Michigan at Penn State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Michigan Wolverines at Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, October 19th 2019 (7:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -7.5 (47.0)
Penn State 28 - Michigan: 21 (Big Ten)

Wolverines (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (31 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MICH 2nd straight Road Game
PSU is playing their 4th straight game
MICH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ PSU -4)
Projected Score: MICH: 21 - PSU: 27 (48)
PSU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
MICH Travel: 321 miles

Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (38 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MICH Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Michigan vs Middle Tennessee	-36.0	56.5	W 40 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/7	Michigan vs Army	-21.5	48.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Michigan at Wisconsin	+3.0	46.0	L 14 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/28	Michigan vs Rutgers	-27.5	50.0	W 52 - 0	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Michigan vs Iowa	-4.0	48.0	W 10 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Michigan at Illinois	-24.5	49.0	W 42 - 25	O	N
Sat 10/19	Michigan at Penn State	+7.5	47.0	L 21 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Michigan vs Notre Dame	+1.5	46.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Michigan at Maryland	-21.5	57.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Michigan vs Michigan State	-13.5	43.5	W 44 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Michigan at Indiana	-10.0	52.5	W 39 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Michigan vs Ohio State	+9.0	53.0	L 27 - 56	O	N
Wed 1/1	Michigan vs Alabama	+8.5	62.0	L 16 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Penn State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Penn State vs Idaho	-43.0
Sat 9/7	Penn State vs Buffalo	-31.5	57.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Penn State vs Pittsburgh	-17.0	53.5	W 17 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27	Penn State at Maryland	-6.5	62.0	W 59 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Penn State vs Purdue	-28.5	55.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/12	Penn State at Iowa	-3.5	43.5	W 17 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Penn State vs Michigan	-7.5	47.0	W 28 - 21	O	N
Sat 10/26	Penn State at Michigan State	-5.5	41.0	W 28 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Penn State at Minnesota	-7.0	49.0	L 26 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/16	Penn State vs Indiana	-15.0	55.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/23	Penn State at Ohio State	+20.0	59.0	L 17 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Penn State vs Rutgers	-38.5	50.5	W 27 - 6	U	N
Sat 12/28	Penn State vs Memphis	-7.0	59.5	W 53 - 39	O	Y

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH	.17	44%	31.7	45%	2.99	151	42%	251	4.11	.1	38%	20.7	38%	37%	3.16	49.9	1.5	2.1
PSU	.23	44%	35.8	44%	2.98	191	42%	221	4.32	.09	38%	16	35%	38%	2.69	45.3	1.1	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH	#113 (.1)	40% (102)		41% (101)	3 (80)	149	40% (92)	123	4.18 (45)	#40 (.13)	38% (28)		38% (18)	39% (42)	3.48 (36)	36.8	1.5	1.2
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)		52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)		39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Offense	13	31.7	30.8	44.5%	4.11	1.5	22	402	151	251	4	51%	47%	45%	42%	19%	.17
PSU Defense	13	16	13	37.8%	2.69	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	35%	38%	22%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Defense	13	20.7	21.8	37.8%	3.16	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	38%	37%	22%	.1
PSU Offense	13	35.8	37.9	44.1%	4.32	1.1	21	412	191	221	4.8	54%	44%	44%	42%	20%	.23

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan	13	29:31	22	39%	55%	6.2	49.9	1.5	2.1	7.8	3.8	1	30.9
Penn State	13	27:53	21.2	42%	61%	4.4	45.3	1.1	2.1	9.2	4.8	2	32.1

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Offense	13	51%	45%	38.1	150.7	4	26	.09	2.99	71%	11%	0.91
PSU Defense	13	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.42	70%	15%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.51	75%	14%	0.93
PSU Offense	13	54%	44%	39.7	190.7	4.8	34	.19	2.98	83%	14%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Offense	13	47%	42%	17.5	31.5	250.8	8	14.3	25	9	.27	1.6	29%	31%	.24	8%	1.7
PSU Defense	13	52%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.19	1.7	36%	32%	.32	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Defense	13	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.7	31%	25%	.17	8%	2
PSU Offense	13	44%	42%	16.7	28.4	221.3	7.8	13.3	25	9	.27	1.7	31%	30%	.21	6%	2

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan's 2019 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7 #10
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #21
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: Penn State: 14.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 20.7 Penn State: 24.3

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 14.65 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #13
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Michigan's 2019 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 27
Michigan 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 26
Michigan 18

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 29
Michigan 23

Total Points: 52

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.9
Defense: 16 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Penn State's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Penn State	15	Michigan	24	Michigan -4.0	Michigan	44.5	Under
2022	10/15	Michigan	41	Penn State	17	Michigan -7	Michigan	49.0	Over
2021	11/13	Penn State	17	Michigan	21	Michigan -2.5	Michigan	48.0	Under
2020	11/28	Michigan	17	Penn State	27	Michigan -1.0	Penn State	56.0	Under
2019	10/19	Penn State	28	Michigan	21	Penn State -7.5	Michigan	47.0	Over
2018	11/03	Michigan	42	Penn State	7	Michigan -13.5	Michigan	48.0	Over
2017	10/21	Penn State	42	Michigan	13	Penn State -7.5	Penn State	42.5	Over
2016	09/24	Michigan	49	Penn State	10	Michigan -15.5	Michigan	56.0	Over
2015	11/21	Penn State	16	Michigan	28	Michigan -5	Michigan	43.0	Over
2014	10/11	Michigan	18	Penn State	13	Penn State -2	Michigan	0
2013	10/12	Penn State	43	Michigan	40	Michigan -1	Penn State	0
2010	10/30	Penn State	41	Michigan	31
2009	10/24	Michigan	10	Penn State	35
2008	10/18	Penn State	46	Michigan	17
2007	09/22	Michigan	14	Penn State	9
2006	10/14	Penn State	10	Michigan	17
2005	10/15	Michigan	27	Penn State	25
2002	10/12	Michigan	27	Penn State	24
2001	10/06	Penn State	0	Michigan	20
2000	11/10	Michigan	33	Penn State	11

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	7	3	6 Overs
Michigan	13	8	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 7	6 - 5	4 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 13	5 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 4

(#) MICH at (#) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MICH	PSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#10	#6
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#10	#11
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Michigan Injury Report

Penn State Injury Report

Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	MICH Off	PSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#10
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MICH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#11
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

MICH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 53°

Rematch from Week 8
Penn State -7.5 (47.0)
Penn State won vs Michigan this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Penn State in 2023 (24-15)
Michigan beat Penn State in 2022 (41-17)

MICH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD