Maryland at Illinois - 2021 Matchup Preview

Maryland Terrapins at Illinois Fighting Illini(#9)

Friday, September 17th 2021 (9:00 PM EDT)
Maryland -7 (61.5)
Maryland 20 - Illinois: 17 (Big Ten)

Terrapins (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (9 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (23 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ MD -2)
Projected Score: MD: 26 - ILL: 22 (48)
MD Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MD Travel: 606 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Bret Bielema (1 - 3)
Avg Score : 20 - 22 (23 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MD Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Maryland's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Maryland vs West Virginia	+2.5	56.0	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Maryland vs Howard	-48.5	56.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
Fri 9/17	Maryland at Illinois	-7.0	61.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/25	Maryland vs Kent State	-13.0	71.5	W 37 - 16	U	Y
Fri 10/1	Maryland vs Iowa	+3.0	47.5	L 14 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/9	Maryland at Ohio State	+22.0	71.5	L 17 - 66	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Maryland at Minnesota	+4.0	53.0	L 16 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/30	Maryland vs Indiana	-3.5	48.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/6	Maryland vs Penn State	+10.0	56.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/13	Maryland at Michigan State	+11.5	60.0	L 21 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/20	Maryland vs Michigan	+16.0	58.5	L 18 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/27	Maryland at Rutgers	+2.0	53.0	W 40 - 16	O	Y
Wed 12/29	Maryland vs Virginia Tech	-4.0	55.0	W 54 - 10	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Illinois's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	Illinois vs Nebraska	+6.5	52.0	W 30 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/4	Illinois vs UTSA	-4.5	52.0	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/11	Illinois at Virginia	+10.5	57.0	L 14 - 42	U	N
Fri 9/17	Illinois vs Maryland	+7.0	61.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Illinois at Purdue	+10.5	53.5	L 9 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Illinois vs Charlotte	-10.0	54.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/9	Illinois vs Wisconsin	+12.5	42.0	L 0 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Illinois at Penn State	+24.5	46.0	W 20 - 18	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Illinois vs Rutgers	+1.5	41.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/6	Illinois at Minnesota	+14.5	44.5	W 14 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20	Illinois at Iowa	+12.0	37.5	L 23 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Illinois vs Northwestern	-7.0	45.0	W 47 - 14	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	.26	49%	29.3	47%	2.94	136	50%	305	3.8	.22	44%	30.7	46%	41%	3.81	56.8	1.4	0.8
ILL	.13	40%	20.2	45%	3.38	174	33%	156	3.16	.18	44%	21.9	45%	42%	3.34	52.8	1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)		41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)		42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4
ILL	#31 (.25)	45% (45)		45% (51)	3.14 (49)	140	44% (44)	198	4.23 (39)	#76 (.18)	46% (115)		50% (127)	43% (90)	3.48 (37)	39	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Offense	13	29.3	22.8	48.7%	3.8	1.4	23	441	136	305	4	41%	59%	47%	50%	14%	.26
ILL Defense	12	21.9	21.6	43.6%	3.34	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	45%	42%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Defense	13	30.7	34.6	43.7%	3.81	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	41%	14%	.22
ILL Offense	12	20.2	23.1	39.7%	3.16	1	18	330	174	156	4.5	59%	41%	45%	33%	16%	.13

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Maryland	13	29:24	23.3	38%	50%	6.7	56.8	1.4	0.8	4.9	2.4	1	27.9
Illinois	12	29:11	17.6	38%	38%	5	52.8	1	1.6	5.7	2.5	0	28

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Offense	13	41%	47%	33.8	136.2	4	20	.13	2.94	69%	10%	0.9
ILL Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.21	78%	9%	0.83

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.01	75%	8%	0.9
ILL Offense	12	59%	45%	39	173.6	4.5	12	.15	3.38	86%	9%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Offense	13	59%	50%	26.1	37.6	304.6	8.1	11.7	27	12	.36	1.4	28%	32%	.43	5%	2.2
ILL Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.26	1.4	31%	27%	.18	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Defense	13	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.29	1.7	30%	33%	.47	6%	2.1
ILL Offense	12	41%	33%	13.8	26.8	156.2	5.8	11.4	13	6	.12	1.7	34%	25%	.15	7%	1.8

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: NR
Maryland's Offense Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Maryland's 2021 Expected Record: -
Maryland's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2 #60
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #25
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #74

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: Illinois: 4.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 6.2 Illinois: 4.3

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 4.65 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2021 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #64
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #99
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #32

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 30.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

Maryland's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 26
Illinois 22

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Maryland 28
Illinois 17

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Illinois 27
Maryland 24

Total Points: 51

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.1
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Illinois's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Illinois	24	Maryland	6	Illinois -15.5	Illinois	51.5	Under
2023	10/14	Maryland	24	Illinois	27	Maryland -13.5	Illinois	52.0	Under
2021	09/17	Illinois	17	Maryland	20	Maryland -7	Illinois	61.5	Under
2018	10/27	Maryland	63	Illinois	33	Maryland -16.5	Maryland	56.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	2	3	1 Overs
Maryland	2	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	3 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	1 - 3	0 - 1	1 - 2

(#) MD at (#) ILL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MD	ILL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#60	#64
Perf GradeGrade	#94	#53
OffenseOff	#48	#84
DefenseDef	#115	#39
Spec TeamsST	#108	#26
TalentTal	#33	#51
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Maryland Injury Report

Illinois Injury Report

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	ILL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#48	#39
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#32
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	#31	#78
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#12

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#21	#31
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	MD Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#84	#115
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#74
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#77	#105
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#12	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#29

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#127	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#100	#113
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

MD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 76°

Rematch from Week 3
Maryland 7.0 (61.5)
Maryland won at Illinois this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Maryland in 2023 (27-24)

MD's OC Dan Enos (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ILL's OC Tony Petersen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD