rutgers	7	Michigan -24	Push	44.5	Under
2022	11/05	Rutgers	17	Michigan	52	Michigan -26	Michigan	45.0	Over
2021	09/25	Michigan	20	Rutgers	13	Michigan -20	Rutgers	50.0	Under
2020	11/21	Rutgers	42	Michigan	48	Michigan -13.5	Rutgers	52.5	Over
2019	09/28	Michigan	52	Rutgers	0	Michigan -27.5	Michigan	50.0	Over
2018	11/10	Rutgers	7	Michigan	42	Michigan -36.5	Rutgers	45.0	Over
2017	10/28	Michigan	35	Rutgers	14	Michigan -22.5	Rutgers	43.5	Over
2016	10/08	Rutgers	0	Michigan	78	Michigan -26.5	Michigan	52.5	Over
2015	11/07	Michigan	49	Rutgers	16	Michigan -21.5	Michigan	49.0	Over
2014	10/04	Rutgers	26	Michigan	24	Rutgers -3.5	Michigan	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	9	5	7 Overs
Rutgers	1	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	4 - 5	2 - 3	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 6	5 - 4	2 - 2	3 - 2

(#) RUTG at (#) MICH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RUTG	MICH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#4
Perf GradeGrade	#117	#6
OffenseOff	#117	#30
DefenseDef	#114	#6
Spec TeamsST	#27	#17
TalentTal	#64	#15
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Rutgers Injury Report

Michigan Injury Report

Rutgers on Offense


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MICH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#117	#6
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#10
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Rutgers Run Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	#51	#10
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#126	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#6

Rutgers Pass Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#34
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#57	#3
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	MICH Off	RUTG Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#30	#114
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#5	#89
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#61	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#77

Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#41	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#50	#101
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 63° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Michigan -20.0 (50.0)
Michigan won vs Rutgers this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Rutgers in 2023 (31-7)
Michigan beat Rutgers in 2022 (52-17)

RUTG's OC Sean Gleeson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MICH's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Mike Macdonald (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD