Arizona State at Michigan State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Arizona State Sun Devils at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, September 14th 2019 (4:00 PM EDT)
Michigan State -15.5 (42.0)
Arizona State 10 - Michigan State: 7

Sun Devils (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (21 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.4 MPH
MSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ MSU -1)
Projected Score: ASU: 23 - MSU: 27 (50)
MSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ASU Travel: 1616 miles, 2 hrs behind

Spartans (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 23 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ASU Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Arizona State vs Kent State	-24.5	61.5	W 30 - 7	U	N
Fri 9/6	Arizona State vs Sacramento State	-35.0	63.5	W 19 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/14	Arizona State at Michigan State	+15.5	42.0	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Arizona State vs Colorado	-7.5	49.0	L 31 - 34	O	N
Fri 9/27	Arizona State at California	+4.0	42.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Arizona State vs Washington State	+2.5	60.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Arizona State at Utah	+16.0	46.0	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arizona State at UCLA	-3.0	56.0	L 32 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Arizona State vs USC	+5.0	54.0	L 26 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Arizona State at Oregon State	-1.0	56.0	L 34 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/23	Arizona State vs Oregon	+13.0	54.0	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Arizona State vs Arizona	-13.5	60.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Tue 12/31	Arizona State vs Florida State	-3.5	51.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Michigan State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Michigan State vs Tulsa	-22.0	47.5	W 28 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/7	Michigan State vs Western Michigan	-14.5	46.5	W 51 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Michigan State vs Arizona State	-15.5	42.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/21	Michigan State at Northwestern	-7.5	35.0	W 31 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Michigan State vs Indiana	-14.0	43.5	W 40 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/5	Michigan State at Ohio State	+19.0	51.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/12	Michigan State at Wisconsin	+8.0	39.0	L 0 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Michigan State vs Penn State	+5.5	41.0	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Michigan State vs Illinois	-15.5	48.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/16	Michigan State at Michigan	+13.5	43.5	L 10 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/23	Michigan State at Rutgers	-22.5	43.5	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Michigan State vs Maryland	-21.5	47.5	W 19 - 16	U	N
Fri 12/27	Michigan State vs Wake Forest	-3.5	50.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU	.13	42%	24.8	41%	2.79	123	40%	249	3.04	.16	43%	22.4	45%	41%	3.7	62.9	1.1	2.9
MSU	.09	41%	22.4	38%	2.48	127	42%	245	2.91	.07	38%	22.5	35%	38%	3.36	53.8	1.8	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU	#13 (.31)	50% (8)		52% (6)	3.35 (19)	187	47% (21)	208	4.14 (48)	#36 (.12)	42% (79)		41% (49)	44% (106)	3.64 (51)	50.1	0.6	1.4
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Offense	13	24.8	20.6	42.2%	3.04	1.1	18	372	123	249	3.5	49%	48%	41%	40%	18%	.13
MSU Defense	13	22.5	20.9	37.5%	3.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	35%	38%	25%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Defense	13	22.4	24.4	43.3%	3.7	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	41%	21%	.16
MSU Offense	13	22.4	26.6	41.3%	2.91	1.8	21	372	127	245	3.5	48%	50%	38%	42%	18%	.09

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona State	13	29:13	17.9	39%	56%	6.5	62.9	1.1	2.9	8	2.5	2	31.5
Michigan State	13	31:23	21.1	36%	62%	5.8	53.8	1.8	2	9.8	3.8	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Offense	13	49%	41%	35.3	123.2	3.5	13	.01	2.79	64%	13%	0.76
MSU Defense	13	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.44	64%	18%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Defense	13	47%	45%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.79	71%	14%	0.81
MSU Offense	13	48%	38%	36	127.2	3.5	12	-.05	2.48	65%	10%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Offense	13	48%	40%	17.9	29.5	248.8	8.5	13.9	21	4	.28	1.8	34%	35%	.36	5%	1.9
MSU Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.5	37%	29%	.19	8%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.5	30%	28%	.3	8%	1.9
MSU Offense	13	50%	42%	20.8	35.7	244.8	6.9	11.8	17	15	.24	1.5	35%	35%	.25	8%	1.5

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arizona State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3 #43
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #72
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #40

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: Michigan State: 6.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 6.3 Michigan State: 7.2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 6.1 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #41
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #91
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #13

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.6
Defense: 22.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Arizona State's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan State 27
Arizona State 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan State 30
Arizona State 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Michigan State 24
Arizona State 22

Total Points: 46

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Michigan State's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/14	Michigan State	7	Arizona State	10	Michigan State -15.5	Arizona State	42.0	Under
2018	09/08	Arizona State	16	Michigan State	13	Michigan State -4.5	Arizona State	54.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	0	0	0 Overs
Arizona State	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#) ASU at (#) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ASU	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#41
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#30	#32
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arizona State Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Arizona State on Offense


CategoryCat	ASU Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona State Run Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	ASU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#40
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 74° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 3
Michigan State -15.5 (42.0)
Arizona State won at Michigan State this year (10-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ASU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD