Iowa State at Kansas State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Iowa State logo (#22)Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas State WildcatsKansas State logo
Saturday, October 16th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Iowa State -6.5 (51.0)
Iowa State 33 - Kansas State: 20  (Big 12)

 
Cyclones (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (37 - 29)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (33 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ISU coming off BYE
KSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ ISU -0)
Projected Score: ISU: 30 - KSU: 25 (55)
ISU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ISU Travel: 249 miles
Wildcats (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Chris Klieman (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (28 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Iowa State vs Northern Iowa-28.550.0W 16 - 10UN
Sat 9/11 Iowa State vs Iowa-4.045.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 9/18 Iowa State at UNLV-32.053.0W 48 - 3UY
Sat 9/25 Iowa State at Baylor-7.046.0L 29 - 31ON
Sat 10/2 Iowa State vs Kansas-34.557.5W 59 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Iowa State at Kansas State-6.551.0W 33 - 20OY
Sat 10/23 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State-7.547.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/30 Iowa State at West Virginia-7.549.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/6 Iowa State vs Texas-6.059.5W 30 - 7UY
Sat 11/13 Iowa State at Texas Tech-13.055.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 11/20 Iowa State at Oklahoma+3.059.0L 21 - 28UN
Fri 11/26 Iowa State vs TCU-16.061.5W 48 - 14OY
Wed 12/29 Iowa State vs Clemson+1.544.0L 13 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Kansas State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Kansas State vs Stanford-3.054.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 Kansas State vs Southern Illinois-17.055.0W 31 - 23UN
Sat 9/18 Kansas State vs Nevada+1.551.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/25 Kansas State at Oklahoma State+6.047.5L 20 - 31ON
Sat 10/2 Kansas State vs Oklahoma+12.053.0L 31 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Kansas State vs Iowa State+6.551.0L 20 - 33ON
Sat 10/23 Kansas State at Texas Tech-1.060.5W 25 - 24UN
Sat 10/30 Kansas State vs TCU-3.558.5W 31 - 12UY
Sat 11/6 Kansas State at Kansas-24.056.0W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/13 Kansas State vs West Virginia-6.047.5W 34 - 17OY
Sat 11/20 Kansas State vs Baylor-2.549.5L 10 - 20UN
Fri 11/26 Kansas State at Texas+3.054.5L 17 - 22UN
Tue 1/4 Kansas State vs LSU-9.547.0W 42 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU.2444%31.340%2.9716147%2644.1.1841%20.541%40%3.7438.61.11.4
KSU.2948%27.551%3.3616245%2004.03.2341%2138%45%3.2845.81.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1331.333.343.8%4.11.1224251612645.144%56%40%47%15%.24
KSU Defense132122.740.7%3.281.2 - - - - - 51%48%38%45%18%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1320.526.840.7%3.741.4 - - - - - 51%49%41%40%19%.18
KSU Offense1327.527.947.6%4.031.1183621622004.855%45%51%45%17%.29

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1330:5421.536%65%4.838.61.11.46.52.5128
Kansas State1329:5417.944%75%5.545.81.11.26.92.3331.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1344%40%31.6160.75.125.132.9763%10%1.11
KSU Defense1351%38% - - - - .132.8572%13%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1351%41% - - - - .13.0169%14%0.98
KSU Offense1355%51%33.5162.44.829.253.3683%12%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1356%47%24.134.3263.87.711229.341.431%29%.295%2
KSU Defense1348%45% - - - - - - 11.371.632%31%.345%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1349%40% - - - - - - 11.261.630%31%.486%2.3
KSU Offense1345%45%15.723.9199.98.412.7147.391.630%29%.45%2.2

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: NR
Iowa State's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3  #19
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #34
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #19

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State:    Kansas State: 9.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 14.3   Kansas State: 14.2




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 9.6 NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kansas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.2  #21
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #36
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0  #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Iowa State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 30
Kansas State 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa State 32
Kansas State 24

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 27
Kansas State 26

Total Points: 53
Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.9
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Kansas State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/23Kansas State21Iowa State24Kansas State -2.5Iowa State51.5Under
202411/30Iowa State29Kansas State21Iowa State -2.5Iowa State51.5Under
202311/25Kansas State35Iowa State42Kansas State -9.5Iowa State46.0Over
202210/08Iowa State9Kansas State10Kansas State -1NA45.0Under
202110/16Kansas State20Iowa State33Iowa State -6.5Iowa State51.0Over
202011/21Iowa State45Kansas State0Iowa State -13.5Iowa State48.0Under
201911/30Kansas State27Iowa State17Iowa State -5.5Kansas State45.0Under
201811/24Iowa State42Kansas State38Iowa State -10Kansas State41.0Over
201711/25Kansas State20Iowa State19Kansas State -2.5Iowa State50.0Under
201610/29Iowa State26Kansas State31Kansas State -6Iowa State50.5Over
201511/21Kansas State38Iowa State35Kansas State -7Iowa State50.5Over
201409/06Iowa State28Kansas State32Kansas State -15.5Iowa State0
201311/02Kansas State41Iowa State7Kansas State -14.5Kansas State0
201210/13Iowa State21Kansas State27
201112/03Kansas State30Iowa State23
201009/18Kansas State27Iowa State20
200910/03Iowa State23Kansas State24
200811/22Kansas State38Iowa State30
200711/03Iowa State31Kansas State20
200610/28Kansas State31Iowa State10
200511/05Iowa State45Kansas State17
200411/20Kansas State23Iowa State37
200311/08Iowa State0Kansas State45
200211/09Kansas State58Iowa State7
200111/03Iowa State3Kansas State42
200011/03Kansas State56Iowa State10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State1735 Overs
Iowa State996 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 116 - 63 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 156 - 61 - 35 - 3

(#) ISU at (#) KSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatISUKSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #21
Perf GradeGrade #35 #53
OffenseOff #53 #38
DefenseDef #24 #75
Spec TeamsST #57 #118
TalentTal #55 #67
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Iowa State on Offense
CategoryCat
ISU OffKSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #75
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #16
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Iowa State Run Game
CategoryCat
ISU OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #60 #69
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #69 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #129
Iowa State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ISU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #48 #78
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #58 #74
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kansas State on Offense
CategoryCatKSU OffISU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #24
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #36 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffISU Def
Run GameRun #16 #29
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #34 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #57
Kansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatKSU OffISU Def
Pass GamePass #79 #47
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #64 #46
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 55°
Rematch from Week 7
Iowa State 6.5 (51.0)
Iowa State won at Kansas State this year (33-20)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Kansas State last year (29-21)
Iowa State beat Kansas State in 2023 (42-35)
Kansas State beat Iowa State in 2022 (10-9)

  
ISU's OC Tom Manning (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

KSU's OC Courtney Messingham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD