Texas at Iowa State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 6th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Iowa State -6 (59.5)
Iowa State 30 - Texas: 7 (Big 12)

Longhorns (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (20 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEX 2nd straight Road Game
ISU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ ISU -6)
Projected Score: TEX: 22 - ISU: 27 (49)
ISU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
TEX Travel: 842 miles

Cyclones (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (37 - 29)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (32 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TEX Players
ISU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas vs Louisiana	-8.5	58.0	W 38 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas at Arkansas	-6.0	57.5	L 21 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/18	Texas vs Rice	-26.0	52.0	W 58 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Texas vs Texas Tech	-9.0	63.0	W 70 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Texas at TCU	-3.5	65.5	W 32 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Texas vs Oklahoma	+4.0	65.5	L 48 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/16	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-3.0	61.0	L 24 - 32	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Texas at Baylor	+2.0	61.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	Texas at Iowa State	+6.0	59.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/13	Texas vs Kansas	-31.0	61.5	L 56 - 57	O	N
Sat 11/20	Texas at West Virginia	+2.5	56.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Fri 11/26	Texas vs Kansas State	-3.0	54.5	W 22 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Iowa State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-28.5	50.0	W 16 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/11	Iowa State vs Iowa	-4.0	45.0	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/18	Iowa State at UNLV	-32.0	53.0	W 48 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Iowa State at Baylor	-7.0	46.0	L 29 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/2	Iowa State vs Kansas	-34.5	57.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Iowa State at Kansas State	-6.5	51.0	W 33 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-7.5	47.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/30	Iowa State at West Virginia	-7.5	49.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/6	Iowa State vs Texas	-6.0	59.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Iowa State at Texas Tech	-13.0	55.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/20	Iowa State at Oklahoma	+3.0	59.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Fri 11/26	Iowa State vs TCU	-16.0	61.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Wed 12/29	Iowa State vs Clemson	+1.5	44.0	L 13 - 20	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX	.25	43%	30.5	46%	3.08	195	41%	280	4.44	.14	43%	20.3	40%	46%	3.42	79	0.9	1.8
ISU	.27	49%	27.4	50%	3.09	195	48%	241	4.51	.11	39%	20.2	37%	41%	2.73	42.7	1.2	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Offense	10	30.5	19.8	43.2%	4.44	0.9	22	476	195	280	5.3	47%	53%	46%	41%	16%	.25
ISU Defense	12	20.2	18.8	39%	2.73	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	37%	41%	18%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Defense	10	20.3	25.8	43.2%	3.42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	40%	46%	19%	.14
ISU Offense	12	27.4	32.3	48.7%	4.51	1.2	23	437	195	241	5.2	53%	47%	50%	48%	14%	.27

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas	10	27:36	22.4	37%	50%	8.2	79	0.9	1.8	7.4	1.5	2	30.9
Iowa State	12	33:02	22.8	45%	69%	5.2	42.7	1.2	1.4	6.8	2.3	0	31

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Offense	10	47%	46%	36.8	195.4	5.3	20	.15	3.08	63%	9%	1.06
ISU Defense	12	47%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.65	69%	12%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Defense	10	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.44	73%	12%	0.87
ISU Offense	12	53%	50%	37.8	195.3	5.2	31	.21	3.09	72%	8%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Offense	10	53%	41%	20.8	34.5	280.1	8.1	13.5	32	5	.35	1.7	31%	34%	.49	7%	2.3
ISU Defense	12	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.22	1.6	35%	30%	.3	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Defense	10	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.26	1.4	30%	31%	.23	8%	2
ISU Offense	12	47%	48%	20.8	31	241.3	7.8	11.6	20	9	.34	1.4	27%	31%	.32	6%	2

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5 #48
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #28
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #85

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: Iowa State: 9.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 8.5 Iowa State: 14.3

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 9.65 NR
Iowa State's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Iowa State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #34
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #19

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 27
Texas 22

Projected Total Points: 49

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Iowa State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	Iowa State	16	Texas	26	Texas -7.5	Texas	43.5	Under
2022	10/15	Texas	24	Iowa State	21	Texas -15.5	Iowa State	48.5	Under
2021	11/06	Iowa State	30	Texas	7	Iowa State -6	Iowa State	59.5	Under
2020	11/27	Texas	20	Iowa State	23	Iowa State -2	Iowa State	58.0	Under
2019	11/16	Iowa State	23	Texas	21	Iowa State -7	Texas	64.5	Under
2018	11/17	Texas	24	Iowa State	10	Texas -2.5	Texas	49.5	Under
2017	09/28	Iowa State	7	Texas	17	Texas -5	Texas	61.5	Under
2016	10/15	Texas	27	Iowa State	6	Texas -13.5	Texas	69.0	Under
2015	10/31	Iowa State	24	Texas	0	Texas -9.5	Iowa State	50.0	Under
2014	10/18	Texas	48	Iowa State	45	Texas -11	Iowa State	0
2013	10/03	Iowa State	30	Texas	31	Texas -7.5	Iowa State	0
2012	11/10	Texas	33	Iowa State	7
2011	10/01	Iowa State	14	Texas	37
2010	10/23	Texas	21	Iowa State	28
2007	10/13	Iowa State	3	Texas	56
2006	09/23	Texas	37	Iowa State	14
2003	10/18	Iowa State	19	Texas	40
2002	10/26	Texas	21	Iowa State	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa State	5	6	0 Overs
Texas	13	5	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 8	5 - 6	3 - 3	2 - 3
Road Teams	8 - 10	6 - 5	3 - 2	3 - 3

(#) TEX at (#) ISU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TEX	ISU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#19
Perf GradeGrade	#79	#35
OffenseOff	#46	#53
DefenseDef	#110	#24
Spec TeamsST	#45	#57
TalentTal	#11	#55
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas Injury Report

Iowa State Injury Report

Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	TEX Off	ISU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#46	#24
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#19
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	#6	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#57

Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	#75	#47
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Iowa State on Offense


CategoryCat	ISU Off	TEX Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#53	#110
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#34	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa State Run Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	#60	#124
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#92

Iowa State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	#48	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#58	#121
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

TEX 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Iowa State -6.0 (59.5)
Iowa State won vs Texas this year (30-7)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Iowa State in 2023 (26-16)

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ISU's OC Tom Manning (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD