Penn State at Michigan State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, October 26th 2019 (3:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -5.5 (41.0)
Penn State 28 - Michigan State: 7 (Big Ten)

Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (29 - 16 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSU coming off BYE
PSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -6 (SP+ PSU -17)
Projected Score: PSU: 30 - MSU: 20 (50)
PSU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
PSU Travel: 366 miles

Spartans (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 23 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PSU Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Penn State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Penn State vs Idaho	-43.0
Sat 9/7	Penn State vs Buffalo	-31.5	57.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Penn State vs Pittsburgh	-17.0	53.5	W 17 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27	Penn State at Maryland	-6.5	62.0	W 59 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Penn State vs Purdue	-28.5	55.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/12	Penn State at Iowa	-3.5	43.5	W 17 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Penn State vs Michigan	-7.5	47.0	W 28 - 21	O	N
Sat 10/26	Penn State at Michigan State	-5.5	41.0	W 28 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Penn State at Minnesota	-7.0	49.0	L 26 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/16	Penn State vs Indiana	-15.0	55.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/23	Penn State at Ohio State	+20.0	59.0	L 17 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Penn State vs Rutgers	-38.5	50.5	W 27 - 6	U	N
Sat 12/28	Penn State vs Memphis	-7.0	59.5	W 53 - 39	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Michigan State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Michigan State vs Tulsa	-22.0	47.5	W 28 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/7	Michigan State vs Western Michigan	-14.5	46.5	W 51 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Michigan State vs Arizona State	-15.5	42.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/21	Michigan State at Northwestern	-7.5	35.0	W 31 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Michigan State vs Indiana	-14.0	43.5	W 40 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/5	Michigan State at Ohio State	+19.0	51.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/12	Michigan State at Wisconsin	+8.0	39.0	L 0 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Michigan State vs Penn State	+5.5	41.0	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Michigan State vs Illinois	-15.5	48.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/16	Michigan State at Michigan	+13.5	43.5	L 10 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/23	Michigan State at Rutgers	-22.5	43.5	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Michigan State vs Maryland	-21.5	47.5	W 19 - 16	U	N
Fri 12/27	Michigan State vs Wake Forest	-3.5	50.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU	.23	44%	35.8	44%	2.98	191	42%	221	4.32	.09	38%	16	35%	38%	2.69	45.3	1.1	2.1
MSU	.09	41%	22.4	38%	2.48	127	42%	245	2.91	.07	38%	22.5	35%	38%	3.36	53.8	1.8	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)		52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)		39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Offense	13	35.8	29.4	44.1%	4.32	1.1	21	412	191	221	4.8	54%	44%	44%	42%	20%	.23
MSU Defense	13	22.5	20.9	37.5%	3.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	35%	38%	25%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Defense	13	16	15.6	37.8%	2.69	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	35%	38%	22%	.09
MSU Offense	13	22.4	26.6	41.3%	2.91	1.8	21	372	127	245	3.5	48%	50%	38%	42%	18%	.09

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Penn State	13	27:53	21.2	42%	61%	4.4	45.3	1.1	2.1	9.2	4.8	2	32.1
Michigan State	13	31:23	21.1	36%	62%	5.8	53.8	1.8	2	9.8	3.8	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Offense	13	54%	44%	39.7	190.7	4.8	34	.19	2.98	83%	14%	1.05
MSU Defense	13	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.44	64%	18%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Defense	13	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.42	70%	15%	0.92
MSU Offense	13	48%	38%	36	127.2	3.5	12	-.05	2.48	65%	10%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Offense	13	44%	42%	16.7	28.4	221.3	7.8	13.3	25	9	.27	1.7	31%	30%	.21	6%	2
MSU Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.5	37%	29%	.19	8%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Defense	13	52%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.19	1.7	36%	32%	.32	7%	1.9
MSU Offense	13	50%	42%	20.8	35.7	244.8	6.9	11.8	17	15	.24	1.5	35%	35%	.25	8%	1.5

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #13
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: Michigan State: 6.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 24.3 Michigan State: 7.2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 6.1 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #41
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #91
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #13

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 16 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Penn State's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 30
Michigan State 20

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 33
Michigan State 19

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 27
Michigan State 20

Total Points: 47

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Michigan State's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Michigan State	10	Penn State	28	Penn State -7	Penn State	48.5	Under
2023	11/24	Michigan State	0	Penn State	42	Penn State -20	Penn State	42.0	Push
2022	11/26	Penn State	35	Michigan State	16	Penn State -19	Push	54.5	Under
2021	11/27	Michigan State	30	Penn State	27	Penn State -3.5	Michigan State	51.5	Over
2020	12/12	Penn State	39	Michigan State	24	Penn State -14.5	Penn State	45.5	Over
2019	10/26	Michigan State	7	Penn State	28	Penn State -5.5	Penn State	41.0	Under
2018	10/13	Penn State	17	Michigan State	21	Penn State -13.5	Michigan State	53.5	Under
2017	11/04	Michigan State	27	Penn State	24	Penn State -10	Michigan State	46.0	Over
2016	11/26	Penn State	45	Michigan State	12	Penn State -13.5	Penn State	53.5	Over
2015	11/28	Michigan State	55	Penn State	16	Michigan State -11	Michigan State	43.5	Over
2014	11/29	Penn State	10	Michigan State	34	Michigan State -11.5	Michigan State	0
2010	11/27	Penn State	22	Michigan State	28
2009	11/21	Michigan State	14	Penn State	42
2008	11/22	Penn State	49	Michigan State	18
2007	11/17	Michigan State	35	Penn State	31
2006	11/18	Penn State	17	Michigan State	13
2005	11/19	Michigan State	22	Penn State	31
2004	11/20	Penn State	37	Michigan State	13
2003	11/22	Michigan State	41	Penn State	10
2001	11/24	Michigan State	37	Penn State	42
2000	11/17	Penn State	42	Michigan State	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	8	5	5 Overs
Penn State	13	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 9	5 - 5	3 - 1	2 - 4
Road Teams	9 - 12	5 - 5	4 - 2	1 - 3

(#) PSU at (#) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PSU	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#41
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#11	#32
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Penn State Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	PSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#10
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 48° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Penn State 5.5 (41.0)
Penn State won at Michigan State this year (28-7)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Michigan State in 2023 (42-0)
Penn State beat Michigan State in 2022 (35-16)

PSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD