Central Michigan at Western Michigan - 2021 Matchup Preview
Central Michigan logo Central Michigan Chippewas at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Wednesday, November 3rd 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -9 (64.5)
Central Michigan 42 - Western Michigan: 30  (Mid-American)

 
Chippewas (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 32 - 26 (29 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CMU coming off BYE
WMU coming off BYE
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ WMU -2)

Projected Score: CMU: 30 - WMU: 32 (62)
WMU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
CMU Travel: 99 miles
Broncos (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Lester (26 - 21)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (35 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Central Michigan's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Central Michigan at Missouri+13.559.0L 24 - 34UY
Sat 9/11 Central Michigan vs Robert Morris-37.553.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Central Michigan at LSU+19.561.0L 21 - 49ON
Sat 9/25 Central Michigan vs Florida International-12.055.0W 31 - 27ON
Sat 10/2 Central Michigan at Miami (OH)-2.556.5L 17 - 28UN
Sat 10/9 Central Michigan at Ohio-5.058.0W 30 - 27UN
Sat 10/16 Central Michigan vs Toledo+5.053.0W 26 - 23UY
Sat 10/23 Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois-6.056.0L 38 - 39ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/3 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+9.064.5W 42 - 30OY
Wed 11/10 Central Michigan vs Kent State-2.576.5W 54 - 30OY
Wed 11/17 Central Michigan at Ball State-2.557.0W 37 - 17UY
Fri 11/26 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-8.564.0W 31 - 10UY
Fri 12/31 Central Michigan vs Washington State+5.556.0W 24 - 21UY
Fri 12/31 Central Michigan vs Boise State+7.555.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Western Michigan at Michigan+16.565.5L 14 - 47UN
Sat 9/11 Western Michigan vs Illinois State-12.556.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Western Michigan at Pittsburgh+14.059.0W 44 - 41OY
Sat 9/25 Western Michigan vs San José State-2.561.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/2 Western Michigan at Buffalo-7.059.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/9 Western Michigan vs Ball State-13.057.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/16 Western Michigan vs Kent State-7.068.5W 64 - 31OY
Sat 10/23 Western Michigan at Toledo-1.554.5L 15 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/3 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-9.064.5L 30 - 42ON
Tue 11/9 Western Michigan vs Akron-24.562.0W 45 - 40ON
Tue 11/16 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-6.066.0L 21 - 22UN
Tue 11/23 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois-6.560.0W 42 - 21OY
Mon 12/27 Western Michigan vs Nevada-7.056.0W 52 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU.2444%32.344%3.1417944%2653.65.1941%25.843%40%3.9655.81.11.2
WMU.3150%32.552%3.5421447%2544.16.2239%28.243%35%3.7258.91.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)42% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)41% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense1332.328.543.7%3.651.1234451792654.552%47%44%44%16%.24
WMU Defense1328.226.838.9%3.721.3 - - - - - 51%49%43%35%22%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense1325.830.841.3%3.961.2 - - - - - 48%52%43%40%22%.19
WMU Offense1332.53549.9%4.161.2254682142544.758%42%52%47%13%.31

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan1331:0323.137%59%6.355.81.11.27.52.8331.7
Western Michigan1335:1724.846%46%6.858.91.21.37.53.3228.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense1352%44%40179.24.518.143.1478%10%1
WMU Defense1351%43% - - - - .212.8271%16%1.17
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense1348%43% - - - - .132.8471%14%1.05
WMU Offense1358%52%45.4214.14.731.283.5467%8%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense1347%44%2134.5265.47.712.63110.411.735%32%.356%2.2
WMU Defense1349%35% - - - - - - 4.231.835%26%.226%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense1352%40% - - - - - - 5.281.634%28%.187%2
WMU Offense1342%47%17.928.3253.6914.2236.41.725%35%.476%2.2

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Central Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Central Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0  #84
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #68
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #93

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan:    Western Michigan: 2.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -1.0   Western Michigan: 0.6




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: 2.8 NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6  #76
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #39
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #91

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.5
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Central Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 32
Central Michigan 30


Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Michigan 32
Central Michigan 30

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Western Michigan 31
Central Michigan 29

Total Points: 60
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 28.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.8

Western Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Western Michigan24Central Michigan21Western Michigan -6Central Michigan43.5Over
202411/19Central Michigan16Western Michigan14Western Michigan -6Central Michigan56.0Under
202311/07Western Michigan38Central Michigan28Western Michigan -3.5Western Michigan57.5Over
202211/16Central Michigan10Western Michigan12Central Michigan -10Western Michigan49.0Under
202111/03Western Michigan30Central Michigan42Western Michigan -9Central Michigan64.5Over
202011/18Central Michigan44Western Michigan52Western Michigan -1Western Michigan59.5Over
201909/28Western Michigan31Central Michigan15Western Michigan -15Western Michigan62.0Under
201810/20Central Michigan10Western Michigan35Western Michigan -7Western Michigan54.0Under
201711/01Western Michigan28Central Michigan35Western Michigan -3.5Central Michigan48.5Over
201610/01Central Michigan10Western Michigan49Western Michigan -4Western Michigan60.5Under
201510/10Western Michigan41Central Michigan39Western Michigan -5Central Michigan51.5Over
201411/22Central Michigan20Western Michigan32Western Michigan -1Western Michigan0
201311/16Western Michigan22Central Michigan27Central Michigan -2.5Central Michigan0
201211/03Central Michigan31Western Michigan42
201109/17Western Michigan44Central Michigan14
201011/05Central Michigan26Western Michigan22
200910/17Western Michigan23Central Michigan34
200810/18Central Michigan38Western Michigan28
200711/06Western Michigan31Central Michigan34
200611/10Central Michigan31Western Michigan7
200511/12Western Michigan31Central Michigan24
200410/30Central Michigan24Western Michigan21
200311/15Western Michigan44Central Michigan21
200111/17Western Michigan20Central Michigan17
200011/10Central Michigan21Western Michigan17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan1476 Overs
Central Michigan1165 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 113 - 102 - 51 - 5
Road Teams11 - 1410 - 35 - 15 - 2

(#) CMU at (#) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCMUWMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #84 #76
Perf GradeGrade #32 #45
OffenseOff #29 #18
DefenseDef #32 #88
Spec TeamsST #70 #134
TalentTal #123 #106
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Central Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
CMU OffWMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #29 #88
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #91
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Central Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
CMU OffWMU Def
Run GameRun #46 #88
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #14 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #121
Central Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
CMU OffWMU Def
Pass GamePass #72 #116
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #78 #7
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatWMU OffCMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #18 #32
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #93
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffCMU Def
Run GameRun #67 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #24 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #48
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatWMU OffCMU Def
Pass GamePass #47 #54
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #26 #16
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

CMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 39° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 10
Western Michigan -9.0 (64.5)
Central Michigan won at Western Michigan this year (42-30)

Previous Matchups
Central Michigan beat Western Michigan last year (16-14)
Western Michigan beat Central Michigan in 2023 (38-28)
Western Michigan beat Central Michigan in 2022 (12-10)

  
CMU's OC Kevin Barbay (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Robb Akey (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WMU's OC Mike Bath (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD