Buffalo at Penn State - 2019 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)Penn State logo
Saturday, September 7th 2019 (7:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -31.5 (57.0)
Penn State 45 - Buffalo: 13

 
Bulls (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (24 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -15.5  (SP+ PSU -26)
Projected Score: BUFF: 23 - PSU: 32 (55)
PSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
BUFF Travel: 158 miles
Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (38 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Buffalo vs Robert Morris-41.563.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 Buffalo at Penn State+31.557.0L 13 - 45ON
Sat 9/14 Buffalo at Liberty-6.055.0L 17 - 35UN
Sat 9/21 Buffalo vs Temple+14.051.0W 38 - 22OY
Sat 9/28 Buffalo at Miami (OH)-2.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/5 Buffalo vs Ohio+3.053.0L 20 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Buffalo at Akron-17.548.0W 21 - 0UY
Sat 10/26 Buffalo vs Central Michigan-1.546.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/2 Buffalo at Eastern Michigan-1.050.5W 43 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 Buffalo at Kent State-6.054.5L 27 - 30ON
Wed 11/20 Buffalo vs Toledo-9.555.0W 49 - 30OY
Fri 11/29 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-28.053.5W 49 - 7OY
Fri 12/20 Buffalo vs Charlotte-7.052.0W 31 - 9UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Penn State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Penn State vs Idaho-43.0
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Buffalo-31.557.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 9/14 Penn State vs Pittsburgh-17.053.5W 17 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27 Penn State at Maryland-6.562.0W 59 - 0UY
Sat 10/5 Penn State vs Purdue-28.555.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 10/12 Penn State at Iowa-3.543.5W 17 - 12UY
Sat 10/19 Penn State vs Michigan-7.547.0W 28 - 21ON
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Michigan State-5.541.0W 28 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Penn State at Minnesota-7.049.0L 26 - 31ON
Sat 11/16 Penn State vs Indiana-15.055.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 11/23 Penn State at Ohio State+20.059.0L 17 - 28UY
Sat 11/30 Penn State vs Rutgers-38.550.5W 27 - 6UN
Sat 12/28 Penn State vs Memphis-7.059.5W 53 - 39OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.2146%31.547%3.1425041%1384.02.0539%21.339%37%3.1344.61.12.4
PSU.2344%35.844%2.9819142%2214.32.0938%1635%38%2.6945.31.12.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1331.523.545.8%4.021.1213892501384.968%31%47%41%15%.21
PSU Defense13161337.8%2.692.1 - - - - - 46%52%35%38%22%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1321.326.339.1%3.132.4 - - - - - 48%50%39%37%21%.05
PSU Offense1335.837.944.1%4.321.1214121912214.854%44%44%42%20%.23

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1334:0221.245%64%4.944.61.12.47.34.4230.4
Penn State1327:5321.242%61%4.445.31.12.19.24.8232.1
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1368%47%50.7250.54.936.213.1480%9%1.01
PSU Defense1346%35% - - - - -.012.4270%15%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1348%39% - - - - .022.6665%14%0.84
PSU Offense1354%44%39.7190.74.834.192.9883%14%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1331%41%11.521.4138.16.512146.21.528%35%.276%1.7
PSU Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 10.191.736%32%.327%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 11.11.631%24%.017%1.9
PSU Offense1344%42%16.728.4221.37.813.3259.271.731%30%.216%2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2019 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.0  #71
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #85
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #43

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Penn State: 14.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -2.0   Penn State: 24.3




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 14.65 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #6
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #13
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.5
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

Buffalo's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 32
Buffalo 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 34
Buffalo 25

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 31
Buffalo 21

Total Points: 52
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.9
Defense: 16 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Penn State's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/07Penn State45Buffalo13Penn State -31.5Penn State57.0Over
201509/12Penn State27Buffalo14Penn State -16.5Buffalo47.5Under
200709/15Penn State45Buffalo24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State311 Overs
Buffalo011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) BUFF at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #6
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #124 #11
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #43
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 68° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Penn State -31.5 (57.0)
Penn State won vs Buffalo this year (45-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BUFF's OC ()
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BUFF's DC ()
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PSU's OC ()
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PSU's DC ()
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