Iowa State at West Virginia - 2021 Matchup Preview

Iowa State Cyclones at West Virginia Mountaineers

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
Iowa State -7.5 (49.0)
West Virginia 38 - Iowa State: 31 (Big 12)

Cyclones (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (37 - 29)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (33 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -4 (SP+ ISU -12.5)
Projected Score: ISU: 28 - WVU: 24 (52)
ISU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ISU Travel: 733 miles, 1 hrs behind

Mountaineers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 25 - 24 (31 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
WVU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-28.5	50.0	W 16 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/11	Iowa State vs Iowa	-4.0	45.0	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/18	Iowa State at UNLV	-32.0	53.0	W 48 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Iowa State at Baylor	-7.0	46.0	L 29 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/2	Iowa State vs Kansas	-34.5	57.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Iowa State at Kansas State	-6.5	51.0	W 33 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-7.5	47.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/30	Iowa State at West Virginia	-7.5	49.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/6	Iowa State vs Texas	-6.0	59.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Iowa State at Texas Tech	-13.0	55.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/20	Iowa State at Oklahoma	+3.0	59.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Fri 11/26	Iowa State vs TCU	-16.0	61.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Wed 12/29	Iowa State vs Clemson	+1.5	44.0	L 13 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

West Virginia's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	West Virginia at Maryland	-2.5	56.0	L 24 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/11	West Virginia vs Long Island University	-50.0	56.0	W 66 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/18	West Virginia vs Virginia Tech	-2.0	49.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/25	West Virginia at Oklahoma	+17.5	56.5	L 13 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/2	West Virginia vs Texas Tech	-7.5	55.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/9	West Virginia at Baylor	+1.0	45.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	West Virginia at TCU	+5.0	58.0	W 29 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/30	West Virginia vs Iowa State	+7.5	49.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/6	West Virginia vs Oklahoma State	+3.5	48.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/13	West Virginia at Kansas State	+6.0	47.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/20	West Virginia vs Texas	-2.5	56.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/27	West Virginia at Kansas	-15.5	55.5	W 34 - 28	O	N
Tue 12/28	West Virginia vs Minnesota	+5.0	44.5	L 6 - 18	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	.24	44%	31.3	40%	2.97	161	47%	264	4.1	.18	41%	20.5	41%	40%	3.74	38.6	1.1	1.4
WVU	.2	43%	25.2	45%	2.96	123	42%	248	4.19	.18	42%	23.8	42%	43%	3.18	43.2	1.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)		40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)		46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5
WVU	#63 (.2)	43% (69)		44% (75)	3.05 (64)	196	41% (73)	210	4.6 (16)	#124 (.3)	45% (103)		41% (46)	49% (128)	4.74 (131)	33.9	1.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	13	31.3	33.3	43.8%	4.1	1.1	22	425	161	264	5.1	44%	56%	40%	47%	15%	.24
WVU Defense	13	23.8	20.3	42.4%	3.18	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	42%	43%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	13	20.5	26.8	40.7%	3.74	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	40%	19%	.18
WVU Offense	13	25.2	30.8	43.2%	4.19	1.5	21	371	123	248	3.5	45%	55%	45%	42%	17%	.2

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	13	30:54	21.5	36%	65%	4.8	38.6	1.1	1.4	6.5	2.5	1	28
West Virginia	13	31:21	21.4	40%	68%	5.2	43.2	1.5	1.1	6.3	2.1	1	27.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	13	44%	40%	31.6	160.7	5.1	25	.13	2.97	63%	10%	1.11
WVU Defense	13	52%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.03	73%	12%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	13	51%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.01	69%	14%	0.98
WVU Offense	13	45%	45%	34.8	123.2	3.5	19	.16	2.96	78%	11%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	13	56%	47%	24.1	34.3	263.8	7.7	11	22	9	.34	1.4	31%	29%	.29	5%	2
WVU Defense	13	48%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.5	32%	29%	.33	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.6	30%	31%	.48	6%	2.3
WVU Offense	13	55%	42%	22.3	34.4	247.9	7.2	11.1	19	12	.25	1.5	33%	30%	.34	6%	2.1

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: NR
Iowa State's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #34
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #19

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: West Virginia: 3.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 14.3 West Virginia: 1.8

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.4 NR
West Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
West Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
West Virginia's 2021 Expected Record: -
West Virginia's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #71
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #76
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Iowa State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 28
West Virginia 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa State 29
West Virginia 21

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 27
West Virginia 26

Total Points: 53

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

West Virginia's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	West Virginia	16	Iowa State	28	Iowa State -3	Iowa State	54.0	Under
2022	11/05	Iowa State	31	West Virginia	14	Iowa State -6.5	Iowa State	49.5	Under
2021	10/30	West Virginia	38	Iowa State	31	Iowa State -7.5	West Virginia	49.0	Over
2020	12/05	Iowa State	42	West Virginia	6	Iowa State -5.5	Iowa State	47.5	Over
2019	10/12	West Virginia	14	Iowa State	38	Iowa State -9	Iowa State	55.0	Under
2018	10/13	Iowa State	30	West Virginia	14	West Virginia -4	Iowa State	54.5	Under
2017	11/04	West Virginia	20	Iowa State	16	West Virginia -3.5	West Virginia	59.5	Under
2016	11/26	Iowa State	19	West Virginia	49	West Virginia -9	West Virginia	60.5	Over
2015	11/28	West Virginia	30	Iowa State	6	West Virginia -13.5	West Virginia	57.5	Under
2014	11/29	Iowa State	24	West Virginia	37	West Virginia -13	NA	0
2013	11/30	West Virginia	44	Iowa State	52	West Virginia -7.5	Iowa State	0
2012	11/23	Iowa State	24	West Virginia	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
West Virginia	6	4	3 Overs
Iowa State	6	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	6 - 4	4 - 1	2 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 6	4 - 6	3 - 2	1 - 4

(#) ISU at (#) WVU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ISU	WVU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#71
Perf GradeGrade	#35	#73
OffenseOff	#53	#68
DefenseDef	#24	#81
Spec TeamsST	#57	#88
TalentTal	#55	#56
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Iowa State Injury Report

West Virginia Injury Report

Iowa State on Offense


CategoryCat	ISU Off	WVU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#53	#81
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#34	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa State Run Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	#60	#71
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#36

Iowa State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	#48	#74
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#58	#99
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

West Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	WVU Off	ISU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#24
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#19
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

West Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	#102	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#39	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#57

West Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	#82	#47
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#32	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 56°Rain: 0.031

Rematch from Week 9
Iowa State 7.5 (49.0)
West Virginia won vs Iowa State this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat West Virginia last year (28-16)
Iowa State beat West Virginia in 2022 (31-14)

ISU's OC Tom Manning (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WVU's OC Gerad Parker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD