UConn at Massachusetts - 2021 Matchup Preview
UConn logo   UConn Huskies at Massachusetts Minutemen  Massachusetts logo
Saturday, October 9th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Connecticut -3 (57.0)
Massachusetts 27 - UConn: 13

 
Huskies (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lou Spanos (0 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CONN 2nd straight Road Game
UMASS 2nd straight Home Game
UMASS is playing their 6th straight game
CONN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ CONN -3.5)
Projected Score: CONN: 36 - UMASS: 21 (57)
CONN Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CONN Travel: 43 miles
Minutemen (1 - 11) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Walt Bell (1 - 18)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (13 - 35 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UConn's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 UConn at Fresno State+28.063.5L 0 - 45UN
Sat 9/4 UConn vs Holy Cross-3.049.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 UConn vs Purdue+35.056.5L 0 - 49UN
Sat 9/18 UConn at Army+34.548.0L 21 - 52OY
Sat 9/25 UConn vs Wyoming+31.553.5L 22 - 24UY
Sat 10/2 UConn at Vanderbilt+14.551.5L 28 - 30OY
Sat 10/9 UConn at Massachusetts-3.057.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 10/16 UConn vs Yale+3.546.5W 21 - 15UY
Fri 10/22 UConn vs Middle Tennessee+14.054.0L 13 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 UConn at Clemson+40.550.5L 7 - 44OY
Sat 11/20 UConn at UCF+30.056.0L 17 - 49ON
Sat 11/27 UConn vs Houston+32.054.5L 17 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Massachusetts at Pittsburgh+38.056.0L 7 - 51ON
Sat 9/11 Massachusetts vs Boston College+39.057.0L 28 - 45OY
Sat 9/18 Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan+22.056.5L 28 - 42OY
Sat 9/25 Massachusetts at Coastal Carolina+36.066.0L 3 - 53UN
Sat 10/2 Massachusetts vs Toledo+26.556.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 10/9 Massachusetts vs UConn+3.057.0W 27 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Massachusetts at Florida State+35.059.0L 3 - 59ON
Sat 10/30 Massachusetts at Liberty+35.556.0L 17 - 62ON
Sat 11/6 Massachusetts vs Rhode Island-2.555.5L 22 - 35ON
Sat 11/13 Massachusetts vs Maine+6.058.5L 10 - 35UN
Sat 11/20 Massachusetts at Army+37.556.0L 17 - 33UY
Sat 11/27 Massachusetts at New Mexico State+7.058.5L 27 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN0%35.30%000%000%270%0%0000
UMASS-.1125%11.121%2.186731%1220.56.3952%38.652%51%3.79541.80.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense035.333.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UMASS Defense438.634.751.5%3.790.5 - - - - - 53%47%52%51%17%.39
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense02732.20%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UMASS Offense411.112.825.5%0.561.811189671222.351%49%21%31%21%-.11

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn00:000NAN%0%0000000100
Massachusetts426:4510.526%44%5.3541.80.57.82.3025.1
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense00%0%000000%0%0
UMASS Defense453%52% - - - - .323.0488%13%1.15
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense00%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UMASS Offense451%21%29.367.32.30-.222.1838%15%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense00%0%000000000%0%0%0
UMASS Defense447%51% - - - - - - 0.461.631%39%.415%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense00%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UMASS Offense449%31%13.525121.54.9915.011.538%21%.116%1.9

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UConn's 2021 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6  #130
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.7  #130
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #120

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 716.1

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn:    Massachusetts: -12.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -25.6   Massachusetts: -29.3




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -12.15 NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Massachusetts's 2021 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -29.3  #131
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #127
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.9  #131

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 716.1


UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 36
Massachusetts 21

Projected Total Points: 57
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.8
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Massachusetts's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Massachusetts42UConn47UConn -9.5Massachusetts49.5Over
202311/25Massachusetts18UConn31UMass -2.5UConn51.0Under
202211/04UConn27Massachusetts10Connecticut -15UConn39.5Under
202110/09Massachusetts27UConn13Connecticut -3Massachusetts57.0Under
201910/26Massachusetts35UConn56Connecticut -9.5UConn62.0Over
201810/27UConn17Massachusetts22UMass -3.5Massachusetts63.5Under
201208/30UConn37Massachusetts0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts232 Overs
UConn534 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 43 - 31 - 12 - 2
Road Teams4 - 33 - 32 - 21 - 1

(#) CONN at (#) UMASS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCONNUMASS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #130 #131
Perf GradeGrade #130 #136
OffenseOff #136 #133
DefenseDef #81 #134
Spec TeamsST #99 #132
TalentTal #118 #126
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UConn on Offense
CategoryCat
CONN OffUMASS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #136 #134
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #130 #131
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UConn Run Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffUMASS Def
Run GameRun #106 #128
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #129 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #117
UConn Pass Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePass #135 #135
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #98 #121
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCatUMASS OffCONN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #133 #81
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #127 #120
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffCONN Def
Run GameRun #63 #49
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #119 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCatUMASS OffCONN Def
Pass GamePass #136 #101
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #104 #101
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 63°
Rematch from Week 6
UConn 3.0 (57.0)
Massachusetts won vs UConn this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Massachusetts in 2024 (47-42)
UConn beat Massachusetts in 2023 (31-18)

  
CONN's OC Frank Giufre (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Jarren Horton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UMASS's OC Angelo Mirando (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Tommy Restivo (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD