Purdue at Penn State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Purdue Boilermakers at Penn State Nittany Lions(#7)

Saturday, October 5th 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -28.5 (55.5)
Penn State 35 - Purdue: 7 (Big Ten)

Boilermakers (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 31 (21 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -15 (SP+ PSU -25)
Projected Score: PUR: 20 - PSU: 35 (55)
PSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
PUR Travel: 476 miles

Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (38 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PUR Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Purdue's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Purdue at Nevada	-11.0	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/7	Purdue vs Vanderbilt	-7.0	56.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Purdue vs TCU	+3.5	52.0	L 13 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Purdue vs Minnesota	-2.0	57.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/5	Purdue at Penn State	+28.5	55.5	L 7 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Purdue vs Maryland	+4.0	52.0	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Purdue at Iowa	+17.5	47.5	L 20 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Purdue vs Illinois	-9.0	54.5	L 6 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/2	Purdue vs Nebraska	+4.0	57.0	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Purdue at Northwestern	+0.0	38.5	W 24 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Purdue at Wisconsin	+24.5	49.0	L 24 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Purdue vs Indiana	+7.0	56.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Penn State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Penn State vs Idaho	-43.0
Sat 9/7	Penn State vs Buffalo	-31.5	57.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Penn State vs Pittsburgh	-17.0	53.5	W 17 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27	Penn State at Maryland	-6.5	62.0	W 59 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Penn State vs Purdue	-28.5	55.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/12	Penn State at Iowa	-3.5	43.5	W 17 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Penn State vs Michigan	-7.5	47.0	W 28 - 21	O	N
Sat 10/26	Penn State at Michigan State	-5.5	41.0	W 28 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Penn State at Minnesota	-7.0	49.0	L 26 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/16	Penn State vs Indiana	-15.0	55.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/23	Penn State at Ohio State	+20.0	59.0	L 17 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Penn State vs Rutgers	-38.5	50.5	W 27 - 6	U	N
Sat 12/28	Penn State vs Memphis	-7.0	59.5	W 53 - 39	O	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	.13	41%	25.8	37%	2.39	83	43%	310	4	.2	45%	30.6	47%	40%	3.3	37.7	1.9	1.3
PSU	.23	44%	35.8	44%	2.98	191	42%	221	4.32	.09	38%	16	35%	38%	2.69	45.3	1.1	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	#112 (.11)	41% (96)		42% (90)	3.04 (65)	116	40% (93)	184	3.34 (115)	#134 (.39)	49% (129)		49% (120)	50% (129)	4.82 (134)	51.8	1.6	0.4
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)		52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)		39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Offense	12	25.8	21.2	41.5%	4	1.9	21	393	83	310	2.9	35%	63%	37%	43%	23%	.13
PSU Defense	13	16	13	37.8%	2.69	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	35%	38%	22%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Defense	12	30.6	32.4	44.7%	3.3	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	47%	40%	19%	.2
PSU Offense	13	35.8	37.9	44.1%	4.32	1.1	21	412	191	221	4.8	54%	44%	44%	42%	20%	.23

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Purdue	12	27:35	20.6	40%	50%	4.6	37.7	1.9	1.3	8.5	2.8	1	25.3
Penn State	13	27:53	21.2	42%	61%	4.4	45.3	1.1	2.1	9.2	4.8	2	32.1

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Offense	12	35%	37%	28.5	83.3	2.9	9	-.08	2.39	65%	13%	0.74
PSU Defense	13	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.42	70%	15%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Defense	12	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.06	80%	13%	0.93
PSU Offense	13	54%	44%	39.7	190.7	4.8	34	.19	2.98	83%	14%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Offense	12	63%	43%	26.7	43.3	309.9	7.2	11.6	29	15	.26	1.5	35%	33%	.24	10%	1.8
PSU Defense	13	52%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.19	1.7	36%	32%	.32	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Defense	12	45%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.26	1.8	30%	33%	.42	6%	2
PSU Offense	13	44%	42%	16.7	28.4	221.3	7.8	13.3	25	9	.27	1.7	31%	30%	.21	6%	2

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2019 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #64
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #45
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #81

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: Penn State: 14.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -0.7 Penn State: 24.3

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 14.65 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #13
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 30.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.4

Purdue's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 35
Purdue 20

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 35
Purdue 22

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 34
Purdue 19

Total Points: 53

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.9
Defense: 16 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Penn State's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Purdue	10	Penn State	49	Penn State -30	Penn State	51.5	Over
2022	09/01	Purdue	31	Penn State	35	Penn State -3.5	Penn State	53.5	Over
2019	10/05	Penn State	35	Purdue	7	Penn State -28.5	Purdue	55.5	Under
2016	10/29	Purdue	24	Penn State	62	Penn State -10.5	Penn State	58.5	Over
2013	11/16	Penn State	45	Purdue	21	Penn State -20.5	Penn State	0
2012	11/03	Purdue	9	Penn State	34
2011	10/15	Penn State	23	Purdue	18
2008	10/04	Purdue	6	Penn State	20
2007	11/03	Penn State	26	Purdue	19
2006	10/28	Purdue	0	Penn State	12
2005	10/29	Penn State	33	Purdue	15
2004	10/09	Penn State	13	Purdue	20
2003	10/11	Purdue	28	Penn State	14
2000	09/29	Penn State	22	Purdue	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	12	4	3 Overs
Purdue	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	1 - 4	1 - 1	0 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 7	4 - 1	3 - 0	1 - 1

(#) PUR at (#) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PUR	PSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#64	#6
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#51	#11
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Purdue Injury Report

Penn State Injury Report

Purdue on Offense


CategoryCat	PUR Off	PSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#45	#10
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Purdue Run Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Purdue Pass Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	PUR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 51° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Penn State -28.5 (55.5)
Penn State won vs Purdue this year (35-7)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Purdue last year (49-10)
Penn State beat Purdue in 2022 (35-31)

PUR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD