Kansas State at Texas - 2021 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo   Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Longhorns  Texas logo
Friday, November 26th 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Texas -3 (54.5)
Texas 22 - Kansas State: 17  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Chris Klieman (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TEX is playing their 5th straight game
KSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ KSU -5.5)
Projected Score: KSU: 24 - TEX: 31 (55)
TEX Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
KSU Travel: 620 miles
Longhorns (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Kansas State vs Stanford-3.054.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 Kansas State vs Southern Illinois-17.055.0W 31 - 23UN
Sat 9/18 Kansas State vs Nevada+1.551.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/25 Kansas State at Oklahoma State+6.047.5L 20 - 31ON
Sat 10/2 Kansas State vs Oklahoma+12.053.0L 31 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Kansas State vs Iowa State+6.551.0L 20 - 33ON
Sat 10/23 Kansas State at Texas Tech-1.060.5W 25 - 24UN
Sat 10/30 Kansas State vs TCU-3.558.5W 31 - 12UY
Sat 11/6 Kansas State at Kansas-24.056.0W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/13 Kansas State vs West Virginia-6.047.5W 34 - 17OY
Sat 11/20 Kansas State vs Baylor-2.549.5L 10 - 20UN
Fri 11/26 Kansas State at Texas+3.054.5L 17 - 22UN
Tue 1/4 Kansas State vs LSU-9.547.0W 42 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Texas's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Texas vs Louisiana-8.558.0W 38 - 18UY
Sat 9/11 Texas at Arkansas-6.057.5L 21 - 40ON
Sat 9/18 Texas vs Rice-26.052.0W 58 - 0OY
Sat 9/25 Texas vs Texas Tech-9.063.0W 70 - 35OY
Sat 10/2 Texas at TCU-3.565.5W 32 - 27UY
Sat 10/9 Texas vs Oklahoma+4.065.5L 48 - 55ON
Sat 10/16 Texas vs Oklahoma State-3.061.0L 24 - 32UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Texas at Baylor+2.061.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 Texas at Iowa State+6.059.5L 7 - 30UN
Sat 11/13 Texas vs Kansas-31.061.5L 56 - 57ON
Sat 11/20 Texas at West Virginia+2.556.0L 23 - 31UN
Fri 11/26 Texas vs Kansas State-3.054.5W 22 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU.1637%29.440%2.5715235%1863.69.2444%26.741%46%3.9256.41.51.2
TEX.2543%30.546%3.0819541%2804.44.1443%20.340%46%3.42790.91.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1029.430.837.5%3.691.5163381521864.356%44%40%35%18%.16
TEX Defense1020.31743.2%3.421.8 - - - - - 46%53%40%46%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1026.726.443.7%3.921.2 - - - - - 47%53%41%46%17%.24
TEX Offense1030.538.843.2%4.440.9224761952805.347%53%46%41%16%.25

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1028:4415.533%60%6.556.41.51.26.82.8430.7
Texas1027:3622.437%50%8.2790.91.87.41.5230.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1056%40%35.3152.24.317.082.5768%11%1.07
TEX Defense1046%40% - - - - .042.4473%12%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1047%41% - - - - .182.879%11%1.23
TEX Offense1047%46%36.8195.45.320.153.0863%9%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1044%35%13.724.7185.77.513.61210.261.933%26%.287%2.3
TEX Defense1053%46% - - - - - - 10.261.430%31%.238%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1053%46% - - - - - - 7.31.431%34%.416%2.1
TEX Offense1053%41%20.834.5280.18.113.5325.351.731%34%.497%2.3

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kansas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.2  #21
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #36
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0  #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State:    Texas: 6.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 14.2   Texas: 8.5




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 6.75 NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5  #48
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #28
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #85

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 31
Kansas State 24

Projected Total Points: 55
Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Texas33Kansas State30Texas -4Kansas State49.5Over
202211/05Kansas State27Texas34Texas -3Texas54.5Over
202111/26Texas22Kansas State17Texas -3Texas54.5Under
202012/05Kansas State31Texas69Texas -7Texas53.5Over
201911/09Texas27Kansas State24Texas -7.5Kansas State57.5Under
201809/29Kansas State14Texas19Texas -8.5Kansas State48.5Under
201710/07Texas40Kansas State34Texas -5.5Texas47.0Over
201610/22Kansas State24Texas21Kansas State -3Push54.0Under
201510/24Texas23Kansas State9Texas -3.5Texas46.5Under
201410/25Kansas State23Texas0Kansas State -13Kansas State0
201309/21Texas31Kansas State21Texas -7Texas0
201212/01Kansas State42Texas24
201111/19Texas13Kansas State17
201011/06Kansas State39Texas14
200709/29Texas21Kansas State41
200611/11Kansas State45Texas42
200310/04Texas24Kansas State20
200210/19Kansas State14Texas17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas1164 Overs
Kansas State745 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 66 - 45 - 21 - 2
Road Teams6 - 124 - 62 - 12 - 5

(#) KSU at (#) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUTEX
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #48
Perf GradeGrade #53 #79
OffenseOff #38 #46
DefenseDef #75 #110
Spec TeamsST #118 #45
TalentTal #67 #11
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Kansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
KSU OffTEX Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #110
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #36 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffTEX Def
Run GameRun #16 #124
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #34 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #92
Kansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffTEX Def
Pass GamePass #79 #57
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #64 #121
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas on Offense
CategoryCatTEX OffKSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #46 #75
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #16
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
TEX OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #6 #69
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #50 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #129
Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatTEX OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #75 #78
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #75 #74
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Texas -3.0 (54.5)
Texas won vs Kansas State this year (22-17)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Kansas State in 2023 (33-30)

  
KSU's OC Courtney Messingham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD