Rutgers at Illinois - 2021 Matchup Preview

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Illinois Fighting Illini(#23)

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Rutgers -1.5 (41.5)
Rutgers 20 - Illinois: 14 (Big Ten)

Scarlet Knights (5 - 8) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Greg Schiano (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 20 - 26 (16 - 16 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 14.9 MPH
RUTG coming off BYE
Our Line: -6 (SP+ ILL -7)
Projected Score: RUTG: 17 - ILL: 20 (37)
RUTG Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
RUTG Travel: 725 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Bret Bielema (1 - 3)
Avg Score : 20 - 22 (23 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RUTG Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rutgers's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Rutgers vs Temple	-14.0	52.0	W 61 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Rutgers at Syracuse	-2.5	50.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Rutgers vs Delaware	-20.0	45.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Rutgers at Michigan	+20.0	50.0	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Rutgers vs Ohio State	+15.0	58.0	L 13 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/9	Rutgers vs Michigan State	+4.5	50.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/16	Rutgers at Northwestern	-2.5	45.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Rutgers at Illinois	-1.5	41.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Rutgers vs Wisconsin	+13.0	37.5	L 3 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/13	Rutgers at Indiana	+6.5	42.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Rutgers at Penn State	+14.0	44.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/27	Rutgers vs Maryland	-2.0	53.0	L 16 - 40	O	N
Fri 12/31	Rutgers vs Wake Forest	+17.0	63.0	L 10 - 38	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Illinois's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	Illinois vs Nebraska	+6.5	52.0	W 30 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/4	Illinois vs UTSA	-4.5	52.0	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/11	Illinois at Virginia	+10.5	57.0	L 14 - 42	U	N
Fri 9/17	Illinois vs Maryland	+7.0	61.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Illinois at Purdue	+10.5	53.5	L 9 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Illinois vs Charlotte	-10.0	54.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/9	Illinois vs Wisconsin	+12.5	42.0	L 0 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Illinois at Penn State	+24.5	46.0	W 20 - 18	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Illinois vs Rutgers	+1.5	41.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/6	Illinois at Minnesota	+14.5	44.5	W 14 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20	Illinois at Iowa	+12.0	37.5	L 23 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Illinois vs Northwestern	-7.0	45.0	W 47 - 14	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	.06	39%	19.7	42%	3.05	138	36%	171	3.41	.23	40%	25.6	40%	40%	3.53	40.7	1.1	1.4
ILL	.13	40%	20.2	45%	3.38	174	33%	156	3.16	.18	44%	21.9	45%	42%	3.34	52.8	1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)		44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)		48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9
ILL	#31 (.25)	45% (45)		45% (51)	3.14 (49)	140	44% (44)	198	4.23 (39)	#76 (.18)	46% (115)		50% (127)	43% (90)	3.48 (37)	39	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Offense	13	19.7	15.8	39.2%	3.41	1.1	17	310	138	171	3.6	52%	48%	42%	36%	17%	.06
ILL Defense	12	21.9	21.6	43.6%	3.34	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	45%	42%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Defense	13	25.6	15.5	39.9%	3.53	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	40%	40%	17%	.23
ILL Offense	12	20.2	23.1	39.7%	3.16	1	18	330	174	156	4.5	59%	41%	45%	33%	16%	.13

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rutgers	13	30:18	17.5	32%	36%	5	40.7	1.1	1.4	5.6	1.7	2	30.4
Illinois	12	29:11	17.6	38%	38%	5	52.8	1	1.6	5.7	2.5	0	28

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense	13	52%	42%	38.5	138.4	3.6	20	.09	3.05	73%	11%	0.86
ILL Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.21	78%	9%	0.83

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense	13	54%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.95	68%	11%	0.98
ILL Offense	12	59%	45%	39	173.6	4.5	12	.15	3.38	86%	9%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense	13	48%	36%	17.8	30.3	171.5	5.7	9.7	9	10	.03	1.3	32%	23%	.07	6%	1.7
ILL Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.26	1.4	31%	27%	.18	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense	13	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.42	1.9	33%	33%	.42	6%	2.1
ILL Offense	12	41%	33%	13.8	26.8	156.2	5.8	11.4	13	6	.12	1.7	34%	25%	.15	7%	1.8

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: NR
Rutgers's Offense Rating: NR
Rutgers's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Rutgers's 2021 Expected Record: -
Rutgers's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0 #88
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #110
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #46

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: Illinois: 4.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: -3.0 Illinois: 4.3

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 4.65 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2021 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #64
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #99
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #32

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.5

Rutgers's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 20
Rutgers 17

Total Points: 37

Based on Last 4 Games
Illinois 19
Rutgers 14

Total Points: 34

Based on Entire Season
Illinois 21
Rutgers 20

Total Points: 41

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.1
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Illinois's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Illinois	35	Rutgers	13	Illinois -13.5	Illinois	63.5	Under
2024	11/23	Rutgers	31	Illinois	38	Rutgers -2.0	Illinois	48.0	Over
2021	10/30	Illinois	14	Rutgers	20	Rutgers -1.5	Rutgers	41.5	Under
2020	11/14	Rutgers	20	Illinois	23	Rutgers -5.5	Illinois	51.5	Under
2019	11/02	Illinois	38	Rutgers	10	Illinois -18.5	Illinois	49.0	Under
2018	10/06	Rutgers	17	Illinois	38	Illinois -4.5	Illinois	50.0	Over
2017	10/14	Illinois	24	Rutgers	35	Illinois -1	Rutgers	47.0	Over
2016	10/15	Rutgers	7	Illinois	24	Illinois -6	Illinois	52.0	Under
2006	09/09	Rutgers	33	Illinois	0
2005	09/03	Illinois	33	Rutgers	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	7	6	3 Overs
Rutgers	3	2	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 6	2 - 6	2 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 4	6 - 2	3 - 0	3 - 2

(#) RUTG at (#) ILL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RUTG	ILL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#64
Perf GradeGrade	#117	#53
OffenseOff	#117	#84
DefenseDef	#114	#39
Spec TeamsST	#27	#26
TalentTal	#64	#51
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Rutgers Injury Report

Illinois Injury Report

Rutgers on Offense


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	ILL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#117	#39
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#32
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Rutgers Run Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	#51	#78
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#126	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#12

Rutgers Pass Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#57	#31
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	RUTG Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#84	#114
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#77	#89
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#12	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#77

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#127	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#100	#101
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 55° - Wind: 15 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Rutgers 1.5 (41.5)
Rutgers won at Illinois this year (20-14)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Rutgers last year (38-31)

RUTG's OC Sean Gleeson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ILL's OC Tony Petersen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD